CIS中地籍信息的组织与存贮

本文提出了CIS中地籍信息的一种组织和存贮方法,并已应用于实际。该方法具有结构简单、存贮紧凑、节省磁盘空间、检索查询方便、易实现信息变更等优点。     

基于Abaqus软件的并行计算集群平台构建与优化方法

根据有限元显式算法和隐式算法的特点,研究了岩土工程动力分析并行计算集群系统的硬件要求、集群系统的构建方法,构建了基于EM64T硬件构架、双路Intel Xeon处理器、Linux操作系统和64位Abaqus软件的32CPU并行计算集群平台,测试了存储子系统对集群性能的影响,比较了两种千兆以太网络作为、集群子网络的性能优化方法。以地下结构的地震反应分析为例,测试了优化前后该集群系统的计算速度,发现两种以太网络性能优化方法都可以有效提高集群计算速度。列举了该集群系统在深水桥梁基础流固耦合动力分析、地下结构地震反应分析和快速轨道交通环境振动分析中的应用,显示了该集群在显式算法、隐式算法及小规模、大规模数值计算问题中的并行计算效率,证明所构建的Abaqus数值模拟并行计算集群平台能够满足计算规模、计算精度和时效性的要求。     

利用InSAR短基线技术估计洛杉矶地区的地表时序形变和含水层参数

美国南加州洛杉矶地区是自然和人为活动引起的地质构造活跃、石油及地下水抽取和回灌频繁的区域.本文利用19景ENVISAT ASAR降轨影像生成了71幅垂直基线小于300 m、时间间隔小于3年的解缠差分干涉图,并基于短基线集技术(SBAS),GPS和地下水水位数据估计了该区域2003年9月~2009年8月的地表时序形变及含水层贮水系数等物理参数.研究结果表明:(1)在InSAR干涉图中可以清楚的识别多处沉降明显的区域.例如,主要由于含水层地下水的抽取与回灌引起地表沉降的Pasadena盆地(~-2.5 cm/a)、San Gabriel流域(~-2 cm/a)、San Bernardino盆地(~-2.5 cm/a)、Pomona-Ontario盆地(~-4 cm/a)和Santa Ana盆地(~-2.5 cm/a),以及由石油抽取引起地面形变的Santa Fe Springs区域(~-1 cm/a)和Wilmington区域(~-1 cm/a)等;(2)InSAR时间序列形变与GPS投影在雷达视线方向上的形变结果具有较高的一致性,平均形变速率差异的均方差为0.39 cm/a;(3)InSAR时间序列形变与含水层地下水位的变化基本一致,并基于相关理论计算出了含水层的弹性贮水系数和非弹性贮水系数,分析了含水层的形变机理.     

A multiplier-based method of generating stochastic areal rainfall from point rainfalls

Catchment modelling for water resources assessment is still mainly based on rain gauge measurements as these are more easily available and cover longer periods than radar and satellite-based measurements. Rain gauges however measure the rain falling on an extremely small proportion of the catchment and the areal rainfall obtained from these point measurements are consequently substantially uncertain. These uncertainties in areal rainfall estimation are generally ignored and the need to assess their impact on catchment modelling and water resources assessment is therefore imperative. A method that stochastically generates daily areal rainfall from point rainfall using multiplicative perturbations as a means of dealing with these uncertainties is developed and tested on the Berg catchment in the Western Cape of South Africa. The differences in areal rainfall obtained by alternately omitting some of the rain gauges are used to obtain a population of plausible multiplicative perturbations. Upper bounds on the applicable perturbations are set to prevent the generation of unrealistically large rainfall and to obtain unbiased stochastic rainfall. The perturbations within the set bounds are then fitted into probability density functions to stochastically generate the perturbations to impose on areal rainfall. By using 100 randomly-initialized calibrations of the AWBM catchment model and Sequent Peak Analysis, the effects of incorporating areal rainfall uncertainties on storage-yield-reliability analysis are assessed. Incorporating rainfall uncertainty is found to reduce the required storage by up to 20%. Rainfall uncertainty also increases flow-duration variability considerably and reduces the median flow-duration values by an average of about 20%.     

