DOES WIND STRESS DEPEND ON SEA-STATE OR NOT? – A STATISTICAL ERROR ANALYSIS OF HEXMAX DATA

There have been several claims, either explicit or by implication, either based on experimental evidence or on theoretical reasoning, that the wind stress is modified by the stage of development of the wind sea. However, the overall evidence is weak, because theories are still incomplete and because it is questionable whether the sea-state effect, which is of the order of 10%, can be separated from experimental noise, which is of the order of 20%. In this paper a rigorous statistical analysis of HEXMAX data is pursued in order to establish the significance of sea-state effects. It appears that the enhanced drag, especially at high winds, which has already been established by previous analyses, cannot be attributed to the effect of young waves. The analysis provides no clues for the actual mechanism, which could be related to breaking or shoaling waves. As the effect of sea-state on wind stress is much smaller than the experimental noise level, it is hard to detect. Nevertheless, HEXMAX seems to contain a wave effect that is at the edge of statistical significance. It is, however, not the wave age itself that influences the drag, but a parameter involving wave height.Because the HEXMAX evidence is only indicative, we conclude that the issue set out in this paper cannot be answered on the basis of the HEXMAX data alone. It is recommended that error analyses are also carried out for other relevant observational data sets and that new measurements with suppressed noise will be taken up.     

大气红外窗区(10.5-11.5μm和11.5-12.5μm)辐射传输的敏感性试验

大气窗区卫星红外遥感的辐射资料可应用于地表温度的确定,但必须考虑大气影响。为此,本文利用辐射传输模式和中纬度及青藏高原模式大气,用数值模拟的方法研究了大气和地表状态(大气温、湿廓线、地表温度与高度)的改变对大气顶红外窗区射出辐射的影响以及射出辐射对发射方向(天顶角)依赖关系。主要结论见正文小结。     

不同计算形式的相关分析在气象中的应用综述

相关分析在气象科研和业务中具有广泛应用,是定量分析气象变量之间关系的重要工具.首先系统综述了气象科研与业务中不同计算形式的相关分析算法,然后重点阐述了相关分析在气象领域应用的最新进展,特别是全窗口滑动相关和相关系数的扫描式多尺度突变检测算法.接着介绍了大数据研究领域中新发展的相关分析算法,简析了其对气象相关分析的启示....     

煤矿矿震应力窗口效应

对煤矿矿震活动特征,震源机制解,与天然地震的相关性以及特殊的环境条件等进行了研究,认为煤矿矿震的孕育和发生受控于区域应力场,具有区域应力变化的灵敏窗口效应,可视为探索天然地震前兆和区域应力场变化的应力窗口。     

Ground water contaminant transport by nondivergence-free, unsteady and nonstationary velocity fields

Pore flow velocity is assumed to be a nondivergence-free, unsteady, and nonstationary random function of space and time for ground water contaminant transport in a heterogeneous medium. The laboratory-scale stochastic contaminant transport equation is up scaled to field scale by taking the ensemble average of the equation by using the cumulant expansion method. A new velocity correction, which is a function of mean pore flow velocity divergence, is obtained due to strict second order cumulant expansion (without omitting any term after the expansion). The field scale transport equations under the divergence-free pore flow velocity field assumption are also derived by simplifying the nondivergence-free field scale equation. The significance of the new velocity correction term is investigated on a two dimensional transport problem driven by a density dependent flow.     

A Least-squares Window Curves Method for Interpretation of Magnetic Anomalies Caused by Dipping Dikes

We have developed a least-squares method to determine simultaneously the depth and the width of a buried thick dipping dike from residualized magnetic data using filters of successive window lengths. The method involves using a relationship between the depth and the half-width of the source and a combination of windowed observations. The relationship represents a family of curves (window curves). For a fixed window length, the depth is determined for each half-width value by solving one nonlinear equation of the form f (z) = 0 using the least-squares method. The computed depths are plotted against the width values representing a continuous curve. The solution for the depth and the width of the buried dike is read at the common intersection of the window curves. The method involves using a dike model convolved with the same moving average filter as applied to the observed data. As a result, this method can be applied to residuals as well as to measured magnetic data. Procedures are also formulated to estimate the amplitude coefficient and the index parameter. The method is applied to theoretical data with and without random errors. The validity of the method is tested on airborne magnetic data from Canada and on a vertical component magnetic anomaly from Turkey. In all cases examined, the model parameters obtained are in good agreement with the actual ones and with those given in the published literature.     

Archaeomagnetic secular variation in the UK during the past 4000 years and its application to archaeomagnetic dating

This paper examines the limitations and deficiencies of the current British archaeomagnetic calibration curve and applies several mathematical approaches in an attempt to produce an improved secular variation curve for the UK for use in archaeomagnetic dating. The dataset compiled is the most complete available in the UK, incorporating published results, PhD theses and unpublished laboratory reports. It comprises 620 archaeomagnetic (directional) data and 238 direct observations of the geomagnetic field, and includes all relevant information available about the site, the archaeomagnetic direction and the archaeological age. A thorough examination of the data was performed to assess their quality and reliability. Various techniques were employed in order to use the data to construct a secular variation (SV) record: moving window with averaging and median, as well as Bayesian statistical modelling. The SV reference curve obtained for the past 4000 years is very similar to that from France, most differences occurring during the early medieval period (or Dark Ages). Two examples of dating of archaeological structures, medieval and pre-Roman, are presented based on the new SV curve for the UK and the implications for archaeomagnetic dating are discussed.     

基于非因果滤波器的多次波匹配相减方法(英文)

在常规多道匹配滤波方法中的滤波器是物理可实现的因果滤波器,只能实现地震信号序列延迟的滤波。本文提出了最小二乘意义下的非因果多道输入多道输出维纳滤波方法,通过比较多道匹配相减中因果和非因果滤波方法之间的差别,验证了方法的有效性,解决了模型数据滞后于实际数据的情况。而且,通过定义长度随偏移距和层速度变化的滑动时窗,解决了匹配时窗内同相轴数量随偏移距增大而增加的问题。并将上述方法应用到改进的扩展多道匹配相减去除多次波的方法中,利用Pluto1.5理论模拟数据,对非因果滤波器和变长度时窗的匹配相减方法进行测试,取得了很好的去除多次波后的地震数据。     

霍山皖33井水位与"霍山窗"小震活动关系的初步研究

分析了霍山皖33井水位变化与"霍山窗"地震活动的关系:首先采用差分法和从属函数等方法对水位数据进行处理,提取了水位的短期异常,结果表明该井水位异常对霍山以及周边地区的中小地震有较好的反映;其次,通过对该井水位与"霍山窗"小震活动性的对比研究,发现该地区小地震在水位低值时活跃.参考该地区的环境剪应力,我们认为霍山皖33井...