Bayesian power-law regression with a location parameter,with applications for construction of discharge rating curves

This paper presents a Bayesian approach for fitting the standard power-law rating curve model to a set of stage-discharge measurements. Methods for eliciting both regional and at-site prior information, and issues concerning the determination of prior forms, are discussed. An efficient MCMC algorithm for the specific problem is derived. The appropriateness of the proposed method is demonstrated by applying the model to both simulated and real-life data. However, some problems came to light in the applications, and these are discussed.     

上海海洋邮轮旅游的发展策略研究

海洋邮轮旅游产业在现代旅游业的发展中有极大的潜力。近些年来,邮轮旅游产业被誉为"漂浮在黄金水道上的黄金产业"。随着中国经济的发展,我国邮轮旅游业迅速兴起,使多级邮轮市场开始向中国倾斜,成为带动中国经济发展的新动力。文章首先对比了邮轮旅游业国内外的研究现状和理论分析方法,并介绍了上海海洋邮轮旅游业目前的发展现状;其次用"SWOT"分析法的角度讨论了上海邮轮旅游业面临的机会和威胁;最后针对上海海洋邮轮旅游产业,分别从改善环境、扩大宣传、丰富航线和完善港口设施等方面提出了邮轮旅游业的长期发展方向。     

An algorithm for the optimum distribution of a regional seismic network — II. An analysis of the accuracy of location of local earthquakes depending on the number of seismic stations

Summary Seven optimal networks consisting of 4 to 10 stations are compared for a given region, where velocity-depth profiles and the distribution of seismic intensity are known. Assuming that the standard error of arrival time is _t =0.05 s and the standard errors of the parameters of velocity-depth profiles are equal to 5% of their values, the average standard errors of the origin time and focus coordinates are estimated. The application of optimum methods to the planning of seismic networks in the Lublin Coal Basin is presented, and maps of standard errors of origin time , depth and epicenter ( _xy ) for the case of an optimum network of 6 seismic stations are given.     

台湾海峡船舶交通管理系统（VTS）的研究

台湾海峡是南来北往的国内、国际海上运输主通道的重要组成部分,本文通过分析台湾海峡自然条件、船舶交通现状及发展、安全监督管理现状,提出建设台湾海峡船舶交通管理系统（ＶＴＳ）的必要性和迫切性。该系统的建设将改善海峡船舶通航条件,保障船舶航行安全,提高航运效益,保护水域环境,同时促进两岸海上直航的顺利发展。     

日本跨国公司对外直接投资区位研究

本文运用大量数据和资料对日本对外直接投资的地区结构和部门结构的变化、跨国公司对外直接投资的动机以及跨国公司海外生产基地的产品、市场结构特征进行详细分析,在此基础上总结了日本跨国公司对外直接投资的区位类型以及在不同区位类型下形成的企业内国际分工性质。     

广州市未来居住区热点区位分析

本文在回顾建国以来广州市居住区建设状况的基础上，对广州市居民３个层次的居住环境现状进行了评价，分析了居民未来居住环境需求的变化对其住宅区位选择的影响，讨论广州市目前已经出现及将会出现的重要的城市社会发展趋势和城市建设趋势，以及它们对城市居住区区位的影响，指出了广州市未来居住区开发的热点区位及其开发过程中所要重点解决的几个问题。     

地理信息服务及基于服务的气象业务系统框架探讨

近年来,地理信息系统(GIS)在气象业务系统建设过程中发挥越来越重要的作用。结合GIS的发展趋势,该文介绍了地理信息服务的基本原理与方法,并在此基础上提出了新的应用模式———服务集成在气象业务运行系统的建设框架,它主要包括了系统参与角色、体系结构、运行流程等方面的内容;并对一些关键技术问题进行了讨论与分析。     

A geographic perspective on intra-urban racial/ethnic diversity, segregation, and clustering in Knoxville, Tennessee: 1990-2000

Racial/ethnic diversity in the United States has increased significantly in recent decades, with minority groups now accounting for almost one-third of the total population. At the same time, growing diversity has spread into rural and non-metropolitan areas. Research suggests that changing diversity in the ‘New South’ has seen growth of non-Black communities. The question, however, is the degree to which increasing diversity equates with increasing intermixing or, alternatively, whether racial/ethnic clusters retain their prominence. This paper examines the geographic manifestations of growing racial/ethnic diversity within intra-urban context, using census-tracts as scale of analysis in the metropolitan statistical area (MSA) of Knoxville in Tennessee. The statistics used for analyzing intra-urban variations include Diversity Score, Theil Entropy Index, and Location Quotient. Tract and Block-group data for White, Black, American Indian, Asian, All Others and Hispanic are used for computing these indices. This paper concludes that diversity has increased during 1990-2000, and has dispersed into suburban counties. However, segregation and clustering for certain minority groups has also increased, in particular African-Americans still remain the most segregated and most clustered community confined to specific geographic locations. This research holds significance as local economic development patterns are very much guided by the geographic variability of human and social capital. Applied research can suggest avenues for growth and can help rebuild local communities. This paper will also contribute to literature focusing on methodological challenges in measuring diversity and its geographic manifestations.     

美国外商制造业直接投资区域分异模式研究

本文以美国经济区为基本地域单元，以区位商和相关系数为主要研究指标，从一般投资区位和新建投资区位两方面研究了美国外商制造业直接投资区域分异模式。主要研究结论如下：外商制造业企业就业与美国制造业企业就业的区域分布很相似，但更倾向于集中在美国东南部；外商新建投资企业相对集中在新英格兰部分地区和东南部，得克萨斯和路易丝安那海岸地区，密苏里州和伊利诺伊州西部；外商新建企业倾向于分布在高人口密度区，但相关性没有美国本国新建企业强；外商新建投资企业与外商并购企业的分布略有不同。     

边境区位及其再创造初探

传统区位理论认为，国家边界降低了边境地区中心地的“中心性”，分割了中心地市场区，使边界两侧的经济活动交往的空间和时间距离加大。当前，随着经济全球化、区域经济一体化以及企业组织、企业行为变革和各边境地区区域和地方组织的积极参与等动力机制的作用，跨边界经济合作过程中，边境地区进行着边境区位的再创造。本文对传统区位理论有关边境区位的论述进行了评述，并分析和论述了经济全球化和区域经济一体化以及企业组织、企业行为变革和各区域、地方组织等动力机制对边境区位再创造的影响。