马面鲀卵巢在不同贮藏温度下磷脂成分的变化

在 2 0℃、4℃、- 10℃、- 2 0℃四种温度下贮藏马面卵巢 ,对其中磷脂含量的变化进行了测定 ,并利用薄层层析分析测定了不同温度下贮存 3d后马面卵巢中磷脂各组分的相对百分比。结果表明 :马面卵巢中磷脂的损失率随贮藏温度的上升而增加 ;在不同温度下贮藏 3d,磷脂各组分的相对百分比都发生了变化 ;随贮藏温度的升高磷脂酰胆碱的降解速度大大加快 ,所占的百分比快速下降 ,而溶血磷脂酰胆碱的比例有不同程度的增加。相对而言 ,- 2 0℃下贮藏数天 ,磷脂的含量及组分的变化较小     

The hurst effect and its implications for extrapolating process rates

In long-term records of climatic or hydrological events, persistent periods of high and low values are measured by the ‘rescaled range’, which is defined for a sequence of n consecutive values. As n increases the rescaled range for historic sequences increases as n^H for 0·5 < H < = 1. This is the Hurst effect. Sequences of independent random events give H = 0·5, while sequences in which the values are successive positions of a random walk (i.e. the sum of independent events) give H = 1. Intermediate values of H may be obtained from fractal sequences, from sequences with a steadily changing mean, or through a storage model. In all but the fractal case H exceeds 0·5 for a time related to the duration of the changing mean or the response time of the store. An exponential storage model has been explored in some detail. Storage models have the advantage of offering a plausible physical mechanism for persistence. Analysis of simulated sequences shows that the Hurst effect is evident for about 30 x the response time of the store, so that relatively modest store sizes are enough to explain observed Hurst effects over available periods of record. Comparison with empirical values shows that high H values seem to be associated with large physical stores. Whether the Hurst effect is due to storage effects or climatic or other change imposed from outside, the effect on longterm process rates is strong. Short-term measurements of process rates show compressed variances and simple extrapolation is likely to produce large errors. If it is assumed that long-term rates are strongly influenced by climatic variables, then measurements may be used to obtain parameters of a climatic model for differences in process rates. Errors in extrapolation will be least where the model has a sound physical basis. A first implication for magnitude and frequency distributions is that the sequence of events may be as important as their distribution over time in determining process impact. A second conclusion is that the geomorphic history of an area is inevitably dominated by a sequence of larger and larger events receding into the past, and that the Hurst exponent over geologic time-spans measures the extent of that domination.     

Geological roles of the siltstones in tight oil play

Understanding the hydrocarbon accumulation pattern in unconventional tight reservoirs is crucial for hydrocarbon evaluation and oil/gas extraction from such reservoirs. Previous studies on tight oil accumulation are mostly concerned with self-generation or from source to reservoir rock over short distances. However, the Lucaogou tight oil in Jimusar Sag of Junggar Basin shows transitional feature in between. The Lucaogou Formation comprises fine-grain sedimentary rocks characterized by thin laminations and frequently alternating beds. The Lucaogou tight silt/fine sandstones are poorly sorted. Dissolved pores are the primary pore spaces, with average porosity of 9.20%. Although the TOC of most silt/fine sandstones after Soxhlet extraction is lower than that before extraction, they show that the Lucaogou siltstones in the area of study have fair to good hydrocarbon generation potential (average TOC of 1.19%, average S₂ of 4.33 mg/g), while fine sandstones are relatively weak in terms of hydrocarbon generation (average TOC of 0.4%, average S₂ of 0.78 mg/g). The hydrocarbon generation amount of siltstones, which was calculated according to basin modeling transformation ratio combined with original TOC based on source rock parameters, occupies 16%–72% of oil retention amount. Although siltstones cannot produce the entire oil reserve, they certainly provide part of them. Grain size is negatively correlated with organic matter content in the Lucaogou silt/fine sandstones. Fine grain sediments are characterized by lower deposition rate, stronger adsorption capacity and oxidation resistance, which are favorable for formation of high quality source rocks. Low energy depositional environment is the primary reason for the formation of siltstones containing organic matter. Positive correlation between organic matter content and clay content in Lucaogou siltstones supports this view point. Lucaogou siltstones appear to be effective reservoir rocks due to there relatively high porosity, and also act as source rocks due to the fair to good hydrocarbon generation capability.     

