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171.
172.
中国冰川系统对气候变化响应的敏感性分析 总被引:5,自引:1,他引:4
Data of 44 glacier systems in China used in this paper were obtained from Chinese Glacier Inventories and the meteorological data were got from Meteorological Atlas of Plateau of west China. Based on the statistical analysis and functional model simulation results of the 44 glacier systems in China, the glacier systems were divided into extremely-sensitive glacier system, semi-sensitive glacier system, extremely-steady glacier system and semi-steady glacier system in terms of glacier system's level of water-energy exchange, rising gradient of the equilibrium line altitudes and retreating rate of area to climate warming, their median size and vertical span distribution, and their runoff characteristics to climate warming. Furthermore the functional model of glacier system to climate warming was applied in this paper to predict the average variation trends of the 4 types of glacier systems, which indicate that different sensitivity types of glacier systems respond to the climate warming differently. 相似文献
173.
Vesa Nykänen 《Natural Resources Research》2008,17(1):29-48
Among the more popular spatial modeling techniques, artificial neural networks (ANN) are tools that can deal with non-linear
relationships, can classify unknown data into categories by using known examples for training, and can deal with uncertainty;
characteristics that provide new possibilities for data exploration. Radial basis functional link nets (RBFLN), a form of
ANN, are applied to generate a series of prospectivity maps for orogenic gold deposits within the Paleoproterozoic Central
Lapland Greenstone Belt, Northern Fennoscandian Shield, Finland, which is considered highly prospective yet clearly under
explored. The supervised RBFLN performs better than previously applied statistical weights-of-evidence or conceptual fuzzy
logic methods, and equal to logistic regression method, when applied to the same geophysical and geochemical data layers that
are proxies for conceptual geological controls. By weighting the training feature vectors in terms of the size of the gold
deposits, the classification of the neural network results provides an improved prediction of the distribution of the more
important deposits/occurrences. Thus, ANN, more specifically RBFLN, potentially provide a better tool to other methodologies
in the development of prospectivity maps for mineral deposits, hence aiding conceptual exploration. 相似文献
174.
北京城郊农业区在不同时期因产业化、城市化的不同而承担着不同的发展目标, 其城乡一体化的进程及空间格局也出现了差异。本文运用历史沿革分析和数理分析方法对城乡一体化的功能结构及空间分布进行了研究, 结果表明:自1988 年以来, 处于近郊至远郊内缘的农业区(23~57 km处)的产业化、城市化分别出现了辐射式→飞地式、等级转移式→团块+扇状式+辐射式的空间发展;不同时期生态、经济、社会功能的组合和实现情况各有侧重, 多功能评价值相应地在“W”、“M”型空间格局之间转变。总体上, 北京郊区农业区的城乡功能及其综合效益都在增强, 但相对而言经济功能的作用在降低, 生态、景观功能在上升, 社会功能存在波动但总体趋强, 城乡功能的空间布局更加复杂, 而且这种发展态势直接影响着北京“十二五”期间多层次、多中心的城乡一体化建设。 相似文献
175.
Optimizing layout of pumping well in irrigation district for groundwater sustainable use in northwest China 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
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Optimizing layout of pumping well plays a vital role in curbing the groundwater level decline. A novel optimization model is presented in this study. First, the optimal well number is obtained by taking into account factors of local economy and environment based on nonlinear programming model. Then, the well spatial layout assessment model is attained based on information entropy weight and technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS). After that, the relative closeness to positive ideal solution of alternative (ci) on the rationality of well spatial layout in cultivated land is calculated, and a set of alternatives are ranked according to the descending order of ci. Finally, the well optimization layout is obtained by combining the optimal well number with well spatial layout assessment result based on the GIS data of pumping wells. As a case study, this method was applied in Yongchang Irrigation District of Shiyang River Basin, the arid region of northwest China. Results show that under the conditions of sustainable use of water resources, the irrigation district needed 724 wells for irrigation, with a decrease of 31.0% when compared with the existing number of wells. The wells with low flow rate and operating efficiency distributed in high density where groundwater is over‐exploitation were recommended to be closed. This well optimization layout method is expected to play a significant role in helping make plans for exploiting groundwater at more sustainable level, curbing the groundwater level decline trend, and improving the local ecological environment. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
176.
