浙江沿海20年土地利用变化分析

在资料收集的基础上,利用遥感(RS)和地理信息系统(GIS)技术,结合经济社会因子和数学模型,以浙江沿海地区1990年、2000年和2010年的土地利用数据为基础,对20年间土地利用变化动态进行研究。利用灰色动态系统建立模型分析浙江沿海地区各类土地利用的变化趋势,在此基础上探讨其变化驱动力,揭示其变化的主要方式、原因及发展方向,预测未来土地利用的发展趋势,以期能为浙江省沿海地区土地利用规划提供科学依据。     

De(re)forestation and climate warming in subarctic China

Although tropical deforestation bears a close relationship with climate change, its exact contribution to climate warming and its threshold of exerting a noticeable influence remain unknown. This study attempts to bridge this knowledge gap by analyzing deforestation data of Heilongjiang Province, China in relation to climate data. It is found that forest cover was reduced from 238,335 km² in 1958 to 216,009 km² in 1980, and further to 207,629 km² in 2000. During this period the provincial annual temperature rose by 1.68 °C, against the nation-wide warming of 0.99 °C during the same period. At the provincial level the observed deforestation caused a warming in the vicinity of 0.69 °C. This warming does not bear any definite relationship with latitude and elevation. At the local scale, deforestation is related inversely to the rise in decadal temperature in the form of ΔT = −0.013ΔF + 0.4114 (R² = 0.30). There is a positive relationship between the accuracy (R² value) of predicting climate warming from deforestation and its severity. The critical threshold for deforestation to exert a noticeable impact on climate warming (e.g., R² = 50%) appears to be 5 km². The amount of forest cover at the beginning of a period can inhibit temperature rise, but its exact effect on climate warming is difficult to quantify.     

What does Gunshot Detection Technology tell us about gun violence?

PurposeEvaluate the sensitivity of Gunshot Detection Technology (GDT) relative to Calls for Service. Existing crime data sources have biases that do not present a complete picture of gun-related crime. GDT may offer a new metric for firearm crimes. However, few studies have assessed the accuracy of GDT and its relationship to other measures of violence.MethodsGDT and gun crime-related Calls for Service in Washington, DC during 2010 were studied. Using temporal comparisons for month, day of year, weekday, and hour of the day, spatial comparisons on a quarter-mile square grid, and a Poisson-Lognormal-CAR spatial regression model on a combined grid by time period dataset, we examined the sensitivity of GDT activations relative to gunshot-related calls for service.ResultsThe results showed that relative GDT sensitivity changed by time and by space. In particular, the relative sensitivity of GDT was much stronger in the evening and at nighttime than in the daytime. In terms of spatial variation, we found that GDT sensitivity decreased with distance from the nearest zone centroid. In addition, there were two small geographic areas in the study area in which the relative GDT sensitivity was lower than expected.ConclusionsGDT systems identify the frequency and locational accuracy of gunshot incidents, particularly at nighttime. This technology has the potential to improve data collection on gun use and violence and produce more accurate representations if the temporal and distance limitations of the technology are understood. GDT may improve gun detection and, thereby, improve police operations and public support for police.     

对目前我国高校非开挖技术教育的思考

非开挖技术是一项新兴技术,自非开挖技术引入我国以来,发展迅速。但我国高校的非开挖技术教育发展却显得相对缓慢。通过对我国高校非开挖技术教育现状的分析,初步探讨了我国高校非开挖技术教育水平提升的有关问题。     

传感光纤-砂土界面力学性质的试验研究

近年来分布式光纤感测技术在岩土与地质工程领域的应用研究已成为一个研究热点,但工程实践表明,埋入式传感光纤与被测岩土体之间的变形协调性会对监测结果产生显著的影响,该问题一直制约着光纤感测技术在工程监测中的推广。本文通过一系列室内拉拔试验,对比了3种预埋于砂土中的单模光纤在不同上覆压力的作用下的拉拔力-拉拔位移曲线,并建立了一个用于描述光纤-砂土界面力学性质的三段式的拉拔模型,分析峰值拉拔力、残余拉拔力、有效拉拔位移和残余拉拔位移4个参数在不同上覆压力作用下的变化情况。分析结果揭示传感光纤-砂土界面的力学特性和应力传递规律,为分布式光纤传感技术在岩土体变形监测中的应用,尤其在变形监测光纤的选用标准方面,提供了参考依据。     

