Simulation and projection of climate change using CMIP6 Muti-models in the Belt and Road Region

Climate condition over a region is mostly determined by the changes in precipitation, temperature and evaporation as the key climate variables. The countries belong to the Belt and Road region are subjected to face strong changes in future climate. In this paper, we used five global climate models from the latest Sixth Phase of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) to evaluate future climate changes under seven combined scenarios of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and the Representative Concentration Pathways (SSP1-1.9, SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, SSP4-3.4, SSP4-6.0 and SSP5-8.5) across the Belt and Road region. This study focuses on undertaking a climate change assessment in terms of future changes in precipitation, air temperature and actual evaporation for the three distinct periods as near-term period (2021-2040), mid-term period (2041-2060) and long-term period (2081-2100). To discern spatial structure, K?ppen-Geiger Climate Classification method has been used in this study. In relative terms, the results indicate an evidence of increasing tendency in all the studied variables, where significant changes are anticipated mostly in the long-term period. In addition to, though it is projected to increase under all the SSP-RCP scenarios, greater increases will be happened under higher emission scenarios (SSP5-8.5 and SSP3-7.0). For temperature, robust increases in annual mean temperature is found to be 5.2 °C under SSP3-7.0, and highest 7.0 °C under SSP5-8.5 scenario relative to present day. The northern part especially Cold and Polar region will be even more warmer (+6.1 °C) in the long-term (2081-2100) period under SSP5-8.5. Similarly, at the end of the twenty-first century, annual mean precipitation is inclined to increase largely with a rate of 2.1% and 2.8% per decade under SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5 respectively. Spatial distribution demonstrates that the largest precipitation increases are to be pronounced in the Polar and Arid regions. Precipitation is projected to increase with response to increasing warming most of the regions. Finally, the actual evaporation is projected to increase significantly with rate of 20.3% under SSP3-7.0 and greatest 27.0% for SSP5-8.5 by the end of the century. It is important to note that the changes in evaporation respond to global mean temperature rise consistently in terms of similar spatial pattern for all the scenarios where stronger increase found in the Cold and Polar regions. The increase in precipitation is overruled by enhanced evaporation over the region. However, this study reveals that the CMIP6 models can simulate temperature better than precipitation over the Belt and Road region. Findings of this study could be the reliable basis for initiating policies against further climate induced impacts in the regional scale.     

新疆且末县米特河地区1:5万水系沉积物地球化学特征及找矿意义

根据1:5万水系沉积物地球化学测量工作成果,对采集的3138件样品中Cu,Pb,Zn,Au,Ag,W,Sn,Mo,Bi,As,Sb,Cr,Co,Ni共14种元素进行分析测试。研究结果表明,Au,Ag,Cu,Ni是区内最有找矿潜力的成矿指标元素;聚类分析所划分的4类元素簇群,主要与中低温成矿元素、阿尔金南缘断裂、蛇绿混杂岩相关,通过因子分析得到Ni-Cr-As-Sb-Cu-Bi,W-Bi-As-Cu,Bi-W,As,Ag-Zn-Pb,Cu-Bi-As共6类元素组合。其中Cr,Ni,Sb,Cu,As,Bi组合反映出与低温热液活动和断裂构造活动有关;Cr,Ni元素的富集主要与研究区内叶桑岗蛇绿混杂岩带关系密切;Ag,Pb,Zn组合则与地层低温热液元素局部富集和断裂构造活动密切相关。在综合异常分析和查证的基础上,结合区域成矿地质条件、区内矿产地质特征,圈定、划分出2个找矿远景区,并指出了研究区内以金、铜、银、镍为主要优势矿种,铅、锌为潜力矿种。     

Diversity, Distribution Pattern and Conservation Status of the Plants Used in Liver Diseases/Ailments in Indian Himalayan Region

