泉州市潜在地质安全隐患点特征与防治研究

以地质灾害实地调查成果为依据,总结了泉州市潜在地质安全隐患点的分布特征,在分析成因和风险基础上,立足地质灾害防治实践,重点针对农村房前屋后高陡边坡,探讨了具体防治对策。泉州地处福建省东南沿海,属亚热带海洋性季风气候,境内大部分地区属中低山丘陵区,地貌类型复杂多样,地处构造一岩浆发育区,区域地质环境比较脆弱,加上人类工程活动强烈,地质灾害发生较为频繁[1]。近年来,随着泉州市城乡经济以较快的速度发展,国土资源开发的强度不断加大,大量的不合理的工程建设活动进一步加剧,形成了数量众多的潜在地质安全隐患点,其中以农村房前屋后高陡边坡为主。     

Response of the shortgrass steppe plant community to fire

Fire is an important driver of ecological pattern and process in grasslands worldwide, although its role in semi-arid systems is less well known. We used published studies and new experimental research to 1) provide a synthesis of existing knowledge of fire in the semi-arid grasslands of the North American Great Plains, and 2) assess the degree of similarity in semi-arid and mesic grassland responses to fire in this region. Based on published studies, burning has neutral to negative effects on aboveground productivity in semi-arid grasslands and variable effects on plant communities. To more rigorously assess fire effects, replicated experimental plots were established in ungrazed shortgrass steppe in northern Colorado and prescribed spring fire was applied in 2006 and 2007, 2006 only, or not at all. Aboveground net primary productivity decreased or remained unchanged with burning. Plant community changes included increases in perennial forbs, decreases in annual grasses and a positive response in annual forbs to the combination of fire and a wet spring in 2007. Combined, these results indicate that post-fire changes in productivity in semi-arid grasslands are neutral to negative, in contrast to positive responses in mesic grasslands, and not strongly negative as previously assumed.     

扎龙湿地自然保护区的火灾管理

通过对黑龙江省扎龙湿地自然保护区自然资源状况和火灾特点的分析,结合当地社会经济及环境中存在的问题,为研究地区的林火管理提出具体建议。研究表明,在防火季节,有效地控制火源,提高当地居民的防火意识是预防火灾的关键;此外,保证保护区水源供应在火灾预防中起着关键作用。研究结果可为湿地类型自然保护区的林火管理提供参考。     

矿井冲击危险电磁辐射连续监测及预测研究

煤岩电磁辐射监测技术可以预测、预报矿井冲击地压和煤与瓦斯突出等煤岩动力灾害。利用中国矿业大学自行研制和开发的KBD7煤岩电磁辐射连续监测系统及数据处理软件,在鹤岗矿业集团南山、峻德等有冲击危险的矿井成功地连续监测了煤矿煤岩电磁辐射。根据监测现场的实际情况,结合监测数据,分析了有冲击危险监测区域的电磁辐射连续监测规律,并提取了其中蕴含的冲击危险前兆信息,用于冲击地压的监测、预报。      

火险等级评估方法与应用分析

森林草原火灾不仅严重危害到社会和人民财产安全,还危及到我国生态安全。火险等级评估作为科学防火的一个重要方法,可以为森林草原防火提供科学有效的决策支持信息。本文在已有相关研究总结的基础之上,针对火险等级评估方法和应用进行了如下分析。并定义阐述了火险等级评估研究中的相关概念;对火灾危险评估已使用过的指标进行了总结,简要分析了各类评估指标对火灾的影响;总结和分析了已有的火险等级评估方法;并介绍了针对我国北方四省森林草原生态环境特点简要分析了遥感反演指标的火险等级评估应用。     

新疆天山公路沿线地质灾害危险性评价

新疆天山公路（国道217线）是连接南、北疆的一条重要交通干线。通过调查研究沿线的地质条件,采用多元线性回归分析方法,选取地层岩性、地面坡度、相对高差、构造密度、多年平均降雨量、冻融作用、地震强度、植被覆盖率、开挖深度、灾害的分布密度和规模大小等11个评价因子,建立了地质灾害危险性级别的评价模型,得出了公路沿线的危险性级别图。     

