基于贴现率的西北太平洋柔鱼生物经济模型及管理策略分析

西北太平洋柔鱼是我国远洋渔业重要的捕捞对象,综合考虑生物、经济和社会效益来科学制定渔业管理目标是确保柔鱼资源可持续利用的重要研究内容。本文根据1996—2011年我国鱿钓船在西北太平洋海域捕捞的柔鱼渔获量和作业成本,结合贴现率和渔获物价格等经济数据,构建基于贴现率的西北太平洋柔鱼生物经济模型。结果表明,西北太平洋柔鱼资源状况处于良好状态,并未遭受过度捕捞;当贴现率α在0.3~0.5之间,当前利益占长远利益的20%~30%(D=0.2~0.3),且渔获物价格在9 195~12 500元/t之间时,该海域的柔鱼资源种群资源量相对稳定,能达到最优种群数量水平,可保证柔鱼渔获量始终处在MSY之下,确保柔鱼资源的可持续利用。     

西北太平洋柔鱼资源综合配置模型及管理策略探讨

柔鱼是我国远洋渔业重要的捕捞对象之一,如何综合考虑生态效益、经济效益和社会效益来科学制定渔业管理目标是确保柔鱼资源可持续利用的重要研究内容。本研究以Gordon-Schaefer生物经济模型为理论基础,利用1996—2008年我国鱿钓船在西北太平洋海域捕捞柔鱼的生产数据以及相关的经济数据,以生态效益(最大持续产量,MSY)、经济效益(最大经济产量,MEY)和社会效益(生物经济平衡点,BE)作为西北太平洋柔鱼资源优化配置的基础数据,考虑三个效益的不同权重建立了柔鱼资源综合配置模型,模拟不同备选方案下柔鱼的短期(1—5年)、中期(10年)及长期(20年)的渔业资源状况、经济效益及其社会效益。结果表明,西北太平洋柔鱼资源已处于充分利用状态,但尚未遭受过度捕捞;以方案8(MSY、MEY各占50%权重为管理目标)和方案2(MEY为管理目标)的中长期经济效益为最大,且资源状况保持最好,但社会效益较低;以方案3(BE为管理目标)的当前及短期效益较大,可以解决社会就业问题,但长期经济效益为最低,且资源状况最差;综合考虑各方面因素,最佳的备选方案为方案8和方案2,即适宜捕捞努力量应控制在3.94万—4.19万船次,可确保柔鱼资源量稳定在BMSY以上。     

Ecological risk assessment of the Marshall Islands longline tuna fishery

To support implementing an ecosystem approach to fisheries management, ecological risk assessment (ERA) methods have recently been developed for the continuum of data-deficient to data-rich fisheries. A semi-quantitative ERA was conducted for the Marshall Islands longline bigeye tuna (Thunnus obesus) fishery. The study used information from analyses of observer data, surveys of captains and crew and inventories of gear and equipment. Relative risks were evaluated through a consideration of phylogenetic uniqueness, risk of population extirpation, risk of species extinction and importance in ecosystem regulation. The fishery presents a highest relative risk to leatherback (Dermochelys coriacea), hawksbill (Eretmochelys imbricata), green (Chelonia mydas) and olive Ridley (Lepidochelys olivacea) sea turtle Regional Management Units that overlap with the fishery, in that order. The next highest relative risk is to affected stocks of oceanic whitetip (Carcharhinus longimanus), blue (Prionace glauca), and silky (Carcharhinus falciformis) sharks, in that sequence. Seabird bycatch is likely not problematic. There was inadequate information to assess risks to cetacean populations. Risks to stocks of market and non-market species of marine fishes with r-selected life history characteristics were not assessed. This is because estimates of critical threshold levels of local and absolute abundance and current biomass are not known for many of these stocks. Several best practice gear technology methods to mitigate problematic catch of vulnerable species groups are currently employed: monofilament leaders, whole fish for bait, single-hooking fish bait, no lightsticks, and no fishing at shallow submerged features. Setting terminal tackle below 100 m and carrying and using best practice handling and release equipment were methods identified to reduce fishing mortality and injury of vulnerable species. More information is needed to determine if weaker hooks should be prescribed to mitigate cetacean bycatch. The large benefit to sea turtles of replacing remaining J-shaped hooks with circle hooks might outweigh a possible small increase in elasmobranch catch rates. The consumption of 2024 l of fuel per tonne of landed catch, which is within the range of available estimated rates from similar fisheries, could be reduced, reducing greenhouse gas emissions, through more frequent maintenance and upgrading vessel equipment and materials. Observer data quality may be adequate to support a quantitative Level 3 ERA to determine the significance of the effect of various factors on standardized catch rates and to estimate population-level effects from fishing mortality.     