由实测资料看天然电磁场的平面波特性

在大地电磁测深资料处理中发现 ,同时观测的多个测点的磁道信号在一定距离范围内互换 ,电磁测深曲线形态变化微小。通过实际资料处理结果研究了天然电磁场平面波的某些量化特性 ,其结果显示 ,在一定范围内的天然磁场信号满足平面波的特性。该研究结果为大地电磁测深勘探中合理布设磁场探测器 ,提供了实际依据     

海洋科技创新与海洋经济发展的协调关系及其影响机理研究

为深入揭示海洋科技创新与海洋经济发展的协调关系及其影响机理,促进我国海洋科技和海洋经济的高质量和可持续发展,文章构建海洋科技创新和海洋经济发展2个系统的评价指标体系,以辽宁为实例,利用协调度模型分析二者的协调度及其演化趋势,进一步利用结构方程模型构建海洋科技创新影响海洋经济发展的驱动路径,以此分析其影响因素和影响效应,并提出对策建议。研究结果表明:1997-2016年辽宁海洋科技创新与海洋经济发展的协调关系分为中度失调衰退、严重失调衰退、中度协调发展和良好协调发展4个主要阶段;海洋科技创新通过海洋资源水平、海洋经济规模和海洋经济结构对海洋经济发展产生直接效应,同时通过海洋经济规模对地区经济发展产生间接效应,即海洋科技创新对海洋经济发展和地区经济发展均产生显著的促进作用;未来应统筹海洋科技与海洋经济的协调发展,扩大海洋科技的投入和产出,积极培育海洋科研人才和新兴海洋产业,注重提高对外开放程度和发展港口经济。     

遥感影像反立体纠正方法研究

以四川省广元市某区遥感影像为例，尝试了一种基于DEM和IHS变换的遥感影像反立体纠正方法。该方法首先对IHS变换得到的亮度分量I进行滤波处理，将反映地物反射率差异的亮度信息与地形因子信息分离，然后用DEM制作的地形阴影图替换原图像中的地形因子信息，最后进行IHS反变换。试验结果表明，该方法能有效纠正遥感图像上的反立体现象，并基本保持与原图像色彩一致。     

Global rain-fed,irrigated, and paddy croplands: A new high resolution map derived from remote sensing,crop inventories and climate data

Irrigation accounts for 70% of global water use by humans and 33–40% of global food production comes from irrigated croplands. Accurate and timely information related to global irrigation is therefore needed to manage increasingly scarce water resources and to improve food security in the face of yield gaps, climate change and extreme events such as droughts, floods, and heat waves. Unfortunately, this information is not available for many regions of the world. This study aims to improve characterization of global rain-fed, irrigated and paddy croplands by integrating information from national and sub-national surveys, remote sensing, and gridded climate data sets. To achieve this goal, we used supervised classification of remote sensing, climate, and agricultural inventory data to generate a global map of irrigated, rain-fed, and paddy croplands. We estimate that 314 million hectares (Mha) worldwide were irrigated circa 2005. This includes 66 Mha of irrigated paddy cropland and 249 Mha of irrigated non-paddy cropland. Additionally, we estimate that 1047 Mha of cropland are managed under rain-fed conditions, including 63 Mha of rain-fed paddy cropland and 985 Mha of rain-fed non-paddy cropland. More generally, our results show that global mapping of irrigated, rain-fed, and paddy croplands is possible by combining information from multiple data sources. However, regions with rapidly changing irrigation or complex mixtures of irrigated and non-irrigated crops present significant challenges and require more and better data to support high quality mapping of irrigation.     

GPS 全球定位系统在航空遥感精确定位中的应用

本文综述全球定位系统(GPS)在航空遥感自动精确定位中的应用现状和发展前景,着重叙述了GPS用于航空遥感定位的可能性和用机载GPS接收机按相位差分法进行航空遥感定位(空中三角测量)的一个典型试验结果。理论研究和实验表明,由于动态GPS定位技术具有很高的精确性和可靠性,它可用于从1:500到1:10万比例尺的各种地形图和专题图制作,以及诸如坐标地籍等高精度点位测定。文中还展望了GPS技术在航空、航天遥感中进一步利用的可能性。