中国综合气候变化风险区划

气候变化作用于自然环境与社会经济系统,产生一系列影响。随着未来社会经济发展,气候变化危险性与自然环境和社会经济承险体耦合形成有规律的风险时空格局。将此时空格局系统化表达即是综合气候变化风险区划,是适应气候变化的科学基础之一。本文基于RCP 8.5下的近中期（2021-2050年）气候情景,分析了中国未来气温和降水变化趋势与速率,评价了干旱、高温热浪以及洪涝等极端事件危险性,选取人口、经济、粮食生产和生态系统等承险体风险作为综合风险定量评估的指标。在系统性、主导因素以及空间连续性原则的指导下,提出中国综合气候变化风险区划三级区域系统方案,划分出8个气候变化敏感区、19个极端事件危险区和46个承险体综合风险区。结果发现：2021-2050年RCP 8.5情景下中国的气候变化高风险区主要包括：华北弱暖增雨敏感区,华北平原热浪危险区,人口经济粮食高风险区;华南—西南弱暖增雨敏感区,黔滇山地热浪危险区,生态经济粮食人口高风险区;华南沿海涝热危险区,生态粮食经济人口高风险区。中国综合气候变化风险区划涵盖了气候变化情景、极端事件发生、社会经济与生态系统的可能损失信息,可以为国家或地方应对气候变化及气候变化风险管理提供科技支撑。     

GIS支持下森林火场蔓延的空间模拟

林火扩展具有时间和空间特征。对火场模拟必须建立在空间背景数据库之上，即在地理信息系统和遥感技术的辅助下完成。森林火灾的发生发展有内在和外在因素的影响，内在因素包括了可燃物类型、可燃物湿度、地形，考虑这些因素形成了像元尺度植被燃烧基本历时图；外在因素主要是气候的影响，文中利用生成的植被起火概率图控制像元是否起火。在火场扩展中将Ｒｏｔｈｅｒｍｅｌ模型和经验模型结合使用，并考虑了坡度和风向带方向的因素的影响。最后利用迷宫算法在计算机上实现了火场在地理信息系统支持下的空间蔓延动态模拟。     

EOS/MODIS资料在湖北省林火监测中的应用

介绍了EOS卫星上携带的MODIS传感器的主要特点以及用MODIS资料进行林火监测的原理。根据近年来使用MODIS资料进行林火监测的应用情况,对自动判识火点所需设置的门槛值进行了分析和探索,找到了一种能快速、简便地设置ch21和ch21-ch31门槛值的方法,并通过实例证明该方法在林火监测中是可行的和有效的。     

Too hot to handle: Depoliticisation and the discourse of ecological modernisation in fire management debates

The management of fire within landscapes is a topic of increasing contestation. This is particularly the case in relation to the practice of ‘prescribed burning’, which aims to exercise a form of control of wild fires through the application of science-based techniques that putatively reconcile the conservation of biodiversity with the protection of human life and property in particular places. The belief in possibilities to solve environmental problems by scientific approaches and in outcomes that do not involve harm or vulnerabilities is an element of a trend called “Ecological Modernisation” (EM). Various studies have shown how discourses of EM have come to dominate the ways in which many contemporary environmental problems are approached. We argue that highlighting the presentation of such discourses as neutral and non-politicised precludes a critical examination of the ways in which the knowledge claims upon which they rest can be seen to reinforce only particular sets of constructions of the relationship between humans and the natural world. Through an analysis of knowledge claims made in relation to recurring topics such as the use of fire by Indigenous Australians and the adaptation of species to fire, we illustrate that behind the discourse of ecological modernisation sit deeply engrained variations in terms of where people locate vulnerability in relation to the pressing problem of wildfire and fire management. We argue that the depoliticisation of the topic sustains specific types of relationships between people and nature while delegitimising others and obscures the fundamentally different notions about relationships between humans and non-human nature upon which the debate ultimately pivots.