Introduction The Indian Himalayan Region (IHR) is known for its unique, natural, representative biodiversity (Samant et al. 1998a). This biodiversity is being utilized by the inhabitants of the IHR in various forms, i.e., medicine, food (wild edibles), fuel, fodder, timber, making agricultural tools, fiber, religious and various other purposes (Samant and Dhar 1997, Samant et al. 1998b). In the remote areas of the IHR where primary health centers are located far from the villages, the in…     

A STUDY ON THE ECOLOGICAL CLIMATES OF SOME FAMOUS TEA GROWING AREAS IN HIGH MOUNTAINOUS REGIONS OF CHINA

The tea tree [Camellia sinensis (L) Kuntze] is one of the world's economic crops. It is an especially important crop for southern China. Environmental factors related to the tea yield and quality in some high mountain areas of China are identified in this paper. These factors are: geology, topography, climate, hydrology, soil and vegetation. Climatological factors are the most important. Using data collected from meteorological stations which are situated at the summit and the base of high mountains, this paper discusses ecological climatic problems in growing tea in China. The ecological climatic characteristics of the famous tea areas mainly included are as follows: more . amounts of clouds and fog, less percentage of sunshine, abundant rainfall and high relative humidity in the air, temperatures that rise and fall slowly, daily and annual temperature ranges that are smaller, more days that are suitable for tea growing and low wind speeds in the lee-sides and valleys of mountains. All of these factors     

江淮地区ERA-Interim再分析与观测温度资料对比分析

通过对比江淮地区1992-2016年08和20时的ERA-Interim再分析资料与观测资料的温度要素,发现它们在垂直方向上的偏差存在从低层到高层先减小后增大的特点,对流层低层各站偏差的空间差异明显,到中高层各站偏差趋于一致。偏差存在明显年际变化,500 hPa及以上等压面在2000年前后再分析资料比观测资料存在由偏低向偏高的转折;除地面外,其他高度上两种资料的平均绝对偏差均呈显著减小趋势。在偏差的月际分布上,地面和500 hPa以上高度再分析资料普遍比观测资料偏高,各高度上平均绝对偏差在8-9月最小。进一步对各天气现象下两种资料比较发现,雪、雨夹雪、冰粒子和冻雨天气发生时,地面至1000 hPa和850 hPa上再分析资料比观测资料偏高;大雾天气发生时,再分析资料比观测资料在1000 hPa偏高幅度明显高于地面。可见,在江淮地区使用ERA-Interim再分析温度资料判别降水相态时,大气边界层和850 hPa温度需慎重使用,近地层虚假逆温对大雾判别会产生很大影响。     

Geochemical and mantle-like isotopic (Nd, Sr) composition of the Baklan Granite from the Muratdağı Region (Banaz, Uşak), western Turkey: Implications for input of juvenile magmas in the source domains of western Anatolia Eocene–Miocene granites

The (late syn)- post-collisional magmatic activities of western and northwestern Anatolia are characterized by intrusion of a great number of granitoids. Amongst them, Baklan Granite, located in the southern part of the Muratdağı Region from the Menderes Massif (Banaz, Uşak), has peculiar chemical and isotopic characteristics. The Baklan rocks are made up by K-feldspar, plagioclase, quartz, biotite and hornblende, with accessory apatite, titanite and magnetite, and include mafic microgranular enclaves (MME). Chemically, the Baklan intrusion is of sub-alkaline character, belongs to the high-K, calc-alkaline series and displays features of I-type affinity. It is typically metaluminous to mildly peraluminous, and classified predominantly as granodiorite in composition. The spider and REE patterns show that the rocks are fractionated and have small negative Eu anomalies (Eu/Eu^* = 0.62–0.86), with the depletion of Nb, Ti, P and, to a lesser extent, Ba and Sr. The pluton was dated by the K–Ar method on the whole-rock, yielded ages between 17.8 ± 0.7 and 19.4 ± 0.9 Ma (Early Miocene). The intrusion possesses primitive low initial ⁸⁷Sr/⁸⁶Sr ratios (0.70331–0.70452) and negative ε_Nd(t) values (−5.0 to −5.6). The chemical contrast between evolved Baklan rocks (SiO₂, 62–71 wt.%; Cr, 7–27 ppm; Ni, 5–11 ppm; Mg#, 45–51) and more primitive clinopyroxene-bearing monzonitic enclaves (SiO₂, 54–59 wt.%; Cr, 20–310 ppm; Ni, 10–70 ppm; Mg#, 50–61) signifies that there is no co-genetic link between host granite and enclaves. The chemical and isotopic characteristics of the Baklan intrusion argue for an important role of a juvenile component, such as underplated mantle-derived basalt, in the generation of the granitoids. Crustal contamination has not contributed significantly to their origin. However, with respect to those of the Baklan intrusion, the generation of the (late syn)- post-collisional intrusions with higher Nd(t) values from the western Anatolia require a much higher amount of juvenil component in their source domains.     

