可变点约束叠前流体因子直接提取方法

以Gassmann流体因子(Gassmann Fluid Item,GFI)为目标,提出了一种流体因子直接提取的新方法.首先,以贝叶斯反演框架为基础,将似然函数、先验信息以及Gassmann流体因子近似方程相结合,得到初始的目标函数;其次,进一步在初始目标函数中加入可变数量的点约束信息,并得到最终的目标函数;最后,通过求解该目标函数,就直接提取出了Gassmann流体因子.该方法的主要特点是不需要初始模型的参与,而是通过一个约束模型来控制提取结果的稳定性和准确性,并且可以从约束模型中选定不同数量的约束点进行约束,称为可变点约束.给出并讨论了三种常用的不同点约束模式和原则,并用模型说明了它们不同的约束效果.模型验证和实际应用结果皆以表明,该方法即使在叠前数据信噪比很低的情况下也能较好地提取出Gassmann流体因子,流体因子提取结果客观性高、稳定性好,并且能够与已知的流体解释结果很好地匹配,益于进一步推广应用.     

基于因子分析和季节趋势滤波方法的地球物理因子识别以唐山台跨断层数据为例

利用因子分析可以有效地找出多个变量的公共因子, 找出隐含因素; 基于季节趋势滤波方法, 可以分析序列的周期成分和趋势变化特征, 结合区域地震特征, 确定序列的物理意义。 本文将这两种方法结合, 提出了完整的地球物理因子识别方法, 并将其应用于唐山地震台跨断层形变短基线序列, 获得了具有物理意义的三个公共因子, 即远场构造因子、 台站因子和近场构造因子。     

Impact analysis of government investment on water projects in the arid Gansu Province of China

In this paper, we introduced three-nested Constant Elasticity of Substitution (CES) production function into a static Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) Model. Through four levels of factor productivity, we constructed three nested production function of land use productivity in the conceptual modeling frameworks. The first level of factor productivity is generated by the basic value-added land. On the second level, factor productivity in each sector is generated by human activities that presents human intervention to the first level of factor productivity. On the third level of factor productivity, water allocation reshapes the non-linear structure of transaction among first and second levels. From the perspective of resource utilization, we examined the economic efficiency of water allocation. The scenario-based empirical analysis results show that the three-nested CES production function within CGE model is well-behaved to present the economy system of the case study area. Firstly, water scarcity harmed economic production. Government investment on water projects in Gansu thereby had impacts on economic outcomes. Secondly, huge governmental financing on water projects bring depreciation of present value of social welfare. Moreover, water use for environment adaptation pressures on water supply. The theoretical water price can be sharply increased due to the increasing costs of factor inputs. Thirdly, water use efficiency can be improved by water projects, typically can be benefited from the expansion of water-saving irrigation areas even in those expanding dry area in Gansu. Therefore, increasing governmental financing on water projects can depreciate present value of social welfare but benefit economic efficiency for future generation.     

Analyses of factors forming offshore SST anomaly(O-SSTA) in China seas

INTRoDUCTIONThestatusofChinaseasisverycomplicated.First,itisoftendisturbedbystrongsynopticsy8tems,suchastheadvanceandretreatofthesubtropichighs,theactivityofthetyphoonsandthecoldwavesetc;next,ithascomplexwater-systemswhicharecontrolledbyaplanetary-scalecurrentsyStemofKuroshio;inaddition,italsohasacomplicatedtopographyandwidecontinen-talshelves(about4OOkmwide).Underthesecircumstances,theSSTvariesObviouslythrough-outtheyear.OneoutstandingvariationistheoffshoreSSTanomaly,namely,crSSTA.…     

《地球学报》2005—2018年主要期刊评价指标变化趋势分析

期刊评价指标能定量评价期刊的相互影响和相互作用,正确评估期刊在科学交流体系中的作用和地位.本文基于2006—2019年版《中国科技期刊引证报告(核心版)》收录的统计数据,选取了《地球学报》期刊被引用计量指标(核心总被引频次、核心影响因子)、期刊来源计量指标(来源文献量、平均引文数、基金论文比)、学科分类内期刊计量指标(综合评价总分、学科扩散指数、学科影响指标),分析了其变化趋势,结论如下:核心总被引频次、平均引文数、学科扩散指数、学科影响指标显著提高;核心影响因子和综合评价总分波动式上升;来源文献量、基金论文比基本保持稳定.上述研究表明,《地球学报》学术质量和影响力不断提升,科学交流程度和吸收外部信息能力显著增强,这与其近年来实施的一系列影响力提升措施密切相关,如注重文章质量和原始创新性,树立精品意识;辟特色栏目,推优秀专辑;独特的封面设计理念及"封面故事";注重编辑与出版质量;关注出版行业和期刊发展动态等.     

