The response of climatic jump in summer in north china to global warming

To reveal climatic variation over North China, the climatic jumps in summer in Beijing are analyzed using the data of precipitation of summer (June, July, August) during the period of 1841-1993, in which those missed before 1950 were reconstructed by the stepwise regression method with minimum forecast error. The climatic jumps at different scales are analyzed using different diagnostic methods with different decade (10-100 years) windows. Some new methods and ideas are proposed. The variance difference, the linear tendency difference, and the difference of power spectral distribution between the samples before and after the period at the moving point in the center of the series are compared with other methods (for example, Mann-Kendall test, t-test, and accumulative anomaly etc.). Considering the differences among the statistics above, a synthetic jump index is also proposed in order to get the definite jump points in the moving series. The results show that the climatic jumps in the area occurred in the 1890’s, the 1910s and the 1920s, and mostly in the 1920s, which suggests that the local climatic jumps in North China have a simultaneous response to the global warming in the hundred-year scales.     

数值模拟估算低低卫-卫跟踪观测技术反演地球重力场的空间分辨率

从两个方面模拟研究了低低卫-卫跟踪观测技术恢复地球重力场的空间分辨率. 利用重力位系数作为扰动量，积分30天的轨道，研究重力位系数变化引起低低卫-卫跟踪星间距离和速率变化，结果表明，对于地球重力场模型EGM96的前120阶，998%和97%的位系数扰动引起星间距离和速率变化的均方差大于1×１０-５m和１×１０-７m/s，并且星间距离观测值对地球重力场的反应更为敏感. 不考虑非保守力误差的影响，用随机误差为１×１０－５m和１×１０－６m/s的星间距离和速率变化作模拟观测量，恢复了78阶地球重力场位系数，结果表明，采用随机误差为１×１０－５m的星间距离恢复地球重力场的精度明显高于１×１０－６m/s的星间速率结果，但是如果考虑非保守力误差影响，则星间测速的优越性大大增强.     

"2003.6.17"滇中特大暴雨的中尺度分析

结合大尺度环流的高通滤波、卫星云图和雷达回波诊断，用Shuman—Shapiro中尺度滤波方法，对2003年6月17日云南中部的楚雄市至南华县一带发生的特大暴雨过程进行了中尺度分析。结果表明，这次过程是热带中尺度气旋东南移并发展造成的；地面强冷空气侵入中尺度低压导致对流发展，是热带中尺度气旋加强的原因；大尺度环流下，孟加拉湾、南海和北部湾形成的两条水汽输送带通过热带低压，为强对流的发展和维持提供了能源保障；地面中尺度低压中心和与之配置的切变线北侧对特大暴雨落区有较好的指示。     

隧道中的地质雷达技术应用效果

地质雷达勘探技术以其独有高分辨率、高效率、无损检测的特点可满足超前地质预报施工要求，在隧道施工，能够准确预报掌子面前方岩体构造情况和不良地质体，对隧道混凝土衬砌常见的问题如：衬砌和围岩的结合部的缺陷、局部裂缝、衬砌厚度不足、土衬砌与围岩出现的脱空、回填欠实、富水区等进行有效的检测。     

非规则采矿工作面积分区间确定方法

针对工作面形状多种多样的特点,本文采用二次曲线描述工作面水平投影边界,并且利用分段积分的方法处理更加复杂的工作面形状,合理地解决了非规则采矿工作面积分区间的划分问题;同时,给出了工作面形状系数的计算公式,整个计算过程利用计算机技术实现自动解算,避免了对任意曲边形工作面采用矩形分割的近似处理方法,提高了地面沉陷预计精度。最后,用实例说明了本文提供的对非规则采矿工作面的处理方法比现行处理方法具有更高的     

精河——伊宁铁路工程沿线气象参数设计值研究

根据精河－－伊宁铁路沿线１６个气象观测站近４０年（１９６１～１９９８年）的气象资料,建立了铁路沿线无资料地区Ａ区冬季（１月）平均气温预测模式为ＴＡ１＝－３３．５２０１＋０．２０３３７６φ＋２．３０８８．９Ｈ。以概率模式预测该铁路沿线气温、日照时数、２４ｈ（０８～０８时）最大降水量不同概率设计值。由此提示了精何－－伊宁铁路沿线冬季（１月）平均气温、日照时数、２４ｈ（０８～０８时）最大降水量、各历时最大降水量的分布规律。这一研究成果已应用于该铁路工程设计中,将气象要素概率模式应用于西部大开发铁路工程建设中,在这气候研究领域沿属首次。     

安庆电厂碎石桩复合地基静载荷试验分析

探讨了在进行碎石桩复合地基静载荷试验时终止加载原则、复合地基承载力极限值的测定方法和复合地基承载力标准值的确定方法等问题。     

Composition and provenance of the Upper Cretaceous to Eocene sandstones in Central Palawan, Philippines: Constraints on the tectonic development of Palawan

Abstract Sandstones from the Upper Cretaceous to Eocene succession of Central Palawan are rich in quartz grains and acidic volcanic rock fragments. Potassium feldspar grains and granitic rock fragments are commonly observed. The moderate to high SiO₂ and low FeO plus MgO contents of the sandstones support the proposal that clasts were derived from a continental source region. Southern China (Kwangtung and Fukien regions) is inferred to be the source area of the sandstones. The sedimentary facies of the Upper Cretaceous to Eocene succession consist of turbidite and sandstones, suggesting that they were deposited in the deep sea portions of submarine-fans and basin plains situated along a continental margin. These features indicate that the Upper Cretaceous to Eocene succession of the Central Palawan were derived and drifted from the southern margin of China. The tectonic history related to the formation of Palawan Island is also discussed.     

矿山露天转井下境界顶柱的数值模拟优化方法

露天底境界顶柱优化是露天转井下过渡时期的重要课题,该优化问题包括多个决策变量和多个评价指标,已有方法的优化效果不够理想。针对露天转井下境界顶柱优化特点,将遗传算法与三维数值模拟相结合,研究了境界顶柱全局优化的进化数值模拟方法,给出优化的指标和步骤,并将该方法用于大杏山铁矿的露天转井下境界顶柱的优化。工程应用表明所提出的井下境界顶柱优化方法是可行的。获得的最优方案对该矿山露天转井下的采矿设计具有指导作用。     

采场支承压力分布规律的数值模拟研究

采用FLAC-3D软件模拟了在煤层开采过程中采场支承压力的动态变化、依据数值模拟结果,拟合了支承压力集中系数与工作面推进距离的关系曲线。通过对比分析模拟结果,得出了工作面推进距离和长度及煤层的厚度和埋藏深度对支承压力集中系数和支承压力峰值点距工作面距离的影响程度,进而总结出采场支承压力分布规律,这些规律可为采场巷道维护、防治煤与瓦斯突出和顶煤可放性评价提供依据。