地形图要素辅助下的影像面状地物提取

针对遥感影像与地形图变化检测中影像面状地物的提取问题,该文提出了一种地形图要素辅助下的影像面状地物提取方法。该方法首先利用配准后落在影像面状地物内的地形图面状要素中心进行区域生长,然后以人工选取的各类地物的初始样本和上述区域生长出影像上的各类地物作为训练样区进行监督分类,最终实现影像面状地物提取。实验结果表明,该方法能够有效地提取影像面状地物,并且自动化程度较高。     

北山—阿拉善地区二叠—三叠纪富碱侵入岩的岩石学特征

甘肃北山－内蒙古阿拉善地区发育有一套以正长岩、石英正长岩、霓辉正长岩、霓霞正长岩类为代表，包括碱性辉长岩、二长岩、石英二长岩、碱长花岗岩和碱性花岗岩等类岩石在内的富碱侵入体。本文总结了它们的空间分布、形成时代、产状、岩石组合和岩石化学特征；指出它们具有近东西向的分布特征，主体形成于二叠－三叠纪时期，具有富碱、碱性岩类的岩石化学特征，构成一条富碱侵入岩带；认为其时空分布特点与华北地台、塔里木地台北缘及邻区碱性岩带一致，是华北－塔里木北缘及邻区巨型碱性岩带的重要组成部分。     

近20年来中国人口重心与经济重心的演变及其对比分析

采用近20年来中国各省（市、区）的人口、GDP、工业、农业、第三产业的产值及消费额数据，计算出其各年的重心坐标，定量表示出中国近20年来人口、GDP、工业、农业、第三产业及消费重心的动态演化过程。在此基础上分析了中国人口、经济发展、生活水平区域差异的动态变化及其之间的关系，以及各要素动态演化的驱动因子。结果表明：近20年来，中国人口重心表现为缓慢地向西南方向移动；GDP、工业、第三产业和消费额重心向东南方向移动。与中国几何中心比较，区域差异在总体上是扩大了；与人口重心相比较，东西方向呈不平衡态势发展，南北方向则开始趋于平衡；而农业重心则表现为无规律性变化。     

扬子区奥陶纪—志留纪横板珊瑚的发生-迁移与生物古地理

扬子区奥陶系、志留系十分发育，内含丰富的横板珊瑚化石，是横板珊瑚起源中心之一．从横板珊瑚赋存特点入手，较系统地综合、概括了区内横板珊瑚的起源及迁移．奥陶纪—志留纪在扬子区起源的横板珊瑚科有Ａｇｅｔｏｌｉｔｉｄａｅ，Ｆｌｅｔｃｈｅｒｉｅｌｉｄａｅ，Ｏｃｕｌｉｐｏｒｉｄａｅ，Ｃｌｅｉｓｔｏｐｏｒｉｄａｅ，Ｇｒａｃｉｌｏｐｏｒｉｄａｅ，Ｓｉｎｏｐｏｒｉｄａｅ，Ｔｒｏｃｈｉｓｃｏｌｉｔｈｉｄａｅ，Ｔｈａｍｎｏｐｏｒｉｎａｅ（亚科），其迁徙方式有两种：一是从扬子区向亚洲东部、北美、欧洲等地迁移；另一种是从扬子区向世界各地扩散