辅助纬度与大地纬度间的无穷展开

利用无穷级数理论和拉格朗日反演定理,详细推导了大地测量和制图学中常用的辅助纬度与大地纬度间的无穷展开,主要表现为参考椭球第一偏心率的幂级数形式。通过建立一系列严格的系数递推公式,得到了等量纬度反解展开式和等角纬度反解展开式;同时,推导了古德曼函数的泰勒展开式,进而得到了等角纬度正解展开式;利用级数除法公式,得到了等距离纬度正解展开式系数的行列式表示。通过比较本文方法与计算机代数系统Mathematica直接推导求得的辅助纬度正反解展开式e^0～e⁴⁰阶系数和相应的程序用时,表明本文算法是正确的、快速的。以CGCS2000参考椭球为例,对辅助纬度正反解进行了算例分析,也进一步验证了本文公式的正确性。     

奇异非线性二阶诺伊曼边值问题恰有5个正解的条件

主要研究奇异非线性二阶诺伊曼边值问题的正解个数.应用比较原理、最大值原理和上界方法得出了在一定条件下,该问题恰好有5个正解的结果.     

Mesoscale Barotropic Instability of Vortex Rossby Waves in Tropical Cyclones

In this study, the barotropic stability of vortex Rossby waves (VRWs) in 2D inviscid tropical cyclone (TC)-like vortices is explored in the context of rotational dynamics on an f-plane. Two necessary instable conditions are discovered: (a) there must be at least one zero point of basic vorticity gradient in the radial scope; and (b) the relative propagation velocity of perturbations must be negative to the basic vorticity gradient, which reflects the restriction relationship of instable energy. The maximum ...     

青藏高原亚东—格尔木地学断面重磁异常的对应分析

对应分析方法是一种重磁异常的定量化联合解释方法。从泊松定理出发,计算重磁异常的相关性,并根据相关性的分布特征来分离和鉴别不同类型的异常区,为划分地质构造单元及认识地壳结构的其它特征提供信息。在对青藏高原亚东—格尔木地学断面的综合研究中,本文用对应分析方法联合解释重磁异常,对该区地壳结构提出了一些认识。     

堤防工程风险评价体系研究

分析了堤防系统的层次性及模糊性,在此基础上建立了堤防工程风险评价系统指标体系和评价结构模型。结合FCT(Fuzzy Consistency Theorem)及AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process)定义了模糊一致空间,实现了基于模糊一致矩阵的权重反演。针对各典型护岸段,通过加固前江堤系统风险评价的结论,实现了护岸工程的风险等级划分,进而按照局部与整体加固两种情况完成了加固后江堤系统的风险评价。     

土石坝坡抗震极限分析上限法

基于极限分析的上限定理,提出一种土石坝极限抗震分析的新方法。该方法假定土体为理想刚塑性材料且满足相关联流动准则,将土石坝坡滑动体划分为若干水平土条,计算各滑动土条的外功率与内能耗散,然后通过能量平衡条件,利用优化算法确定土石坝的极限抗震能力。运用所提方法,对一典型心墙土石坝进行极限抗震能力分析,研究了水平条分数以及抗剪强度参数对极限抗震能力影响。计算结果表明,水平条分数对滑裂面形状影响较大而对大坝极限抗震能力影响较小。当水平条分数增加到一定数目时大坝极限抗震能力最终趋于一个稳定值。同时,堆石料的抗剪强度对大坝极限抗震能力影响较大。通过与传统的极限平衡法对比,验证了所提方法的正确性与可行性。     

