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151.
全球陆地年降水量与ENSO关系的初步研究 总被引:12,自引:0,他引:12
用全球陆地月降水资料(PREC/L),研究了1948-2000年期间的ENSO事件与全球陆地年降水量的关系,对全盛分析的结果进行了蒙特卡洛模拟经验。结果表明,暖事件年全球陆地年降水量大范围地明显减小,显著的地区是:赤道西太平洋区,中国的华北,赤道中美洲区,孟加拉湾北部及尼泊尔,东澳大利亚区,印度西部及巴基斯坦南部,勒拿河以东地区,西欧及南极的威尔克斯等区域。在暖事件年,陆地年降水量增加地区不多,主要是南美的智利和阿根廷,东非索马里,肯尼亚和坦桑亚,中东的土耳其,伊拉克及伊朗,北非的利比亚和阿尔及利亚,西南非的纳米比亚及非洲南部的博茨瓦纳和津巴布韦。统计检验表明,暖事件年全球陆地年降水量减少的面积比降水量增加的面积要大,而且更为显著,将本文结果与早期的研究结果进行了比较,研究还指出,ENSO的年代际变化对上述地区降水的年代际变化影响不明显。但是80年代以后的暖事件对东澳大利亚干旱,中国的华北的干旱的影响比80年代前的影响更大。 相似文献
152.
近百年中国东部夏季降水的时空变率 总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4
利用中国东部25°N以北28个站1880-1999年夏季季降水序列,用旋转复经验正交函数(RCEOF)方法,研究了中国东部地区百年干湿的时空演变规律。结果表明,夏季降水空间变率大值区依次为:长江中下游地区、淮河流域、江南、华北、西南及东北。除西南外的5个关键区大体上反映了从6月到8月夏季雨带自南向北椎进所滞留的地区。旋转空间位相分布揭示了长江中下游地区、江南、东北的旱涝异常主要表现为驻波振动特征;而淮河流域、华北、西南地区显示出降水异常信号具有部分的行波特征。尤其第4空间模显示出旱涝异常信号从东北南部可沿着黄淮下游传到长江下游地区。对于近百年中国东部地区夏季于湿变化,长江中下游地区、淮河流域、华北及东北四个地区都存在20-25年时间尺度的周期振荡;长江中下游地区及华北地区都存在准60年时间尺度的振荡周期;东北地区主要表现出36年时间尺度的振荡周期;淮河流域存在明显的70-80年时间尺度的振荡周期;华北地区存在的11年时间尺度的振荡周期恰好与太阳黑子活动的11年周期相一致。在年代际时间尺度(包括次年代际时间尺度)上,长江中下游、淮河流域及华北地区的夏季降水的变化与太阳活动有显著的正相关。 相似文献
153.
According to the basic characteristics of the activities of summer monsoon in the South China Sea,Standardized index,Is,has been designed that integrates a dynamic factor(southwesterly component) and a thermodynamic factor(OLR) for the indication of summer monsoon in the South China Sea,With the index determined for individual months of June,July and August and the entire summertime from 1975 to 1999,specific months and years are indicated that are either strong or weak in monsoon intensity,The variation is studied for the patterns and Is‘s relationship is revealed with the onset of summer monsoon and the precipitation in Guang-dong province and China.The results show that there are quasi-10 and quasi-3-4 year cycles in the interannual variation of the monsooon over the past 25 years.When it has an early(late)onset,the summer monsoon is usually strong (weak),In the strong(weak)monsoon,years,precipitation tends to be more(less)in the first raining season of the year but normal or less(normal)in the second,in the province,but it would be more(less) in northeastern China and most parts of the northern china and south of the lower reaches of the Changjiang River and less(more)in the middle and lower reaches of the river,western part of northern China and western China. 相似文献
154.
在对河南油田双河矿区油田污水进行全分析的基础上,研究了污水中Fe^2 ,S^2-,溶解氧(DO)及污水的pH值对有机交联体系聚丙烯酰胺(HPAM)-酚醛胶态分散凝胶(CDG)成胶性能的影响。研究结果表明,Fe^2 ,S^2-,DO及污水的pH值对HPAM-酚醛体系的成胶性能都有影响当ρ(Fe^2 )=1.6mg/L,ρ(S^2-)=0.1mg/L,ρ(DO)=1.6mg/L,HPAM-酚醛体系就不能成胶;随着污水pH值的增大,CDG强度变弱。 相似文献
155.
