不同参数化方案对风预报效果影响个例研究

中尺度气象模式对风场的预报效果与参数化方案的适应性紧密相关.以内蒙古高原丘陵地形、江苏平缓的海陆交界地形2种典型下垫面试验风电场为模拟区域,分别用WRFV3.2 （Weather Research and Forecast Model）模式自带的6种物理过程参数化组合方案预报了2010年1月和7月两个风电场区域的风速和风向,对比分析了参数化组合方案差异对风场预报的影响.结果表明：①内蒙古试验区,边界层MRF方案描述的边界层结构较MYJ方案合理;微物理方案WSM3在夏季的风速预报能力优于WSM6,而冬季相反;复杂地形区域的风场预报需考虑陆面过程参数化方案,尤其是夏季降水发生后,陆面过程对于边界层结构的影响增大,选用Noah优于无陆面过程.②江苏试验区,边界层MRF方案描述的边界层结构较MYJ方案合理;1月陆面过程RUC方案优于陆面热量扩散和Noah;7月陆面热量扩散方案优于RUC和Noah.③风向预报6个方案的预报风向统计与实际记录风向统计有较好的一致性,风向概率分布相似,盛行风向一致且稳定.     

组合数学在计算机科学中的应用

介绍了组合数学的概念、起源与研究的主要内容,分析了组合数学的特点,阐述了组合数学与计算机软件的联系,并着重通过两个例子说明了Ramsey数在计算机科学的信息检索、分组交换网设计分支中的重要应用.     

COMBINATION OF ECMWF REANALYZED DAILY RAINFALL AND PENTAD CMAP IN CHINA

In this study, 16 combinations of the ECMWF (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecast) reanalyzed daily rainfall and the pentad CMAP in China for the period 1980- 1993( 1May - 31 Dec. ) were calculated. Correlation analysis was used to roughly evaluate daily rainfall for the whole of China and a combination of RPC (rotated principal component) and wavelet analyses was applied to data on observed and combined daily rainfall to obtain a detailed evaluation of the quality of these combined datasets in 6 selected major rainfall regions of eastern China. The results showed that except for intraweekly fluctuation, the best combination was roughly similar to or accorded well with observation in the aspects of space variation patterns and long period rainfall fluctuations related to monsoon onset and serious meteorologic disasters, indicating that this combination yielded better values of long term daily mean and standard deviation through the pentad CMAP ( CPC Merged Analysis of Precipitation), and can also represent rainfall fluctuations through the reanalyzed daily rainfall.     

论网络生产力的结构层次

网络生产力是一个复杂的系统，它包括构成要素层次，渗透性因素层次与组合性因素层次而有别于一般生产力的新质。     

Topological relations in multisystems of more than n+ 3 phases 1

Multisystems of n+k (k > 3) phases are very complicated and knowledge of them has suffered as a result. The successful solution of the topological relationships in n+ 3 phase multisystems by Zen (1966, 1967) and Zen & Roseboom (1972) has aroused much interest regarding what will happen in a multisystem of more than n+ 3 phases. Since 1979, some important research results on this topic have been published. These results have expounded the substantial rules governing the appearance of phase relations in phase diagrams of n - k (k > 3) phase multisystems. The most significant conclusions include: (1) It is impossible to incorporate all the possible phase relations in an n+k (k > 3) phase multisystem in a single closed net. Therefore, it is no longer enough to use only a single closed net to depict the topological relations involved in these types of multisystems. Instead, one or more groups of closed nets, namely the complete system(s) of closed nets are necessary for this purpose. (2) A principle called the Combination Principle has been proposed and proved. It states: Any closed net of one n+k (k > 3) phase multisystem must be a combination of two or more distinct n+ 3 order submultisystem closed nets belonging to the given n+k phase multisystem, if it is not one of the n+ 3 order submultisystem closed nets itself. The combination principle provides both a theoretical basis and a practical method for the construction of closed nets and, hence, for the derivation of the real phase diagrams for any n+k (k > 3) phase multisystem. (3) A theorem on divariant-assemblage-characteristic-stability-polygons is also important to our understanding of the n+k (k± 3) phase multisystem closed nets. This theorem can be stated as follows: A divariant assemblage of an n+k (k± 3) phase multisystem will be stable in an l-polygon lacking diagonals in an appropriate set of closed-net-diagrams, and this l-polygon may be at least a triangle, and at most a k-polygon. In addition, the closed-net-diagrams of unary and binary n+ 4 phase multisystems derived respectively by Guo (1980b, 1980c, 1981a) and by Roseboom & Zen (1982) have also been summarized. The combination principle is applied to a practical petrological problem in this paper, dealing with 7 phases in the system FeO-Fe₂O₃-SiO₂.     