水平浅埋条形锚板极限抗拔力上限计算

作为一种提供抗拔力的基础形式,锚板在实际工程中有广泛的应用。在上限定理的基础上,根据线性破坏准则,对锚板上的填土建立机动容许的速度场,运用关联流动法则以及速度边界条件求解条形锚板极限抗拔力的上限解。把锚板上填土的抗剪强度指标c、? 作为变量参数,对锚板上部填土建立两种新的含有变量的容许速度场。根据外力功率与内部耗能相等原理,求出极限抗拔力的目标函数与约束条件,并根据“序列二次规划算法”对该问题进行优化。将研究结果与已有文献资料进行分析比较,可以证明本文方法的有效性。参数分析结果表明：在同样条件下,两种破坏模式的极限抗拔力差别不大;岩土体密实度、抗剪强度指标c、?、锚板埋深率和锚板几何形状对锚板承载能力和锚板抗拔破坏区域均有较大的影响。     

The bayesian probabilistic prediction of the next earthquake in the ometepec segment of the mexican subduction zone

A predictive equation to estimate the next interoccurrence time () for the next earthquake (M6) in the Ometepec segment is presented, based on Bayes' theorem and the Gaussian process.Bayes' theorem is used to relate the Gaussian process to both a log-normal distribution of recurrence times () and a log-normal distribution of magnitudes (M) (Nishenko andBuland, 1987;Lomnitz, 1964). We constructed two new random variablesX=InM andY=In with normal marginal densities, and based on the Gaussian process model we assume that their joint density is normal. Using this information, we determine the Bayesian conditional probability. Finally, a predictive equation is derived, based on the criterion of maximization of the Bayesian conditional probability. The model forecasts the next interoccurrence time, conditional on the magnitude of the last event.Realistic estimates of future damaging earthquakes are based on relocated historical earthquakes. However, at the present time there is a controversy between Nishenko-Singh and Gonzalez-Ruiz-Mc-Nally concerning the rupturing process of the 1907 earthquake. We use our Bayesian analysis to examine and discuss this very important controversy. To clarify to the full significance of the analysis, we put forward the results using two catalogues: (1) The Ometepec catalogue without the 1907 earthquake (González-Ruíz-McNally), and (2) the Ometepec catalogue including the 1907 earthquake (Nishenko-Singh).The comparison of the prediction error reveals that in the Nishenko-Singh catalogue, the errors are considerably smaller than the average error for the González-Ruíz-McNally catalogue of relocated events.Finally, using the Nishenko-Singh catalogue which locates the 1907 event inside the Ometepec segment, we conclude that the next expected damaging earthquake (M6.0) will occur approximately within the next time interval =11.82 years from the last event (which occurred on July 2, 1984), or equivalently will probably occur in April, 1996.     

A Critical Note on ‘Eco‐Civic Regionalisation’ as the Basis for Local Government Boundaries in Australia

The notion of ‘eco‐civic regionalisation’ has been applied recently to New South Wales by Brunckhorst, Coop and Reeve (2004 Brunckhorst D Coop P Reeve I 2004 An eco‐civic regionalisation for rural New South Wales: final report to the NSW government Institute for Rural Futures and Centre for Bioregional Resource Management, University of New England, Armidale  [Google Scholar]) in order to identify the appropriate administrative boundaries for ‘socio‐civic’ regions and ‘biophysical’ regions. On the basis of this analysis, they recommended inter alia that 49 future non‐metropolitan ‘local government areas’ be established. This proposal was adopted with alacrity by advocates of the NSW government's program of compulsory council amalgamation, including official ‘Facilitators’ appointed by the State government to draft formal consolidation proposals. This paper disputes the applicability of ‘eco‐civic regionalisation’ as the foundation for local government boundaries in Australia.     

一类非线性奇异边值问题的解的存在性

本文研究了如下的高阶奇异边值问题解的存在性ｙ（ｎ）＋ｆ（ｔ，ｙ，ｙ＇，．．．，ｙ（ｎ－２））＝０，ｎ≥２，０＜ｔ＜１，ｙ（ｉ）（０）＝０，０≤ｉ≤＜ｎ－２，ｙ（ｎ－１）（１）＝０其中，ｆ（ｔ，ｙ１，．．．，ｙｍ－１）在ｙｉ＝０处有奇性，ｉ＝１，．．．，ｎ－１。我们给出了该问题解存在的一个新的充分条件