Frequency analysis of nonstationary annual maximum flood series using the time‐varying two‐component mixture distributions

The most popular practice for analysing nonstationarity of flood series is to use a fixed single‐type probability distribution incorporated with the time‐varying moments. However, the type of probability distribution could be both complex because of distinct flood populations and time‐varying under changing environments. To allow the investigation of this complex nature, the time‐varying two‐component mixture distributions (TTMD) method is proposed in this study by considering the time variations of not only the moments of its component distributions but also the weighting coefficients. Having identified the existence of mixed flood populations based on circular statistics, the proposed TTMD was applied to model the annual maximum flood series of two stations in the Weihe River basin, with the model parameters calibrated by the meta‐heuristic maximum likelihood method. The performance of TTMD was evaluated by different diagnostic plots and indexes and compared with stationary single‐type distributions, stationary mixture distributions and time‐varying single‐type distributions. The results highlighted the advantages of TTMD with physically‐based covariates for both stations. Besides, the optimal TTMD models were considered to be capable of settling the issue of nonstationarity and capturing the mixed flood populations satisfactorily. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Dynamic land use change simulation using cellular automata with spatially nonstationary transition rules

The dynamic relationships between land use change and its driving forces vary spatially and can be identified by geographically weighted regression (GWR). We present a novel cellular automata (GWR-CA) model that incorporates GWR-derived spatially varying relationships to simulate land use change. Our GWR-CA model is characterized by spatially nonstationary transition rules that fully address local interactions in land use change. More importantly, each driving factor in our GWR model contains effects that both promote and resist land use change. We applied GWR-CA to simulate rapid land use change in Suzhou City on the Yangtze River Delta from 2000 to 2015. The GWR coefficients were visualized to highlight their spatial patterns and local variation, which are closely associated with their effects on land use change. The transition rules indicate low land conversion potential in the city’s center and outer suburbs, but higher land conversion potential in the inner near suburbs along the belt expressway. Residual statistics show that GWR fits the input data better than logistic regression (LR). Compared with an LR-based CA model, GWR-CA improves overall accuracy by 4.1% and captures 5.5% more urban growth, suggesting that GWR-CA may be superior in modeling land use change. Our results demonstrate that the GWR-CA model is effective in capturing spatially varying land transition rules to produce more realistic results, and is suitable for simulating land use change and urban expansion in rapidly urbanizing regions.     

奎屯市城乡土地一体化管理

以1∶500地籍数据库、1∶1000地形图数据库、1∶10000地形图及1∶10000土地利用数据库等不同比例尺、不同类型的数据库为奎屯市国土资源基础数据库实现奎屯市城乡土地一体化管理。     

数字化测绘技术在城镇变更地籍测量中的应用

数字化测绘技术是目前较流行的测量方式,其技术本身也日渐成熟。本文简述了数字化测绘技术在城镇地籍测量中作业流程、实施过程以及地籍管理信息系统的建立。     

Ekman模型时间变化风应力系数的伴随参数估计

本文基于时间分布参数设置,利用伴随同化方法,反演了Ekman模型中随时间变化的风应力拖曳系数,并在孪生实验和实际实验中对该方法进行了验证。在孪生实验中,研究了参数反演结果对不同影响因素的响应,包括:风速分布、风应力系数分布、风应力系数初始猜测值、风应力系数独立变量个数、观测数据误差和观测的深度。孪生实验结果验证了伴随同化方法反演Ekman模型中时变风应力系数的有效性,具体包括如下五个方面结论:1)不同风速分布下均能成功反演出不同风应力拖曳系数分布; 2)反演结果对初始猜测值较为敏感,风应力系数初始猜测值越接近给定值,反演结果越好;3)风应力系数独立点个数的选取会显著影响反演结果,合理的选择有利于提高反演效率及减小观测数据误差;4)观测误差能够影响反演结果,观测数据误差在20%以下时能取得合理的反演结果; 5)反演结果对观测数据的表层和次表层流速更为敏感,这是由Ekman流的物理性质决定的。实际实验,利用百慕大锚系试验平台的风速和流速数据,去除周期性潮流和地转流成分后得到Ekman流成分,并作为观测输入到该同化模型,反演出了适用于该区域和该时段的随时间变化的风应力系数。通过比较模拟流速和观测流速,证明利用伴随同化方法能从实测数据中反演出合理的时变风应力系数,对于海洋模型风应力系数的确定是一项有益的尝试。     

基于星通软件的农村土地承包经营权确权登记颁证数据处理

更新地籍信息对于记录土地所有权和财产分割的变化至关重要,在大多数情况下,现有的宗地图不能提供关于地块边界的最新信息,因此,需要及时提供地籍图中的地籍数据和地块边界信息。本文以安徽省一个行政村土地承包经营权确权登记颁证为研究对象,以星通承包经营权采编系统(以下简称星通软件)在土地确权颁证登记中的应用为研究内容,通过实践表明,星通软件为农村土地确权内业数据处理带来了极大的便利。     

GIS数据质量控制技术在地籍数据库建设中的应用

对GIS数据质量控制技术在地籍数据建库中的应用进行了研究,在地籍数据库建设质量控制实践中综合运用了过程控制法和软件检查法,有效地控制地籍建库各个阶段的精度,保证最终成果满足设计要求。     

VRS RTK在地籍测量中的应用与研究

为了解决地籍测量外业要求时间短、精度较高等技术问题,在理论研究的基础上,在某市城区采用了VRS RTK技术建立测量控制网.通过成果分析得知.由于基于载波相位的GPS相对定位具有较高精度,只要控制网变形可以忽略或者进行建模,则不需要进行相邻控制点的联测,因此布设VRS RTK是非常适合的,减少了传统控制网埋石造标工作量.在RTK多测站解算中,建立了由电离层、对流层和卫星轨道引起的GPS观测误差在空间和时间的相关模型,得出在人口密集或重要经济地区布设局域GPS网的设计与测量模式.     

GPS—RTK技术在地籍测量中的应用

结合平度市地籍测量,简单介绍GPS—RTK技术的的测量方法,对GPS—RTK技术的可靠性、稳定性及定位精度进行分析,认为只要采取合适的观测方法,GPS—RTK技术完全可以应用于地籍测量。     

浅议地籍图形管理系统的开发

针对地籍管理的特点,分析了地籍图形管理系统所应具备的功能,详细介绍了地籍图形管理系统的各个功能模块.