Fishery biology of jumbo flying squid Dosidicus gigas off Costa Rica Dome

The jumbo flying squid(Dosidicus gigas) population was surveyed with the help of Chinese squid jigging vessels off the Costa Rica Dome(4°–11°N, 90°–100°W) in 2009 and 2010. The daily catch of D. gigas in the two survey cruises ranged from 0 to 5.5 t and was mostly obtained from the areas bounded by 6°–9°N and 91°–94°W and by 6°30′–7°30′N and 96°–97°W. The sea surface temperature in the areas yielding the most catch ranged from 27.5 to 29℃. The sex ratio of the total catch was 3.75:1(female: male). The mantle length of the squid ranged from 211 to 355 mm(male) and from 204 to 429 mm(female) with an average of 297.9 and 306.7 mm, respectively. In the relationship of the mantle length(mm) and body weight(g) of the squid, there was no significant difference between sexes. The female and male were at a similar maturity, and most individuals are maturing or have matured with a few females being spent. The size(mantle length) and age at the first sexual maturity were 297 mm and 195 d in females, and less than 211 mm and 130 d in males, respectively. Most of the sampled stomachs(70.6%) had no food remains. The major preys of the squids were fish, cephalopods and crustaceans, with the most abundant Myctophum orientale and D. gigas. The preys in more than 65% of the non-empty sampled stomachs evidenced the cannibalism of D. gigas. The results improved current understanding of the fishery biology of D. gigas off the Costa Rica Dome, which may facilitate the assessment and management of relative fishery resources.     

内蒙古赤峰市达里湖渔业产量的灰色预测与分析

由于病害和产卵条件恶化等原因,内蒙古赤峰市达里湖的鱼类资源出现了衰退,经调整产业政策,渔业产量在大幅度下降后又有所回升。本文使用内蒙古赤峰市达里湖2000—2009年的渔业产量数据,并应用灰色预测模型对其未来5 a的渔业产量进行了预测。结果表明,使用全程数据进行预测的渔业产量将持续下降,与最近几年的渔业产量趋势明显不符,这是由于在数据序列的中段发生的渔业产业政策调整造成了产量大幅度下降,其惯性对预测结果产生了决定性影响,而仅使用产业政策调整后的数据进行预测,则渔业产量呈上升趋势,并有望恢复到历史最高水平,说明渔业产业政策调整有利于渔业资源的保护和可持续利用。本文的结果同时表明,应用于灰色预测的数据的外部条件的突然变化(如本文中的渔业产业结构调整),会对预测结果产生很大影响,在选择数据序列时应予以关注。此外如何对数据外部条件的突然变化进行量化评估,并嵌入灰色预测模型,使灰色预测模型能够应对数据外部条件的突然变化,也是今后的1个研究课题。     

水环境及水产品中汞的测定与形态分析进展

概要总结了世界各地对水环境及水产品中汞的测定与形态分析的研究成果,涵盖样品采集、储存、传递与处理,各种色谱(薄层色谱、气相色谱、液相色谱、电色谱和离子色谱)分离分析方法及其联用技术,以及分光光度法、电化学法、原子吸收光谱和原子荧光光谱的应用等。并对未来发展提出了改进建议。     

中国海洋渔业人力资源结构的灰色分析及其预测

用灰色关联和灰色预测的方法，对我国沿海省市海洋渔业人力资源的结构和现状进行了分析，并对2000～2005年的人力资源发展状况进行了预测。结果认为，对海洋渔业劳动力影响最大的因素是海洋捕捞专业的劳动力，其次是海洋兼业劳动力，再次是海洋养殖和后勤专业的劳动力，这一人力资源的组成结构对可持续渔业的发展要求不尽合理。通过分别建立灰色模型GM（1，1），预测到2000～2005年从事海洋渔业的劳动力人数将达到291.9～343.8万人，海洋捕捞的劳动力人数为128.5～149.2万人，海洋养殖的劳动力人数为54.3～77.9万人，海洋后勤的劳动力人数为29.1～35.4万人，海洋兼业的劳动力人数为81.3～87.9万人。     

北极海域渔业资源开发现状及对策

随着全球变暖,北极海冰覆盖面积逐年减少。在全球海洋渔业资源衰退的大背景下,北极渔业资源的开发和合理利用备受世界各国关注,越来越多的国际组织和科学家开始对北极渔业进行探索研究。由于北极地区环境恶劣,海洋鱼类的种类和资源量相比其他地区较少,但随着北极海冰的融化,北极渔业资源开发和利用成为可能,北极潜在的未充分开发利用的渔业资源正吸引着有关国家的高度关注。为此,本文通过收集国内外相关文献,对北极渔业种类、资源状况及其开发现状进行了分析,同时提出了中国参与北极渔业资源开发和利用的对策与建议。     

气候变化对北极渔业资源的影响研究进展

近几十年来气候变化越发严峻,对北极渔业资源产生极大的影响。气候变化引发的海水升温、海平面上升和海冰缩减等改变,不仅直接影响北极渔业资源的种类习性及时空分布,而且通过对洋流、北极涛动、臭氧层等的影响间接地影响北极渔业资源的格局。气候变化对北极渔业资源的结构和数量有着不可逆转的影响,且影响范围广。本文通过对影响北极渔业资源的重大气候变化进行分析研究,找出气候变化影响北极渔业资源的主要因素,从而为应对气候变化,保护北极渔业资源提供基础,以便有效地、科学地并全面地确保北极渔业的可持续发展。