组合电离层残差与改进的码相伪距探测与修复周跳研究

传统码相组合算法能探测7～8周以上大周跳,而传统的电离层残差法仅对于±4周以内的周跳可实现唯一分离,这限制了两者组合的应用.针对这一问题,对码相组合探测与修复周跳方法进行改进,使得改进的码相组合与电离层残差法能够完全探测周跳.经理论与实验分析,组合改进的码相组合法与电离层残差法两者结合能够完全探测采样间隔小于10 s观测数据中的周跳,对动态非差观测值数据的周跳自动探测与修复有极佳的效果.     

月球资源探测信息的管理与可视化探讨

在中国未来的月球探测计划中,可能获取的月球表层数据包括地形、地貌、岩层、土壤、资源、环境以及各种相关的结构、物质成分数据。这些数据既有空间数据,也有属性数据。为了实现月球资源探测工作信息化,可以借鉴“数字地球”的理念并采用“多S”结合与集成化技术,对所获取的海量月球表层数据进行一体化存贮管理,构建一个“数字月球”并实现其空间数据和属性数据之间的双向查询检索,以及对表层复杂结构信息分析的可视化。     

围压与冲击扰动作用下组合煤岩超低摩擦效应分析

深部煤岩在垂直扰动作用下发生振动,当水平冲击足以克服块体间摩擦阻力时,极易发生超低摩擦型冲击地压。文章以细砂岩-煤-细砂岩组合块体为研究对象,考虑顶板-煤-底板临近工作面开采工况,采用数值模拟方法,建立围压与冲击扰动下组合煤岩数值模型,以煤块水平位移、垂直加速度差值作为超低摩擦效应特征参数,分析围压、垂直冲击及水平冲击对特征参数的影响规律。研究结果表明:在垂直冲击与围压共同作用下,煤岩体残余位移及水平位移峰值随围压增大且呈指数增长趋势;在垂直冲击、水平冲击和围压三者共同作用下,煤岩体超低摩擦效应强度与作用时间都随着围压呈增加趋势;垂直冲击对组合煤岩超低摩擦效应的影响最为显著。      

马来盆地成藏规律研究及有利区预测

马来盆地烃源岩包括湖相页岩和河流三角洲相煤、页岩.湖相烃源岩为盆地主力烃源岩,K组页岩是盆地中生烃潜力最好的烃源岩.盆地中部源岩通常都是过成熟,边缘大多处于生油窗或未成熟.中-晚中新世马来盆地发生构造反转,反转主要集中在盆地的东南部和中部,构造反转与油气成藏关系密切.盆地中央的反转强度比侧翼大,东南方向反转强度增加.马来盆地大致划分为4个成藏组合带：基底成藏组合带、下部成藏组合带、中部成藏组合带和上部成藏组合带.晚渐新世-中中新世构造成藏组合带为马来盆地内最重要的一个成藏组合带,其石油储量占整个盆地的85%,天然气占48%.盆地烃源岩经历多期生烃和混合生烃的过程,在盆地南部烃源岩生烃受到抑制.油气运移以横向运移为主,垂向运移为辅.油气藏分布主要受烃源岩成熟度和盆地形态的控制,呈现东南部和中部为油藏、北部为气藏的分布格局.将马来盆地划分为6个大勘探区域,其中东南挤压背斜区是马来盆地主力油气产区,石油储量占整个马来盆地的69%,天然气储量占62%.提出9个潜在有利目标区,其中3个为潜在勘探有利区,6个为新兴勘探区.     

北黄海盆地东部坳陷勘探突破对我国近海残留“黑色侏罗系”油气勘探的启示

最新的勘探和研究证实,北黄海盆地东部坳陷发育了中、上侏罗统2套有效烃源岩并以上侏罗统为主力烃源岩层,在其供烃范围内形成了上侏罗统-下白垩统"下生上储式"和中-上侏罗统"自生自储式"2类成藏组合,取得了我国东部海域以侏罗系为唯一源岩的含油气盆地勘探突破。为进一步探索我国近海盆地残留"黑色侏罗系"的资源潜力和勘探前景,本文采用地震-地质综合解释、烃源岩地球化学分析、盆地模拟等方法,综合分析了我国近海主要盆地残留"黑色侏罗系"的分布和地球化学特征。结果表明,我国近海残留侏罗系暗色泥岩烃源岩非均质性较强,多属"中等"级别,局部发育"中等-好"、"中等-差"级别烃源岩,侏罗系烃源岩大多存在早（J₃-K₁）、晚（E₂末-N₁）2期生、排烃高峰,生烃总量达1.4×10¹¹ t,资源前景乐观,预测可形成侏罗系"自生自储式"和侏罗系-白垩系（或新生界）"下生上储式"2类源储组合。