Biomass estimation of Sonneratia caseolaris (l.) Engler at a coastal area of Hai Phong city (Vietnam) using ALOS-2 PALSAR imagery and GIS-based multi-layer perceptron neural networks

This study tested the use of machine learning techniques for the estimation of above-ground biomass (AGB) of Sonneratia caseolaris in a coastal area of Hai Phong city, Vietnam. We employed a GIS database and multi-layer perceptron neural networks (MLPNN) to build and verify an AGB model, drawing upon data from a survey of 1508 mangrove trees in 18 sampling plots and ALOS-2 PALSAR imagery. We assessed the model’s performance using root-mean-square error, mean absolute error, coefficient of determination (R²), and leave-one-out cross-validation. We also compared the model’s usability with four machine learning techniques: support vector regression, radial basis function neural networks, Gaussian process, and random forest. The MLPNN model performed well and outperformed the machine learning techniques. The MLPNN model-estimated AGB ranged between 2.78 and 298.95 Mg ha^?1 (average = 55.8 Mg ha^?1); below-ground biomass ranged between 4.06 and 436.47 Mg ha^?1 (average = 81.47 Mg ha^?1), and total carbon stock ranged between 3.22 and 345.65 Mg C ha^?1 (average = 64.52 Mg C ha^?1). We conclude that ALOS-2 PALSAR data can be accurately used with MLPNN models for estimating mangrove forest biomass in tropical areas.     

模糊线性判别函数与权重初始化超球面

将非线性神经元及多层感知机分类行为分析建筑在模糊集理论基础上,提出模糊线性判别函数、模糊判别面、模糊模式分类等概念,并引导出将多层感知机的隐层权重值均匀地分布在权重空间超球面上的网络初始化方法。以一系列实验验证此方法能明显提高多层感知机收敛性能,且与所用的学习算法、神经元的激励函数形式无关。     

用地下水位异常对1998年1月10日张北-尚义MS6.2地震的检验性预测

分析了１９９８ 年１ 月１０ 日张北尚义 Ｍ Ｓ６ ．２ 地震前后晋冀蒙交界地区前兆台网地下水位异常特征．用多层次跟踪预报法对该次地震进行了检验性预测,探讨了地下水位高值异常与该次地震的关系．检验预测结果表明,这些异常就是该次地震的前兆反映     

Artificial Neural Network Prediction of Tropospheric Ozone Concentrations in Istanbul,Turkey

Tropospheric (ground‐level) ozone has adverse effects on human health and environment. In this study, next day's maximum 1‐h average ozone concentrations in Istanbul were predicted using multi‐layer perceptron (MLP) type artificial neural networks (ANNs). Nine meteorological parameters and nine air pollutant concentrations were utilized as inputs. The total 578 datasets were divided into three groups: training, cross‐validation, and testing. When all the 18 inputs were used, the best performance was obtained with a network containing one hidden layer with 24 neurons. The transfer function was hyperbolic tangent. The correlation coefficient (R), mean absolute error (MAE), root mean squared error (RMSE), and index of agreement or Willmott's Index (d₂) for the testing data were 0.90, 8.78 µg/m³, 11.15 µg/m³, and 0.95, respectively. Sensitivity analysis has indicated that the persistence information (current day's maximum and average ozone concentrations), NO concentration, average temperature, PM₁₀, maximum temperature, sunshine time, wind direction, and solar radiation were the most important input parameters. The values of R, MAE, RMSE, and d₂ did not change considerably for the MLP model using only these nine inputs. The performances of the MLP models were compared with those of regression models (i.e., multiple linear regression and multiple non‐linear regression). It has been found that there was no significant difference between the ANN and regression modeling techniques for the forecasting of ozone concentrations in Istanbul.     

Performance analysis of radial basis function networks and multi-layer perceptron networks in modeling urban change: a case study

The majority of cities are rapidly growing. This makes the monitoring and modeling of urban change’s spatial patterns critical to urban planners, decision makers, and environment protection activists. Although a wide range of methods exists for modeling and simulating urban growth, machine learning (ML) techniques have received less attention despite their potential for producing highly accurate predictions of future urban extents. The aim of this study is to investigate two ML techniques, namely radial basis function network (RBFN) and multi-layer perceptron (MLP) networks, for modeling urban change. By predicting urban change for 2010, the models’ performance is evaluated by comparing results with a reference map and by using a set of pertinent statistical measures, such as average spatial distance deviation and figure of merit. The application of these techniques employs the case study area of Mumbai, India. The results show that both models, which were tested using the same explanatory variables, produced promising results in terms of predicting the size and extent of future urban areas. Although a close match between RBFN and MLP is observed, RBFN demonstrates higher spatial accuracy of prediction. Accordingly, RBFN was utilized to simulate urban change for 2020 and 2030. Overall, the study provides evidence that RBFN is a robust and efficient ML technique and can therefore be recommended for land use change modeling.     

