Intercomparison of Multiple Hydroclimatic Datasets across the Lower Nelson River Basin,Manitoba, Canada

ABSTRACT

This study evaluates the 1981–2010 spatiotemporal differences in six available climate datasets (daily total precipitation and mean air temperature) over the Lower Nelson River Basin (LNRB) in ten of its sub-watersheds at seasonal and annual time scales. We find that the Australian National University spline interpolation (ANUSPLIN), and inverse distance weighted (IDW) interpolated observations from 14 Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC) meteorological stations show dry biases, whereas reanalysis products tend to overestimate precipitation across most of the basin. All datasets exhibit prominent disagreement in precipitation trends whereby the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) interim reanalysis (ERA-Interim) and European Union Water and Global Change (WATCH) Forcing Data ERA-Interim (WFDEI) show exceptional wetting trends, while the IDW and ANUSPLIN data manifest drying trends. Mean air temperature trends generally agree across most of the datasets; however, the North American Regional Reanalysis (NARR) and IDW show stronger warming relative to other datasets. Overall, analyses of the different climate datasets and their ensemble reveal that the choice of input dataset plays a crucial role in the accurate estimation of historical climatic conditions, particularly when assessing trends, for the LNRB. Using the ensemble has the distinct advantage of preserving the unique strengths of all datasets and affords the opportunity to estimate the uncertainty for hydrologic modelling and climate change impact studies.     

未来气候情景下长江上游区域积雪时空变化分析——基于CMIP5多模式集合数据

基于21个CMIP5全球气候模式集合数据,耦合VIC模型,预估了未来30年（2011-2040年）RCP2.6、RCP4.5和RCP8.5 三个情景下长江上游区域积雪的时空变化。结果表明:与基准期1970-1999年相比,长江上游区域未来30年的多年平均气温和各月平均气温都将升高1~2℃,其中冬季和春季升温较大;平均年降水量将增加3%~4%,但秋、冬季降水有所减小。未来30年平均积雪深相对于基准期将减小37.8%左右,在积雪过程中达到最大积雪深的时间与基准期基本相同,而融雪开始的时间略有延后;从空间变化来看,冬季（1月份）长江上游区域大部分地区的积雪深都呈现减小趋势,部分地区积雪深减小超过了50%。     

Intercomparison of instruments for tropospheric measurements using differential optical absorption spectroscopy

The results of an intercomparison campaign of eight different long path UV-visible DOAS instruments measuring NO₂, O₃ and SO₂ concentrations in a moderately polluted urban site are presented. For effective optical path lengths of 230 and 780 m the overall spread of these measurements (±1) are 5×10¹⁰, 6×10¹⁰ and 1×10¹⁰ molec·cm^-3 (2.0, 2.4, and 0.4 ppb) for these molecules respectively when all instruments used a common set of absorption cross sections. The remaining differences are not completely random and the systematic differences are attributed to the different retrieval methods used for each instrument.     

国产GPS探空仪国际比对试验结果

通过2010年7月12日—8月1日第8届世界气象组织阳江国际探空比对,采取同球比对施放方式,选择芬兰Vaisala探空仪作为比对标准,对中国参加国际比对的长峰探空仪与华云探空仪,使用共29次同球比对数据,从典型个例分析与统计分析两方面开展系统性评估。初步评估结果表明:对于温度探测,中国长峰探空仪整体系统偏差在0.4℃之内,标准偏差在0.7℃之内,中国华云探空仪在30 km高度以下性能与长峰探空仪相当,但是30 km高度以上偏差明显增大;对于气压与风的探测,两者系统偏差与标准偏差均较小,表明GPS定位以及气压与风的算法准确;对于湿度探测,与芬兰Vaisala探空仪相比,还存在一定差距,特别是低温性能需要提高。     

国际大气环流模式比较计划（AMIP）进展

介绍了国际大气环流模式比较计划（AMIP）的概况，它的分析子计划及执行情况、科学进展、相关计划及未来发展等情况，以便国内学者了解并积极参与该研究计划。     

近20年来气候模式的发展与模式比较计划

20世纪80年代以来，全球气候观测系统的不断完善、国际大型外场观测试验的成功实施以及高性能计算机的飞速发展，为气候模式的迅猛发展提供了基础和条件。近20年来气候模式的复杂程度和模拟能力得到了显著的提高，目前已成为研究全球和区域气候的形成及变异、气候系统各圈层之间的相互作用以及全球变化等的有力工具。对气候模式（包括大气环流模式、陆面过程模式、海洋环流模式以及区域气候模式）的主要发展进行综合评述，并简要介绍了目前世界上一些主要的模式比较研究计划。     

The tropospheric distribution of carbon monoxide as observed during the Tropoz II experiment