177.
冻融循环条件下生境基材中三种功能微生物数量变化规律研究 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
为揭示高寒地区典型生境基材中功能微生物数量变化的规律,以黄棕壤土为试验土样,在两种初始含水率条件下,分别制备客土、植被混凝土以及加菌植被混凝土三种不同类型的生境基材进行冻融循环模拟试验,探讨生境基材类型、初始含水率和冻融循环次数对基材中功能微生物数量的影响。试验结果显示:三种基材中功能微生物数量均受冻融循环影响显著,且随冻融循环次数增加总体呈"下降~上升~下降"趋势;冻融循环过程中,三种基材中功能微生物总量存在显著性差异,排序为:加菌植被混凝土 > 植被混凝土 > 客土,且固氮、解钾微生物数量显著低于解磷微生物;含水率为22%的基材中功能微生物总量普遍高于含水率为18%的基材。研究结果表明,加菌植被混凝土的肥力、抗冻性相比客土和植被混凝土有一定程度提升,但仍需对现有功能菌剂配方加以改进,以适应高寒地区冻融环境。 相似文献
178.
庐山风景区功能演化的混沌特征及其启示 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
在构建风景区演化周期、混沌模型的基础上,对庐山风景区功能演化的混沌特征进行了实证研究。庐山风景区主要经历了古代旅游风景名胜区的探索、形成、发展、成熟期和近现代大众旅游的度假、观光、科考旅游地的探索、形成、发展期,其功能演化体现了分形、初始条件与蝴蝶效应、混沌边缘、间歇变换、同步锁模和锁定效应等混沌特征,说明风景区演化是周期和非周期的相对统一。现阶段呈现的旅游消费需求不稳定、景区城市化、行政管理体制不顺、景区发展与社区矛盾等是庐山发展的混沌要素,控制这些混沌要素,有助于促进景区健康发展。 相似文献
179.
An inexact double-sided fuzzy chance-constrained programming (IDFCCP) method was developed in this study and applied to an agricultural effluent control management problem. IDFCCP was formulated through incorporating interval linear programming (ILP) into a double-sided fuzzy chance-constrained programming (DFCCP) framework, and could be used to deal with uncertainties expressed as not only possibility distributions associated with both left- and right-hand-side components of constraints but also discrete intervals in the objective function. The study results indicated that IDFCCP allowed violation of system constraints at specified confidence levels, where each confidence level consisted of two reliability scenarios. This could lead to model solutions with high system benefits under acceptable risk magnitudes. Furthermore, the introduction of ILP allowed uncertain information presented as discrete intervals to be communicated into the optimization process, such that a variety of decision alternatives can be generated by adjusting the decision-variable values within their intervals. The proposed model could help decision makers establish various production patterns with cost-effective water quality management schemes under complex uncertainties, and gain in-depth insights into the trade-offs between system economy and reliability. 相似文献
180.
有限元与改进单纯形法联合编程技术在位移反分析中的应用 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
根据弹性地基梁法基本思想,考虑基坑分步开挖和逐级加撑的动态施工因素,通过有限元计算模拟基坑实际开挖过程。结合现场监测数据,采用位移反分析方法反演各土层m 值,并准确预测后续工况支护体的变形。采用有限元通用软件ANSYS内嵌的APDL语言编程建立支护体有限元计算模型,并应用数学软件MATLAB编制“改进单纯形法”优化程序,编写了接口程序,实现了MATLAB对ANSYS模型的实时循环调用和逐步寻优。武汉长江隧道武昌明挖段基坑工程算例证明,基于单纯形法的联合编程技术能方便、高效地被应用于支护体位移反分析预测中。建立了基于本工况预测下一工况或相邻断面的扩展型位移反分析预测模型,预测结果与实测结果拟合程度较高。 相似文献