R型因子分析和聚类分析在内蒙古伊山林场土壤地球化学测量中的应用

土壤地球化学测量分析元素众多,所成图件数量庞大,因此往往不易判断各元素之间的相关关系。笔者利用R型因子分析和聚类分析方法,对内蒙古伊山林场金矿普查区土壤样品进行分析,研究其元素间的共生组合关系。结果显示,R型因子分析和聚类分析二者对应性较好,有效地划分了元素共生组合类型。     

我国海洋型城市旅游竞争力评价及提升路径研究

随着海洋旅游时代的到来,我国迎来了海洋旅游发展的良好契机,海洋型旅游城市作为重要的旅游目的地类型之一,其旅游竞争力近年来受到各界关注。文章从海洋型旅游城市特征出发,建立海洋型城市旅游竞争力评价指标体系,进而将海洋型城市旅游竞争力分为旅游资源竞争力、旅游基础设施竞争力、旅游行业竞争力以及旅游环境支持竞争力四大部分。进一步基于因子分析法和聚类分析法对我国51个海洋旅游城市的旅游竞争力进行实证分析,得出城市旅游竞争力得分排名。最后根据分析结果,从旅游资源、旅游基础设施、旅游产业、旅游环境支撑、整体旅游等方面提出我国海洋型城市旅游竞争力的提升路径,为促进我国海洋型旅游城市整体竞争力的提升提出指导建议。     

流体动态及其分量与地震过程、宇宙物理和大气因素的关系

对阿拉木图预报试验场流体动态与地震活动水平关系问题进行了分析研究,查明1986~1997年时段是高地震活动期,流体动态和地震活动性之间具有最大相关系数特点,这就证明两者关系存在。同时也查明,流体动态时间过程与宇宙物理和大气因素有关系。     

Effects of afforestation on carbon storage in Boyang Lake Basin, China

By using field survey data from the sixth forest inventory of Jiangxi Province in 2003, the biomass and carbon storage for three studied species （Pinus massoniana, Cunninghamia lanceolata, and Pinus elliottii） were estimated in Taihe and Xingguo counties of Boyang Lake Basin, Jiangxi Province, China. The relationship between carbon density and forest age was analyzed by logistic equations. Spatio-temporal dynamics of forest biomass and carbon storage in 1985-2003 were also described. The results show that total stand area of the three forest species was 3.10 × 10^5 ha, total biomass 22.20 Tg, vegetation carbon storage 13.07 Tg C, and average carbon density 42.36 Mg C/ha in the study area in 2003. Carbon storage by forest type in descending order was： P. massoniana, C. lanceolata and P. elliottii. Carbon storage by forest age group in descending order was： middle stand, young stand, near-mature stand and mature stand. Carbon storage by plantation forests was 1.89 times higher than that by natural forests. Carbon density of the three species increased 8.58 Mg C/ha during the study period. The carbon density of Taihe County was higher in the east and west, and lower in the middle. The carbon density of Xingguo County was higher in the northeast and lower in the middle. In general, the carbon density increased with altitude and gradient. Afforestation projects contribute significantly to increasing stand area and carbon storage. Appropriate forest management may improve the carbon sequestration capacity of forest ecosystems.     

GIS与SPSS集成分析区域土地利用变化

利用遥感、专题地图及自然与社会经济统计等数据,在GIS技术的支持下,建立了吉林省镇赉县土地利用变化专题数据库;利用SPSS软件,对引起镇赉县土地利用变化的驱动力因子进行分析,建立因子分析模型,分析该区域土地利用变化的驱动因素;提出土地优化利用策略,为区域土地可持续利用及环境保护提供科学依据。