As part of the TROPOZ II large-scale measurement campaign in January 1991 we deployed a Four Laser Airborne Infra Red (FLAIR) tunable diode laser spectrometer on board a Caravelle 116 research aircraft. We report here in situ CO measurements which were obtained with one of the four channels of the FLAIR instrument at a time resolution of either one or two minutes. The flight route of the TROPOZ II campaign followed the Atlantic coasts of North America, the Pacific and Atlantic coasts of South America and the Atlantic coasts of West Africa and Europe. A total of 48 CO vertical profiles extending from the surface to 10.5 km altitude were obtained. In the meridional direction adjacent profiles were separated by less than 10° latitude. Polewards of 30°S the CO distribution was very homogeneous with a mean mixing ratio of 55 ppbv. Between 30°S and the equator, the CO mixing ratio above 8 km altitude ranged up to 130 ppbv and was 20–60 ppbv higher than in the mid free troposhere. Three day backward trajectories for these CO rich airmasses originated over Amazonia. Earlier trace gas measurements as well as circulation studies suggested that these airmasses were of Northern Hemispheric origin and had been rapidly convected to the upper troposphere over central South America. The influence of biomass burning is clearly apparent from the measurements performed at 10°N on the African side of the Atlantic with CO mixing ratios being 100–300% higher than on the Central American side. CO mixing ratios further north ranged from 80 to 130 ppbv in the free troposphere and increased to 130–150 ppbv at lower altitudes.     

国产珠状温度传感器对比分析

通过比对试验,采取同球比对施放方式,选择德国GRAW探空仪作为比对标准,使用总共12次同球比对数据,对中国长峰、华云和大桥3种型号探空仪的珠状电阻温度传感器开展比对分析.经典型个例分析与统计分析表明:3个型号国产探空仪高空温度廓线与德国GRAW探空仪具有较好的整体一致性,温度测量夜间性能均好于白天;长峰探空仪温度探测性能随高度变化比较稳定,而华云探空仪与大桥探空仪性能相仿,均随高度性能下降,尤其是30km以上高空;长峰探空仪温度探测整体性能最好,相对系统误差在0.2℃左右;而华云探空仪与大桥探空仪误差可达1℃,且均表现为整体上温度测值偏低.体积较小的珠状温度传感器将是未来高空温度探测的一个好的选择,下一步需要改善华云探空仪与大桥探空仪温度传感器表面涂层工艺,两者的温度辐射订正算法也需要进一步完善.     

A multi-model study of the restratification phase in an idealized convection basin

The representation of baroclinic instability in numerical models depends strongly upon the model physics and significant differences may be found depending on the vertical discretization of the governing dynamical equations. This dependency is explored in the context of the restratification of an idealized convective basin with no external forcing. A comparison is made between an isopycnic model including a mixed layer (the Miami Isopycnic Coordinate Ocean Model, MICOM), its adiabatic version (MICOM-ADIAB) in which the mixed layer physics are removed and the convective layer is described by a deep adiabatic layer outcropping at the surface instead of a thick dense mixed layer, and a z-coordinate model (OPA model).In the absence of a buoyancy source at the surface, the mixed layer geometry in MICOM prevents almost any retreat of this layer. As a result, lateral heat exchanges in the upper layers are limited while mass transfers across the outer boundary of the deep convective mixed layer result in an unrealistic outward spreading of this layer. Such a widespread deep mixed layer maintains a low level of baroclinic instability, and therefore limits lateral heat exchanges in the upper layers over most of the model domain. The behavior of the adiabatic isopycnic model and z-coordinate model is by far more satisfactory although contrasted features can be observed between the two simulations. In MICOM-ADIAB, the more baroclinic dynamics introduce a stronger contrast between the surface and the dense waters in the eddy kinetic energy and heat flux distributions. Better preservation of the density contrasts around the dense water patch maintains more persistent baroclinic instability, essentially associated with the process of dense water spreading. The OPA simulation shows a faster growth of the eddy kinetic energy in the early stages of the restratification which is attributed to more efficient baroclinic instability and leads to the most rapid buoyancy restoring in the convective area among the three simulations. Dense water spreading and warm surface capping occur on fairly similar time scales in MICOM-ADIAB although the former is more persistent that the latter. In this model, heat is mainly transported by anticyclonic eddies in the dense layer while both cyclonic and anticyclonic eddies are involved in the upper layers. In OPA, heat is mainly brought into the convective zone through the export of cold water trapped in cyclonic eddies with a strong barotropic structure. Probably the most interesting difference between the z-coordinate and the adiabatic isopycnic model is found in the temperature distribution ultimately produced by the restratification process. OPA generates a spurious volume of intermediate water which is not seen in MICOM-ADIAB where the volume of the dense water is preserved.