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111.
Abstract Hydrological data may be temporally autocorrelated requiring autoregressive process parameters to be estimated. Current statistical methods for hydrological change detection in paired watershed studies rely on prediction intervals, but the current form of prediction intervals does not include all appropriate sources of variation. Corrected prediction intervals for the analysis of paired watershed study data that include variation associated with covariance and linear model parameter estimation are presented. We provide an example of their application to data from the Hinkle Creek Paired Watershed Study located in the western Cascade foothills of Southern Oregon, USA. Research implications of using the correct prediction limits and incorporating the estimation uncertainty of autoregressive process parameters are discussed. Editor D. Koutsoyiannis Citation Som, N.A., Zégre, N.P., Ganio, L.M. and Skaugset, A.E., 2012. Corrected prediction intervals for change detection in paired watershed studies. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 57 (1), 134–143. 相似文献
112.
针对GPS快速定位中观测资料含有粗差且因观测信息不足造成设计阵“部分病态”的实际情况,对现有的抗差有偏估计进行改进,提出了一种新的抗差有偏估计——抗差部分岭估计,并讨论了抗差部分岭估计中“部分岭参数”的选择方法。计算结果显示,新估计与现有的抗差有偏估计相比,具有精度高、速度快、稳定性好的特点。 相似文献
113.
对于由 m个相依线性回归方程组成的线性回归系统 ,本文作者基于岭回归估计和预检验估计 ,提出了回归参数的一种新型估计 ,即预检验岭回归估计。并讨论了它的统计性质。 相似文献
114.
A new robust parameter estimator for the adjustment of correlated observations is developed based on a `bifactor reduction'
model of weight elements. A shrinking factor for weight elements is proposed. The new equivalent weight matrix composed by
the bifactor weight elements preserves the symmetry and keeps the original correlation coefficients unchanged. The new parameter
estimator with its error influence function is derived. The robustness and efficiency of the new robust estimator is demonstrated
with a simulated example and some conclusions are drawn.
Received: 5 March 2001 / Accepted: 17 January 2002 相似文献
115.
This paper examines the combined impacts of food price and income shocks on household food security and economic well-being in low-income rural communities. Using longitudinal survey data of 1800 rural households from 12 districts of Bangladesh over the period 2007–2009, we estimated a three-stage hierarchical logit model to identify the key sources of household food insecurity. The first-difference estimator was then employed to compare pre- and post-shock expenditure for those households that experienced acute food shortages and those that managed to avoid the worst impacts of the shocks. On the basis of our results we conclude that: (1) the soaring food prices of 2007–2009 unequivocally aggravated food insecurity in the rural areas of Bangladesh; (2) the subsequent income shocks of 2007–2009 contributed toward worsening food insecurity; (3) the adverse impacts of these shocks appeared to have faded over time due to labor and commodity market adjustments, regional economic growth, and domestic policy responses, leaving no profound impacts on households’ economic well-being in most cases; and (4) although the immediate adverse consequences of rising food prices were borne disproportionately by the poor, the longer term consequences were distributed more evenly across the rich and poor and were favorable for the day laborers. 相似文献
116.