A Monthly Atmospheric Circulation Classification and Its Relationship with Climate in Harbin

In this study,the classification scheme developed by Jenkinson and Collison (1977) based on a typing scheme of Lamb (1950) is applied to obtain circulation types from the mean sea-level pressure on a monthly basis.Monthly mean sea-level pressure data from 1951 to 2002 are used to derive six circulation indices and to provide a circulation catalogue with 27 circulation types.Five major types (N,NW,C,CSW,and SW) which occurred most frequently are analyzed to reveal their relationships with the temperature of Harbin on various time scales.Stepwise multiple regression is used to reconstruct temperature anomaly.The monthly mean rainfall of all types occurring and the composite maps of three major types (C,CSW,and SW) relevant to Harbin's precipitation are studied. The results show that the dominant types in winter are types N and NW.types C,CSW,and SW occur frequently in summer.Types N and NW favor a negative temperature anomaly and correspond to less rainfall,while types C,CSW,and SW often induce a positive temperature anomaly and correspond to more rainfall.Moreover,a successful statistical model can be established with only one of the six indices and large-scale mean temperature.Using the model,77.3% of the total variance in the temperature anomaly between 1951 and 2002 can be reconstructed.Type C has a close relationship with total rainfall and type C precipitation plays a major role in determining the total rainfall of Harbin in recent years.This classification scheme is a statistical downscaling model and its relationships with temperature and precipitation can be used to forecast regional climate.     

Seasonal Predictions of Summer Precipitation in the Middle-lower Reaches of the Yangtze River with Global and Regional Models Based on NUIST-CFS1.0

Accurate prediction of the summer precipitation over the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River(MLYR) is of urgent demand for the local economic and societal development. This study assesses the seasonal forecast skill in predicting summer precipitation over the MLYR region based on the global Climate Forecast System of Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology(NUIST-CFS1.0, previously SINTEX-F). The results show that the model can provide moderate skill in predicting the i...     

Impact of spectral nudging on the downscaling of tropical cyclones in regional climate simulations

This study investigated the simulations of three months of seasonal tropical cyclone (TC) activity over the western North Pacific using the Advanced Research WRF Model. In the control experiment (CTL), the TC frequency was considerably overestimated. Additionally, the tracks of some TCs tended to have larger radii of curvature and were shifted eastward. The large-scale environments of westerly monsoon flows and subtropical Pacific highs were unreasonably simulated. The overestimated frequency of TC formation was attributed to a strengthened westerly wind field in the southern quadrants of the TC center. In comparison with the experiment with the spectral nudging method, the strengthened wind speed was mainly modulated by large-scale flow that was greater than approximately 1000 km in the model domain. The spurious formation and undesirable tracks of TCs in the CTL were considerably improved by reproducing realistic large-scale atmospheric monsoon circulation with substantial adjustment between large-scale flow in the model domain and large-scale boundary forcing modified by the spectral nudging method. The realistic monsoon circulation took a vital role in simulating realistic TCs. It revealed that, in the downscaling from large-scale fields for regional climate simulations, scale interaction between model-generated regional features and forced large-scale fields should be considered, and spectral nudging is a desirable method in the downscaling method.     

基于TRMM降水数据的空间降尺度模拟

本研究以黑河流域为例,通过在不同空间尺度上建立降水与影响因素的关系并选择最优尺度以此进行降尺度,建立了基于地理加权回归（GWR）与高精度曲面建模方法（HASM）相结合的跨尺度统计降尺度方法,对TRMM降水数据进行了降尺度模拟。最后,结合站点观测数据采用交叉验证法对降尺度结果进行了验证。结果表明,与传统的降尺度方法相比,考虑最优尺度的降尺度方法在一定程度上提高了降尺度结果的精度,同时表明对跨尺度过程中产生的误差进行修正可进一步提高结果精度。本研究所提出的方法可用于粗分辨率降水数据的降尺度模拟,可为站点稀疏地区或地形复杂地区高分辨率高精度降水数据的获取提供方法上的支持。     

A population density grid for Spain

This article describes a high-resolution land cover data set for Spain and its application to dasymetric population mapping (at census tract level). Eventually, this vector layer is transformed into a grid format. The work parallels the effort of the Joint Research Centre (JRC) of the European Commission, in collaboration with Eurostat and the European Environment Agency (EEA), in building a population density grid for the whole of Europe, combining CORINE Land Cover with population data per commune. We solve many of the problems due to the low resolution of CORINE Land Cover, which are especially visible with Spanish data. An accuracy assessment is carried out from a simple aggregation of georeferenced point population data for the region of Madrid. The bottom-up grid constructed in this way is compared to our top-down grid. We show a great improvement over what has been reported from commune data and CORINE Land Cover, but the improvements seem to come entirely from the higher resolution data sets and not from the statistical modeling in the downscaling exercise. This highlights the importance of providing the research community with more detailed land cover data sets, as well as more detailed population data. The dasymetric grid is available free of charge from the authors upon request.     

