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51.
基于中国地区T213集合预报产品2 m温度预报数据,采用卡尔曼滤波类型的自适应递减平均法进行偏差订正处理,原方案在剧烈降温天气订正效果表现不理想。通过对递减平均参数w的重新构建得到改进的订正方案w(i,p)(i为站点信息,p为天气过程信息),在此基础上进一步优化对历史信息的有效提取,得到改进的方案w(i,p)相似法和w(i,p)统计法,并进行效果检验。结果表明:改进为包含空间和天气过程信息的函数w(i,p)后方案的订正效果得到不同程度的提高,其中24 h剧烈降温预报各成员预报均方根误差平均减小了0. 15℃;而进一步改进的w(i,p)统计法在当前几种剧烈降温预报中订正效果最优,其集合平均偏差与w(i,p)方案相比减小2. 54℃。 相似文献
52.
The implicit nonlinear normal mode initialization (INMI) is applied to a tropical limited area shallow water modelin spherical coordinates.The boundary condition for the INMI scheme is based on the boundary formulation of themodel.The INMI scheme is found to be very efficient in suppressing spurious gravity wave oscillation and providing awell balanced initial data set for the model.The INMI scheme involves solving a number of elliptic type equations withvarying complexity.and hence an efficient numerical technique is required for solving such equations.In order to makeINMI computationally more attractive,we are employing the multigrid method for solving all the elliptic type equationsin the INMI scheme.The numerical procedures for the development of such multigrid solvers are briefly described. 相似文献
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本文提出一种利用LAU效应测定干涉滤光片中心透过率波长值的理论和实验方法,这一方法不但具有精度高、装置简单、方法简便等优点,而且由该方法所获得的实验结果,可以作为当前有关平面周期物体LAU 效应新理论的一种实践检验。 相似文献
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A. Ian McLeod K. W. Hipel 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》1995,9(3):171-205
Current methods of estimation of the univariate spectral density are reviewed and some improvements are made. It is suggested that spectral analysis may perhaps be best thought of as another exploratory data analysis (EDA) tool which complements, rather than competes with, the popular ARMA model building approach. A new diagnostic check for ARMA model adequacy based on the nonparametric spectral density is introduced. Additionally, two new algorithms for fast computation of the autoregressive spectral density function are presented. For improving interpretation of results, a new style of plotting the spectral density function is suggested. Exploratory spectral analyses of a number of hydrological time series are performed and some interesting periodicities are suggested for further investigation. The application of spectral analysis to determine the possible existence of long memory in natural time series is discussed with respect to long riverflow, treering and mud varve series. Moreover, a comparison of the estimated spectral densities suggests the ARMA models fitted previously to these datasets adequately describe the low frequency component. Finally, the software and data used in this paper are available by anonymous ftp from fisher.stats.uwo.ca. 相似文献
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On 30 January 1997 an intrusion on Kīlauea volcano opened a new fissure within the East Rift Zone (ERZ) at Nāpau Crater, 3 km
uprift from the ongoing eruptions at Pu’u ’Ō’ō. The fissure eruption lasted 22 h and opened a 5.1 km long, nearly vertical
dike 1.9 m, extending from the surface to a depth of 2.4 km (Owen et al. 2000b). During the eruption, the lava pond at Pu’u ’Ō’ō drained, and eruptions ceased there. Pu’u ’Ō’ō eventually refilled in late
February and eruptions resumed there on 28 March 1997. Continuous GPS data show a large transient following the 30 January
1997 dike intrusion. After lengthening 40 cm during the initial eruption, the baseline between two stations spanning the ERZ
lengthened an additional 10 cm over the following 6 months. A coastal station KAEP also exhibited transient deformation, as
it continued to move southward (5 cm) over the same 6-month period. The baseline between two stations spanning Kīlauea’s summit
caldera contracted sharply during the eruption, but gradually recovered to slightly longer than its previous length 2 months
after the intrusion. We use the extended network inversion filter (McGuire and Segall 2003) to invert continuous GPS data for volume change of a spherical pressure source under Kīlauea’s summit, opening distribution
on a nearly vertical dike in the ERZ and potential slip on a decollement 9 km beneath the south flank. Following the 30 January
intrusion, rift extension continued below the initial dike intrusion for the duration of the transient. Decollement slip,
regardless of its assumed depth, is not required to fit the data. The modeled transient summit reinflation and rift opening
patterns under Nāpau crater coincide with changes in observed behavior of Pu’u ’Ō’ō’s lava pond. Rift opening accelerated
while Pu’u ’Ō’ō eruptions paused and began to decelerate after the lava pond reappeared nearly a month after the Nāpau eruption.
The transient deformation is interpreted as resulting from shallow accommodation of the new dike volume. 相似文献
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基于启发式图搜索的遥感影像道路半自动提取 总被引:10,自引:2,他引:10
启发式图搜索法用于线状目标识别的原理是:用图结构表示边缘点和边缘段,根据启发函数计算顶点权值,在图的路径上建立相应的代价函数,通过在图中搜索对应的最小代价的通道以找到最优路径。图搜索法是一种全局最优方法,它在受噪声影响较大时效果仍然较好。文中使用了启发式图搜索法(A*算法)实现了道路的半自动跟踪。它的基本思路是:首先利用自适应平滑滤波算子进行道路信息增强,然后对传统的道路数学模型进行了进一步的扩展,突出了对道路几何特性和辐射特性的描述,并依此构建图搜索的代价函数,实现了基于启发式图搜索法A*算法的道路半自动跟踪。经实验证明,该方法进行遥感影像的道路半自动提取效果较好。 相似文献