葛洲坝三号闸水平位移回归分析

在系统介绍葛洲坝水利枢纽三号船闸位移监测系统的基础上,结合05年至12年的历年实测数据,利用回归分析统计模型理论,对水平位移变化规律及其影响因素进行了相关分析,得到闸门位移的相关结论和影响因素的规律,具有一定的实际指导意义。     

顾及地价空间分布规律的城市基准地价以价定级方法研究

提出了一种城市基准地价以价定级方法。该方法用矢栅混合模型划分评价单元,对地价样点进行趋势面分析筛选,使用最短路径距离代替欧氏距离对地价样点进行空间插值,叠加分析后得到各评估单元的指标地价,用其代替传统的因素综合得分对基准地价评估区域分等定级,同时测算出各级别基准地价。以上海市为例对该方法的实用性进行了验证。     

云南北北西地震条带GPS观测

云南北北西地震条带西起中甸、保山,跨越洱源-鹤庆断裂、程海断裂、红河断裂、曲江断裂、澜沧江断裂以及小江断裂等主要活动断裂,止于云南东部的寻甸、弥勒,其上共有17个GPS观测点。通过对这17个测点进行复测,并以2001年观测资料作为背景,获取了观测区域内地壳水平形变速率、地应变、面膨胀等信息。结果显示,滇西的永胜、洱源、下关、南涧一带地壳差异运动最强烈,其次是滇南的通海、建水地区。     

基于GPS和GRACE数据的三维地表形变的比较及地球物理解释

GPS技术能以高空间和高时间分辨率监测地表形变.但由于测量原理的不同,GPS监测的地表形变与GRACE存在差异.本文比较了ITRF2008-GPS残差序列与基于CSR的RL05版本的GRACE球谐系数的地表形变序列的差异.结果表明,GPS和GRACE的周年变化在高程方向上具有较好的一致性,但水平方向的差异明显.重点分析了影响GPS/GRACE地表形变差异(尤其是水平方向)的三个因素:不同GPS站时间序列间的不确定性,热弹性形变和区域形变.GPS站地表形变本身的不确定度在一定程度上导致了GPS/GRACE间的差异(特别是水平方向).结合热弹性形变理论指出,由温度变化引起的热弹性形变也是导致GPS/GRACE的南北方向差异的主要原因之一.因此利用GPS数据研究地表质量负载时,必须消除热弹性形变的影响.区域负载对GPS/GRACE水平方向差异的影响也是不可忽略的,特别是对欧洲区域.     

垂直和平行于断层方向的脉冲参数特性分析

如何实现速度脉冲参数化并对其参数进行特性分析是一个值得深究的问题.从NGA-West2强震动数据库选取126组近断层脉冲型地震动记录,采用速度脉冲模型,基于最小二乘法拟合得到水平分量的速度脉冲模型特征参数,研究震级、断层距、场地类别对脉冲参数的影响,并对比垂直和平行断层分量脉冲参数的特性差异.结果表明:垂直断层分量的脉...     

PRIMARILY STUDY ON FEATURES OF SURFACE RUPTURES INDUCED BY THE 2016 MW7.8 KARKOURA EARTHQUAKE,NEW ZEALAND

The surface ruptures produced by the 2016 M_W7.8 Karkoura earthquake, New Zealand are distributed in a belt with~170km long and~35km wide, trending generally in the NE-SW direction. There are at least 12 faults on which meter-scale displacements are identified and they were formed across two distinct seismotectonic provinces with fundamental different characteristics(Hamling et al., 2017; Litchfield et al., 2017). Although the trending directions of the seismic surface ruptures vary greatly at different locations, the ruptured faults can be generally divided into two groups with the NE to NEE direction and the NNW to N direction, respectively. The faults in the NNW-near NS direction are nearly parallel with 40~50km apart and featured by reverse movement with the maximum displacement of 5~6m. The faults in the NE-NNE direction, with the maximum of 25~30km apart are not continuous and featured by the dextral strike slip with the largest displacement of 10~12m. Even if some faults along the NE-NEE direction are end to end connected, their strikes differ by about 30°. The combination styles of the strike-slip fault surface ruptures along the NE-NEE direction can be merged into 3 categories, including en-echelon, bifurcation and parallel patterns. The scales of the fault surface ruptures with the same structural style could be obviously different in different areas, which results in significant changes in the widths of deformation zone, from tens of meters to hundreds of meters. En-echelon distributed surface rupture(section)can appear as a combination belt of meter-scale to dozens of meter-scale shear fracture with bulge and compressional shear fractures, and also can be characterized by the combination of the left-step en-echelon tensile shear fractures with a length of more than one hundred meters. The step-overs between surface rupture sections are clearly different in sizes, which can be dozens of meters, hundreds of meters to several kilometers. The spacing between parallel surface ruptures can be several meters, dozens of meters to several kilometers. Besides, as one of the prominent characteristics, the seismic surface ruptures caused by the Karkoura earthquake broke through the known distribution pattern of active faults. The surface ruptures can occur either on the previously thought inactive or unmapped faults, or break through the distribution range of previously realized active faults in the striking or lateral direction. The basic features about the distribution and widths of the surface ruptures induced by the 2016 M_W7.8 Karkoura earthquake, New Zealand presented in this paper might be helpful for understanding some seismic problems such as complex corresponding relationship between the active faults and the deep seismogenic structure, and the necessary measurements for engineering crossing active faults.     

Field survey and modelling of irrigation water quality indices in a Mediterranean island catchment: a comparison between spatial interpolation methods

ABSTRACT

A biannual survey of physico-chemical quality indices of 104 irrigation-water wells located in a cultivated plain of a Mediterranean island catchment was conducted using a multi-parameter probe. The campaign was planned so as to differentiate between the dry and wet seasons. The acquired data constituted the test bed for evaluating the results and the features of four spatial interpolation methods, i.e. ordinary kriging, universal kriging, inverse distance weighted and nearest neighbours, against those of the recently introduced bilinear surface smoothing (BSS). In several cases, BSS outperformed the other interpolation methods, especially during the two-fold cross-validation procedure. The study emphasizes the fact that both in situ measurements and good mathematical techniques for studying the spatial distribution of water quality indices are pivotal to agricultural practice management. In the specific case studied, the spatio-temporal variability of water quality parameters and the need for monitoring were evident, as low irrigation water quality was encountered throughout the study area.     

强夯振动衰减规律及其对建筑安全性的影响

依托工程实例,对粉土场地强夯加固振动衰减规律及其对建筑物的影响开展试验研究,探讨了振动加速度与强夯能量、传播距离之间的关系,建立了2种能级夯击振动加速度衰减公式;提出了建筑物最小安全距离的确定方法及减轻强夯振动影响的工程措施。结果表明:强夯振动加速度峰值近似按指数函数衰减,且强夯能量越大,振动衰减速度越快;夯击振动卓越频率为8—10Hz,振源距对振动卓越频率影响不大;振源距达到50m时,2种能级的强夯振动对建筑物影响均可忽略不计。     

水平摆观测中多次重现异常的初步分析

文章通过对临汾中心地震台水平摆观测中记录到的“两分向同步转向、大幅倾变”异常进行统计分析,对与其对应地震的相关性进行探讨,初步认为此类异常是一种短临震兆异常,与中、强远震相对应,发震时间多为异常转向后2~20d。