An Experiment of a Statistical Downscaling Forecast Model for Summer Precipitation over China

A combination of the optimal subset regression (OSR) approach, the coupled general circulation model of the National Climate Center (NCC-CGCM) and precipitation observations from 160 stations over China is used to construct a statistical downscaling forecast model for precipitation in summer. Retroactive forecasts are performed to assess the skill of statistical downscaling during the period from 2003 to 2009. The results show a poor simulation for summer precipitation by the NCC- CGCM for China, and the average spatial anomaly correlation coefficient (ACC) is 0.01 in the forecast period. The forecast skill can be improved by OSR statistical downscaling, and the OSR forecast performs better than the NCC-CGCM in most years except 2003. The spatial ACC is more than 0.2 in the years 2008 and 2009, which proves to be relatively skillful. Moreover, the statistical downscaling forecast performs relatively well for the main rain belt of the summer precipitation in some years, including 2005, 2006, 2008, and 2009. However, the forecast skill of statistical downscaling is restricted to some extent by the relatively low skill of the NCC- CGCM.     

耦合MOD16和SMAP的微波土壤湿度降尺度研究

局域尺度上的水文或农业应用亟需较高空间分辨率的土壤湿度(SM)数据,微波土壤湿度空间降尺度是实现这一需求的重要途径.其中“光学/热红外与微波数据融合”的降尺度方法展现出了较大的应用潜力,然而这类方法依赖于遥感地表温度LST (Land Surface Temperature)或由LST分解得到的SM指数,受限于LST“...     

Landsat 8 地表温度产品降尺度深度学习方法研究

以光谱指数为趋势面因子的降尺度方法被广泛用于遥感地表温度尺度转换中,但面临构建的光谱指数难以凸显地表温度分布规律、浅层的统计模型难以精准刻画趋势面因子与地表温度之间的复杂关系的不足。为此,本文以Landsat 8 ARD 地表温度产品为降尺度对象,以Landsat 8 OLI原始数据为潜在趋势面因子,构建地表温度降尺度残差网络（LSTDRN）的深度学习模型;探索适用于Landsat 8地表温度产品空间降尺度的趋势面波段或组合,并在不同季节、不同地表类型下与经典传统方法TsHARP进行定量比较。结果表明：LSTDRN方法利用Landsat 8 OLI原始单波段作为趋势面因子就能有较好的降尺度效果,增加潜在趋势面因子的组合数量并不能提高降尺度效果。不同地表覆盖类型实验中,LSTDRN方法降尺度效果整体优于经典传统方法,且以近红外波段、红光波段和归一化植被指数为趋势面因子时,近红外波段降尺度效果定量评价表现最佳;不同地表覆盖类型的LSTDRN降尺度效果排序为：植被>建筑>水体,而经典传统方法则没有表现出明显的差异。不同季节实验中,LSTDRN方法在春夏冬3季的降尺度效果的定量评价表现明显好于经典传统方法,两类方法的秋季降尺度结果相当。因此,提出的LSTDRN对Landsat 8遥感地表温度产品具有较好的降尺度效果,整体优于经典传统方法且稳定性更强。     

面向开采扰动的离子型稀土矿区地表温度降尺度方法

离子型稀土的开采活动会导致矿区地表极其剧烈的生态扰动,并且会造成当地的生态环境问题,而矿区地表热环境分异变化能较好地反映矿区的生态扰动特点,是一种辨识地表生态扰动的重要参数.离子型稀土矿区存在矿点分散且单个矿点面积较小的特征,因此获取实用性强且空间分辨率更高的地表温度数据对稀土矿区生态环境的监测具有重要价值.构建了一种...     

基于面-点协同克里格和多点地统计模拟的遥感影像融合方法

提出了一种基于多点地统计学理论的遥感影像融合方法旨在用多点地统计模拟提高融合后影像的空间分辨率 模拟从训练图像中提取包含空间相关性信息的模型再通过基于模式的判别准则实现局部相似图案的重现 其中采用面－点协同克里格法为模拟提供制约条件以解决不同数据支撑间的转换问题 实验用于landsat　etm＋影像的融合结果表明基于面－点协同克里格的多点地统计模拟方法与未考虑数据支撑差异的模拟相比较能达到更高的融合精度 该方法亦可用于其他类型空间数据的套合