与地下石油储备库有关工程地质问题研究现状和对策

我国将要兴建实施较大规模战略石油储备地下库面临一系列工程地质问题和挑战。为更好地服务于库址选择和规划,为工程设计和施工提供地质依据,本文在总结归纳已有工程实例和分类基础上,结合作者已经完成的两个石油战略储备基地选址评价,提出和分析了与地下油库有关工程地质问题及相应对策。     

鄂尔多斯西缘冲断带南段构造特征及其对古生界天然气成藏演化的影响

鄂尔多斯盆地西缘处在阿拉善地块、鄂尔多斯地块及北祁连褶皱带之间的特殊构造位置,因而也是构造-沉积演化特征明显不同于盆地本部的一个复杂构造区。本文试图在西缘南段与盆地本部沉积演化特征对比分析的基础上,结合构造演化与古生界天然气成藏关系的研究,评价优选西缘南段古生界天然气成藏的有利区带和目标。主要形成以下几方面的认识：1）相对盆地本部而言,西缘南段早古生代沉积结束的晚、晚古生代沉积开始的早,表现出拉张、裂陷为主的早期构造活动特征,形成上、下古生界两套有利的成藏组合;中生代（尤其是侏罗纪）以来,则由于受冲断推覆构造活动的影响,西缘南段侏罗系及其后续构造层系的地层厚度在横向上变化较大,各构造层系的厚度差异可达千余米以上;2）西缘南段在大规模冲断推覆构造前即已基本成藏,燕山中-晚期以来的强烈冲断推覆构造,使部分地区古生界地层抬升剥露至近地表附近,导致古生界先成气藏遭受大面积破坏;3）在推覆体系的宽缓向斜区、以及主冲断层下盘的原地岩体中,古生界地层保存相对完整,受断裂破坏程度低,仍具有相对较好的保存条件;4）综合分析认为石沟驿向斜、韦州向斜、红寺堡向斜及银洞子向斜等4个宽缓向斜构造区的上古生界,以及处在惠安堡-沙井子主冲断层下盘原地岩体中的奥陶系台缘相带,是西缘南段古生界岩性圈闭气藏勘探的有利目标。     

IPCC emission scenarios: How did critiques affect their quality and relevance 1990–2022?

Long-term global emission scenarios enable the analysis of future climate change, impacts, and response strategies by providing insight into possible future developments and linking these different climate research elements. Such scenarios play a crucial role in the climate change literature informing the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC) Assessment Reports (ARs) and support policymakers. This article reviews the evolution of emission scenarios, since 1990, by focusing on scenario critiques and responses as published in the literature. We focus on the issues raised in the critiques and the possible impact on scenario development. The critique (280) focuses on four areas: 1) key scenario assumptions (40%), 2) the emissions range covered by the scenarios and missing scenarios (25%), 3) methodological issues (24%), and 4) the policy relevance and handling of uncertainty (11%). Scenario critiques have become increasingly influential since 2000. Some areas of critique have decreased or become less prominent (probability, development process, convergence assumptions, and economic metrics). Other areas have become more dominant over time (e.g., policy relevance & implications of scenarios, transparency, Negative Emissions Technologies (NETs) assumptions, missing scenarios). Several changes have been made in developing scenarios and their content that respond to the critique.