三峡库区土门子滑坡成因机制分析与稳定性评价

土门子滑坡位于重庆市江津区,自1992年以来滑坡体蠕动变形持续发展,近期变形进一步加剧造成滑体内公路及房屋破坏。在研究滑坡地质环境和变形特征的基础上,对滑坡的成因机制进行了进一步深入研究,并对滑坡体的稳定性进行分析评价。结论表明,滑坡体处于整体蠕动变形局部滑移,持续强降雨是诱发其失稳破坏的主导因素在暴雨工况下,滑坡体处于欠稳定～基本稳定极限状态,可能沿多个剪出口发生失稳破坏。     

On the nonlinear evolution of columnar vortices in a rotating environment

We examine the three-dimensional, nonlinear evolution of columnar vortices in a rotating environment. As the initial vorticity distribution, a wavetrain of finite amplitude Kelvin-Helmholtz vortices in shear is employed. Through direct numerical simulation of the Navier-Stokes equations we seek to better understand the process of maturation of the various three-dimensional modes of instability to which such vortical flows are subject, especially those which exist as a consequence of the action of the Coriolis force. In the absence of rotational influence, we thereby demonstrate that the nonlinear evolution of columnar vortices is most strongly controlled by one or the other of two mechanisms. One mechanism of instability is identifiable as a so-called elliptical instability, which promotes the initial bending of vortex tubes in a sinusoidal fashion, while the other is a hyperbolic mode, which is responsible for the development of streamwise vortex streaks in the "braids" between adjacent vortex cores. In the rotating case, anticyclonic vortices are strongly destabilized by weak background rotation, while rapid rotation stabilizes both the cyclones and anticyclones. The strong anticyclones are subject to two distinct forms of instability, namely a Coriolis force modified elliptical instability and an inertial (centrifugal) instability. The former instability is very similar to the nonrotating form of the elliptical instability as it promotes bending of vortex tubes, while the latter instability grows on the edge of the vortex core and generates streaks of vorticity, which surround the vortex core itself. These results of direct numerical simulation fully verify the results of previous linear stability analyses. Taken together, they provide a simple explanation for the broken symmetry that is often observed to be characteristic of the von Karman vortex streets that develop in the atmospheric lee of oceanic islands.     

A PRELIMINARY STUDY ON UPPER CRUSTAL VELOCITY STRUCTURE IN THE THREE GORGES RESERVOIR AREA

In this paper, using the double difference tomography method, the P wave and S wave velocity structures of the earth's crust beneath the Three Gorges Reservoir are inversed based on the high-resolution seismic data of seismological stations recorded from March 2009 to December 2010. According to the research results, the P wave and S wave crust velocity zones in the Three Gorges Reservoir area show a high V_P value area and a V_S value area with value low in the lower part and high in the upper part, distributing respectively at both sides of Shennongxi River to western Xietan in the north of Badong and near the outlet of the Xiangxi River at the northern section on Xiannvshan Fault. In the region from the two sides of Shennong River in the north of Badong to the western Xietan, microseisms are distributed in three zones in near east-west direction, with steep and north-dipping sections, spreading along the high-to-low velocity transition zone of the P and S wave. On the northern section of Xiannvshan Fault, small earthquakes are distributed along the NNW-trending Xiannvshan Fault, and the geological section reveals a steep and linear distribution along the transitional zone between the high V_P value area and the V_S value that is low in the upper and high in the lower part. Joint inversion results show a good consistency of the planes of the microseisms with the distribution of active faults.     

“三江”云龙锡(钨)成矿带晚白垩世二云母花岗岩LA-ICP-MS锆石U-Pb定年及其地质意义

云龙成矿带位于西南“三江”中段,是该区重要的锡(钨)矿集区.本文利用LA-ICP-MS锆石U-Pb定年方法,对带内与成矿相关的二云母花岗岩进行了年龄测试,获得成岩年龄为72.2±0.8 Ma(MSWD=1.9),属晚白垩世.这是在保山地块首次发现确凿的晚白垩世岩浆岩,表明保山地块经受了该时期构造-岩浆活动的影响.通过锆石微量元素和主微量地球化学特征分析,认为其应属S型花岗岩.结合区域地质背景,认为云龙成矿带该期花岗岩可能与腾冲地块晚白垩世S型花岗岩形成于一致的动力学背景,为新特提斯东向俯冲过程中内陆增厚地壳熔融的产物.本次报道的晚白垩世S型花岗岩与成矿带内一期重要成矿期次时代一致.结合前人研究资料认为,云龙成矿带内三期主要的成矿事件均有同期构造-岩浆事件对应,其中早、晚白垩世成矿活动与同期花岗岩体侵入紧密相关,而新生代成矿活动则与崇山剪切带走滑活动关系密切.这表明本区锡(钨)矿床经历了多期成矿过程,岩浆侵入活动和构造相关混合岩化对矿床形成均有贡献,单一的成因机制(花岗岩相关或混合岩化)可能无法合理解释本区矿床的成因.     

