模糊区域拓扑关系模型

拓扑关系是地理信息系统中空间要素之间最基本也是最重要的关系之一，是进行绝大多数空间查询和分析的基础。非模糊空间要素之间的拓扑关系在一般拓扑学等理论的基础上已有相关的模型和描述，并在实践中得到广泛的应用，如何建立模糊空间要素这间的拓扑关系是建立模糊要素地理信息系统的基础。该文在模糊扑扑学的基础上提出了模糊区域的定义，建立了用于分析模糊区域之间拓扑关系的理论和模型，提出了4*4-intersection模型拓扑关系矩阵，并分析了不同拓扑关系矩阵对于非模糊区域之间、模糊区域之间建立拓扑关系的区别和联系，最后采和不同公式对模糊区域之间的关系进行了系统的描述。     

Present land use and cover patterns and their development potential in North Ningxia

With the objectives to acquire the fundamental data of the territorial resource, understand the impacts of human activities on the land use and cover patterns and evaluate the potential of the future exploitation, an intensive land cover classification with an accuracy of 93% has been completed for North Ningxia by remote sensing technique based on the adoption of a combination method composed of texture training, maximum likelihood classification and post-processing such as re-allocation and aggregation. This classification result was incorporated with the contemporaneous socio-economic and meteorological data for cross-sectional regression modelling to reveal the spatial determinants of the land cover patterns and understand the human-environmental relationships. A tentative evaluation on the potential of soil exploitation in the near future was carried out in combination with our land use and cover change detection results aiming at supplying some useful references for the central and local governments in their sustainable land use planning.     

地铁基坑支护方案的模糊评价

根据地匠深基坑支护工程的特点，建立支护方案的指标体系，运用层次分析法确定了指标的权重，采用模糊数学的方法，构造了单极模糊评价模型，将指标因素的不确定性进行定量化。实例分析表明，模糊综合评价进行深基坑支护方案优选的方法是可行的、有效的。     

油气化探综合异常模糊划分动态聚类分级评价

通过选取描述油气化探综合异常的各种特征参量，借助模糊数学工具，利用最优聚类中心所具有的代表特征，建立分级指标，对油气化探综合进行分级评价。鄂尔多斯盆地油气化探综合异常的评价实例结果表明，利用油气化探综合异常各种特征参量进行动态聚类分级评价是可行的。     

b值在地震预测中的三类应用及其物理基础与须注意的问题

将b值在地震预测中的直接应用归为三类：1）根据b值的动态变化预测地震。2）根据G－R律求出各级地震平均复发周期或年均发生率，推测未来一定时段如50年或100年内发生各级地震的危险性。3）根据G－R直线在横轴的截距，预测强余震的震级。讨论了这三种用法的物理基础及现有工作中容易出现的问题。     

基于图像特征的烟叶分级

讨论了基于图像特征的烤烟烟叶分级系统的建模及其实现，给出了烟叶分级模型的数学描述，探讨了模型库的优化和特征隶属度及烟叶模式的可信度的计算问题，并通过试验分析了FTGS系统的性能和有效性。     

党政机关电子政务建设的若干问题

以从事政务信息化建设的实践经验为基础 ,对电子政务建设的基本问题进行了系统分析 ,内容包括 :信息关系和信息控制、信息分类、数据库结构、软件系统开发思路、电子政务的工作目标、服务对象、服务模式、电子政务建设的技术措施等。     

Recent Precipitation Trends in Hungary in the Context of Larger Scale Climatic Changes

The time series of monthly precipitation totals from 14 Hungarian observing stations (1901–1998) were analysed to reveal the long term changes in precipitation characteristics occurred in the 20th century. A particular attention was given to the changes in the recent decades and their links with the larger scale climatic and circulation changes over Europe and the Atlantic.The statistical significancesof systematic changes are controlled by linear trend analysis and the Mann–Kendall test. The long term fluctuations are illustrated applying a 15-point Gaussian filter on the time series. The Standardised Precipitation Index is used to evaluate the changes in the drought event frequency. The relationships with larger scale changes are mostly discussed relying on contemporary papers, and the Grosswetterlagen Catalogue is used as well.The annual precipitation total decreased by 15–20% in Hungary during the 20th century. The decline is substantial in both halves of the century, but the precipitation sums in the transition seasons declined in the first 50 years, and the winter precipitation decreased in the latest decades. The precipitation total of the period November–February declined significantly in the last 50 years. In the same time the mean winter value of the North Atlantic Oscillation Index (NAOI) increased, the positions of the main pressure patterns over the Atlantic are shifted northeastward, and lot of other coherent changes detected in the winter climate of the European–Atlantic region. The mean summer precipitation total has hardly changed, but the frequency of summer drought events increased. There are some signs of a shift of the Hungarian summer climate towards a Mediterranean like climate.     

脑卒中与气象要素关系的探讨

1994年1月至2000年12月北京地区若干社区脑卒中发病人数与同期气象资料分析结果表明：北京地区脑卒中发病有明显的季节性，冬春季高发，夏秋季低发；出血性脑卒中发病是春秋季高发，夏季低发；缺血性脑卒中发病是夏季高，秋季低。脑卒中发病与气温、气压和相对湿度有密切关系；寒冷与高温，气温、气压的剧烈变化等，可能是诱发脑卒中的重要气象因素。     

冀鲁豫交界区地下流体模糊熵值的变化与地震的关系

采用概率化预处理方法，把冀鲁豫交界区地下流体多种观测项目的观测值转化为概率值时间序列，然后计算其模糊从属函数。在此基础上计算该区地下流体构成的信息源系统的模糊熵值，分析了模糊熵值变化与1983年山东菏泽Ms 5.9地震和1985年河北任县Ms5.0地震的关系。结果显示，在这两次中强地震前分别有明显的减熵异常过程，并且一次比一次明显，中强地震都发生在低熵值处，震后恢复到高熵值的变化过程。这可能反映了地下流体构成的信息源系统在地震孕育和发生过程中的减熵有序变化。通过研究认为，该区模糊熵值减到0.907为发震前兆异常警戒线，并且离中强地震发生的时间越近，减熵过程越大；震级越大，减熵过程越明显，减熵时间越长。