岩石边坡系统是一典型灰色系统,其变形发展过程可以用灰色预测模型完成。尽管传统GM(1,1)模型预测有很多成功的实例,但是也存在一些预测偏差过大的情况,必须对其进行优化。逐步迭代法GM(1,1)模型不仅收敛速度快,而且与原始数据库序列的凹凸性保护一致。利用自编的计算程序对马步坎边坡预测测点G1沉降和开裂进行预测分析,结果表明逐步迭代法GM(1,1)优化模型计算精度较传统GM(1,1)模型和背景构造法GM(1,1)优化模型高,较好地反映了岩石边坡的变形趋势。 相似文献
156.
Structural vibration control using active or passive control strategy is a viable technology for enhancing structural functionality and safety against natural hazards such as strong earthquakes and high wind gusts. Both the active and passive control systems have their limitations. The passive control system has limited capability to control the structural response whereas the active control system depends on external power. The power requirement for active control of civil engineering structures is usually quite high. Thus, a hybrid control system is a viable solution to alleviate some of the limitations. In this paper a multi‐objective optimal design of a hybrid control system for seismically excited building structures has been proposed. A tuned mass damper (TMD) and an active mass driver (AMD) have been used as the passive and active control components of the hybrid control system, respectively. A fuzzy logic controller (FLC) has been used to drive the AMD as the FLC has inherent robustness and ability to handle the non‐linearities and uncertainties. The genetic algorithm has been used for the optimization of the control system. Peak acceleration and displacement responses non‐dimensionalized with respect to the uncontrolled peak acceleration and displacement responses, respectively, have been used as the two objectives of the multi‐objective optimization problem. The proposed design approach for an optimum hybrid mass damper (HMD) system, driven by FLC has been demonstrated with the help of a numerical example. It is shown that the optimum values of the design parameters of the hybrid control system can be determined without specifying the modes to be controlled. The proposed FLC driven HMD has been found to be very effective for vibration control of seismically excited buildings in comparison with the available results for the same example structure but with a different optimal absorber. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
157.
非常规综合物化探方法油气预测研究中存在的主要问题为:缺乏系统与综合的基础性理论研究,异常形成的机理还不十分清楚,在参数的优化组合及异常的求取上尚有诸多不足。针对后一种情况,选择松辽盆地东岭构造作为实验区进行了有益的探索。选取低能吸附烃、放射性测氡及土壤热释光三类参数进行了优化组合,分别计算了综合指标MAE与MAC及组合熵,然后对各值采用泛克里格法求取异常,取得了良好的效果。下一步研究应从异常形成的机理入手,建立三维非常规综合物化探油气预测模式,以提高油气预测成功率。 相似文献
158.
159.
A multi-scale study on land use and land cover quality change: The case of the Yellow River Delta in China 总被引:5,自引:0,他引:5
This paper presents a case study of the Yellow River Delta in China, to trace land use and land cover changes during the past
20 years, with an emphasis on land quality changes. Three sets of data are used in this case study: remote sensing data derived
from satellite images; crop yield data from statistics; and soil data collected by the researchers in the field. Our study
reveals that at the regional scale, LUCC has taken place in a positive direction: vegetation cover has been expanding and
crop yields per hectare have been on rise. However, while the overall eco-environment has improved, the improvement is uneven
across the Delta region. At local levels, some areas show signs of increased salinization and declining organic content. Both
natural forces and human activities are responsible for the LUCC, but human activities play a more important role. While some
impacts of human activities are positive, the damages are often long-lasting and irreversible. We also conclude that it is
necessary to use both macro data (such as remote sensing data) and micro data (data collected in the field) to study land
quality change. The former are efficient in examining land quality changes at the regional scale, the latter can serve to
verify ground patterns revealed from macro data and help to identify local variations, so as to get a comprehensive understanding
of LUCC and promote sustainable land use and land management.
This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date. 相似文献
160.
A total of four times of rhabdosome complication events, i.e., the lateral branching of graptolite stipes during the Late Middle Ordovician, the secondary branching of graptolite stipes at the earliest Upper Ordovician, the early Qiantangjiangian of Upper Ordovician and the middle Qiantangjiangian, respectively, is discussed in this paper. These events and other adaptation events demonstrate close relationships between a diverse graptolite fauna and sea level changes, and consequently can be employed to study sea level fluctuations. It is safe to conclude that the complication of rhabdosome started at the maximum flooding surface (MFS) and terminated at the beginning of regression. 相似文献