基于CA与AO的区域土地利用变化模拟研究——以三峡库区为例

运用元胞自动机(Cellular Automata)与AO(ArcObject) 相结合的方法, 在VB 环境下编程来 进行三峡库区地类变化模拟研究。以1995 年和2005 年的土地利用图为基础数据, 比较研究期各 地类的变化数量与方向以确定地类转换之间的优先级, 然后确定地类的转换概率。研究结果表明 此方法便于理解与操作, 同时模拟精度高; 预测结果说理性强, 其结果显示三峡库区城镇建设用 地增加, 耕地面积减少, 水域的面积在增加。其预测结果可以指导库区的土地利用规划, 为库区有 效土地管理提供参考。     

APPARENT STRESS VARIATION CHARACTERISTICS BEFORE AND AFTER BADONG EARTHQUAKE IN THE THREE GORGES RESERVOIR AREA

The causes of earthquakes in the Three Gorges reservoir area are complex. In order to study the cause of earthquakes happening in the region, we calculated the source parameters of 394 M_L ≥ 2.0 earthquakes occurring in Three Gorges reservoir area based on waveform data observed by the regional seismic network of Hubei Province and Three Gorges, obtained the apparent stress spatial-temporal variation map of Three Gorges reservoir area, and analyzed apparent stress spatial-temporal variation characteristics before and after the main earthquakes in the Three Gorges reservoir area. The results show that:1)Before the Badong M_L5.5, Zigui M_L4.7 and Zigui M_L5.1 earthquake, high apparent stress of earthquakes with different magnitudes is concentrated in Xinhua-Shuitianba Fault and Gaoqiao Fault. The distribution of high value area shows the high degree of synergism before the earthquake and the scattering after the earthquake, which indicates that the area accumulated a high stress before the earthquake, and the fault was in a locked state; 2)In the study area, the apparent stress before and after the earthquake showed significant rise in the first and then decline, the earthquake occurred in the process of rising; 3)Apparent stress depth profiles show that apparent stress at different depths has a positive correlation with the size of magnitude of earthquake, and the phenomenon of "small magnitude and strong apparent stress" did not appear. The small earthquakes occurring after the major earthquakes in the study area belong to low strain release under the background of low stress release, and there are no new apparent stress anomaly concentration areas appearing, this indicates that the Badong-Gaoqiao Fault, Zhoujiashan-Niukou Fault and Zigui Xiannushan Fault have been effective in releasing after the Badong earthquake and Zigui earthquakes and the probability of destructive earthquake is small on these faults.     

三峡小江回水区透明度季节变化及其影响因子分析

三峡成库后其季节调蓄过程使该水域湖沼学特征具有独特性.根据三峡小江流域回水区段为期2年的定位跟踪观测,对透明度(SD)和主要环境指标的相互关系进行分析研究.研究期间,小江回水区透明度均值为170±7cm,各采样点透明度差异不明显且季节变化过程一致,自春末夏初开始降至最低水平,夏季汛期相对稳定,夏末入秋持续升高,冬季维持在较高状态,入春后下降.对透明度和主要环境指标的相关性分析发现,无机悬浮颗粒(PIM)是影响透明度的主要指标.透明度同PIM、Chl.a多元回归模型为:SD=(-89.389±8.101)·lg(PIM)+(-84.008±8.624)·lg(Chl.a)+(264.132±8.232).汛期低水位状态下(145-150m)小江回水区水动力条件趋于天然河道,河道输沙量增加使无机悬浮颗粒含量远高于藻类生物量而成为影响透明度的主要环境指标.在中水位(150-156m)和高水位(156m以上),虽然藻类进入非生长季节,但水位抬升和水体滞留时间的延长促使悬浮颗粒物大量沉淀,悬浮生长于表层水体的藻类成为影响透明度的主要环境指标,生物作用对透明度的影响明显.     

长江三峡库区地震地形变监测研究

三峡地壳形变监测网络结合空间大地测量(GPS、InSAR)和传统大地测量的优点，在1998年以来的三峡工程建设期间和2003年水库首次蓄水中获取了大量监测成果。结果显示库区地壳运动的基本图像：垂直形变较为显著，主要来自因蓄水荷载而产生的形变，水平形变不明显．库区主要断层的活动性在蓄水期间有明显加强迹象。水准测量反映从1998年首期观测至2003年10月首次蓄水后的库区垂直位移．沉降范围较大；GPS给出了2003年蓄水前后库区的垂直位移，形变的范围主要集中在水库近岸区域。水准测量与GPS观测反应的垂直位移的量级基本一致，沉降的最大幅度在3～4cm左右。水准监测、GPS观测与重力监测结果有一定的对应性。从地壳形变监测与研究结果分析，近期负荷改变而诱发中强地震的可能性不大。     

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三峡工程蓄水运用以来水库排沙效果

针对三峡水库蓄水运用以来排沙比问题,在深入研究三峡水库不同蓄水运用阶段水库排沙效果的基础上,着重研究各年年内蓄水排沙过程,系统地分析水库排沙效果的影响因素。结果表明:库区河道特性、入库水沙条件以及坝前水位的高低是水库排沙比变化的主要影响因素。2003年6月~2010年12月,水库排沙比为26.1%。水库排沙主要集中在汛期5~10月,排沙比为29.0%。尤其是在洪峰期间,库区水流流速较大,水流挟沙能力强,进入水库的泥沙大部分能输移到坝前,水库排沙比较大,当入库流量大于30000m³/s时,水库最大排沙比可达81.0%。此外,随着汛期坝前水位的抬高,水库排沙效果有所减弱,尤其是粗颗粒泥沙的多少也很大程度上影响水库排沙效果,水流的挟沙能力随着水流流速的减小而减小,粗颗粒泥沙的排沙比随之发生较全沙更为明显的减小。