基于MLP神经网络的大气加权平均温度模型

以中国西南地区2015~2017年探空数据为实验数据,使用多层感知器（MLP）神经网络回归方法建立西南地区的加权平均温度(T_m)模型。将气象参数（地表温度、水汽压）和非气象参数（高程、纬度和年积日）作为模型输入因子,由数值积分法计算得到的T_m作为学习目标,通过神经网络模型进行迭代训练从而得到中国西南地区的T_m。以2018年探空站T_m数据为参考值,对MLP模型精度进行验证,并与Bevis模型和GPT3模型进行对比分析。结果表明,MLP模型的年均RMSE和年均bias分别为1.99 K和0.15 K,比Bevis模型、GPT3模型年均RMSE分别降低1.36 K(40.6%)和1.51 K(43.1%),年均bias分别下降0.70 K（82.4%）和1.04 K（87.4%）,且该模型在中国西南区域不同高程、纬度和季节的精度与稳定性优于Bevis模型和GPT3模型。     

Univariate modelling of summer-monsoon rainfall time series: Comparison between ARIMA and ARNN

The present article reports studies to develop a univariate model to forecast the summer monsoon (June–August) rainfall over India. Based on the data pertaining to the period 1871–1999, the trend and stationarity within the time series have been investigated. After revealing the randomness and non-stationarity within the time series, the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models have been attempted and the ARIMA(0,1,1) has been identified as a suitable representative model. Consequently, an autoregressive neural network (ARNN) model has been attempted and the neural network has been trained as a multilayer perceptron with the extensive variable selection procedure. Sigmoid non-linearity has been used while training the network. Finally, a three-three-one architecture of the ARNN model has been obtained and after thorough statistical analysis the supremacy of ARNN has been established over ARIMA(0,1,1). The usefulness of ARIMA(0,1,1) has also been described.     

Prototyping an artificial neural network for burned area mapping on a regional scale in Mediterranean areas using MODIS images

Each year thousands of ha of forest land are affected by forest fires in Southern European countries such as Spain. Burned area maps are a valuable instrument for designing prevention and recovery policies. Remote sensing has increasingly become the most widely used tool for this purpose on regional and global scales, where a large variety of techniques and data has been applied. This paper proposes a semiautomatic method for burned area mapping on a regional scale in Mediterranean areas (the Iberian Peninsula has been used as a study case). A Multi-layer Perceptron Network (MLPN) has been designed and applied to MODIS/Terra Surface Reflectance Daily L2G Global 500m SIN Grid multitemporal composite monthly images. The compositing criterion was based on maximum surface temperature. The research covered a six year period (2001–2006) from June to September, when most of the forest fires occur. The resulting burned area maps have been validated using official fire perimeters and compared with MODIS Collection 5 Burned Area Product (MCD45A1). The MLPN shown as an effective method, with a commission error of 29.1%, in the classification of the burned areas, while the omission error was of 14.9%. The results were compared with the MCD45A1 product, which had a slightly higher commission error (30.2%) and a considerably higher omission error (26.2%), indicating a high underestimation of the burned area.     

The SIMBOL-X hard X-ray mission

SIMBOL-X is a hard X-ray mission based on a formation flight architecture, operating in the 0.5–80 keV energy range, which has been selected for a comprehensive Phase A study, being jointly carried out by CNES and ASI. SIMBOL-X makes uses of a long (in the 25–30 m range) focal length multilayer-coated X-ray mirrors to focus for the first time X-rays with energy above 10 keV, resulting in at least a two orders of magnitude improvement in angular resolution and sensitivity compared to non focusing techniques used so far. The SIMBOL-X revolutionary instrumental capabilities will allow us to elucidate outstanding questions in high energy astrophysics, related in particular to the physics and energetic of the accretion processes on-going in the Universe, also performing a census of black holes on all scales, achieved through deep, wide-field surveys of extragalactic fields and of the Galactic center, and the to the acceleration of electrons and hadrons particles to the highest energies. In this paper, the mission science objectives, design, instrumentation and status are reviewed. PACS: 95.55 – Astronomical and space-research instrumentation 95.85 – Astronomical Observations 98.85.Nv – X-ray