海南岛三叠纪中基性岩的年代学、地球化学及其地质意义

辉长岩大多为地幔岩石部分熔融的产物,辉绿岩脉及碱性正长岩的形成通常与伸展构造有关,本文对海南岛万宁辉长岩及辉绿岩脉和分界洲正长岩进行了系统的年代学和岩石地球化学研究,并以此来讨论其构造意义。LA-ICP-MS锆石U-Pb定年结果表明,万宁辉长岩及辉绿岩脉形成约在240 Ma,分界洲正长岩形成约在231 Ma,主量元素特征表明万宁辉长岩和辉绿岩分别属碱性系列和亚碱性系列,分界洲正长岩属于典型的碱性岩浆岩。万宁辉长岩及辉绿岩脉的稀土元素具有轻稀土富集的特点(LREE/HREE=7.22～8.50和8.11～11.10),微量元素具有岛弧型火山岩的特征,富集大离子亲石元素K、Rb、Ba、Th,贫高场强元素Nb、Ta和Zr、Hf;分界洲正长岩的微量元素特征显示出与A型花岗岩类似的特征。海南岛三叠纪中基性岩如分界洲正长岩和万宁辉长岩及辉绿岩脉形成的构造背景为陆内伸展环境,指示海南岛在240～230 Ma处于印支造山运动的应力松弛阶段。     

安徽的地壳演化:Sr,Nd同位素证据

在地壳(幔)演化和板块构遣的框架内，评述了有关安徽南部(扬子地块东部，包括大别遣山带和江南遣山带)的同位素地质年代学和Nd，Sr同位素地球化学示踪研究的成果。该地区出露地表的中元古界溪口群浅变质岩代表皖南的基底，沿江地区和大别山区的基底包舍太古宇或／和古元古界古老岩石。此格局还影响到从震旦纪到古生代沉积岩的物源区，江南深断裂以北的沉积岩中有古老岩石的贡献，而以南的物源主要来自出露的中元古界岩石。扬子陆块南北缘(大别和江南遣山带)的晋宁期演化可能与罗迪尼亚超大陆演化有密切关系，但有关研究开展很少。三叠纪大陆深俯冲和超高压变质作用研究已成为国际地球科学的热点。晚中生代(120-140Ma)本区发生强烈的岩浆活动，并伴有重要矿床的形成。中酸性岩的形成是一种壳幔物质混合的过程。沿江地区陆下地幔具有富集特征，为扬子型岩石圈地幔与软流圈地幔混合的产物。从晚中生代到第四纪，基性岩指示其源区的地球化学性质有随时间变得越来越亏损的趋势。     

我国春玉米水分供需状况分析

论述了作物需水量的概念及其计算方法，利用最新的气候和作物资料，计算了我国春玉米的作物需水量，分析其时空分布特征，并利用水发订正系来评价春玉米需水量的满足程度。计算分析结果表明，气候条件对我国在玉米生产是有利的，但在播种期、出苗期及拔节期（4－6月份），存在明显的水亏缺现象，这一时期应采取相应的栽培技术及节水灌溉、人工增雨等措施来缓解旱情。     

基于BP神经网络的GPS导航算法

GPS导航解算中常用最小二乘算法。随着高动态用户需求精度的不断提高，且由于线性化忽略高次项，初始值精度低以及差分后剩余或放大误差的存在。导航解精度很难满足高动态用户的需求。为此，本文基于BP神经网络的非线性逼近性能。给出了基于BP神经网络的GPS导航算法。实测数据计算结果表明该算法能够真实地反映载体运动轨迹，其导航解的精度和可靠性有明显的提高。     

兰州不同时期黄土有机质碳同位素与气候的关系

基于兰州九州台黄土剖面的土壤有机质δ13C分析,讨论了兰州地区末次间冰期和全新世2个时期气候以及地表植被的变化特征.结果表明,该地区末次间冰期δ13C变化范围为-29.97‰～-25.52‰,平均值为-27.79‰;全新世δ13C变化范围在-20.82～-34.40‰之间,平均值为-28.99‰.从δ13C平均值来看,该地区在以上两个时期地表植被主要为C3植物.末次间冰期九州台剖面δ13C表现出3峰夹2谷的特征与同一时期深海SPECMAP曲线有着良好的对应,表明了该时期兰州地区的气候变化与全球是一致的,全新世土壤有机质δ13C所反映出的3个不同的变化阶段对应于早、中、晚全新世阶段.结合黄土高原其他剖面相应时期的土壤有机质δ13C的研究结果,我们观察到陕西关中地区的黄土剖面末次间冰期和全新世土壤有机质δ13C要大于黄土高原西部的兰州等地区,气候差异引起的地表植被中C3、C4植物比例不同是造成两地区土壤有机质δ13C差异的主要因素.研究结果表明,黄土高原土壤有机质δ13C是揭示该地区气候变化的一个良好代用指标.     

基于共生理论的中国沿海省市海洋经济生态协调模式研究

建立海洋生态与海洋经济的共生演化Logistic模型,通过压力-状态-影响-响应（PSIR）模型对Logistic模型中的基本指数进行求解,进一步计算海洋生态与海洋经济之间的共生系数,结果表明：天津和上海两市发展模式已摆脱资源索取模式,其海洋经济生态共生模式的探讨意义较小;其余沿海九省中,河北、江苏、广西和海南4省处于反向共生水平,辽宁和山东两省呈现并生模式,浙江和广东呈现出生态受益的偏利共生模式,福建则呈现出经济受害的偏利共生模式。根据沿海各省市海洋经济生态共生模式,提出相关的政策建议,以期对沿海省市今后的经济和生态发展模式提供理论依据。     

Temporal and Spatial Dynamics Analysis of Grassland Ecosystem Pressure in Kazakhstan

Affected by climate change and policy factors, Kazakhstan is the country with the most severe ecological degradation and grassland conflicts in Central Asia. Therefore, studying the state of grassland carrying resources in Kazakhstan is particularly important for understanding the responses of grassland ecosystems to climate change and human activities. Based on Kazakhstan's remote sensing data and animal husbandry statistics, this study analyzes the patterns of changes in grassland ecosystems in Kazakhstan based on the supply and consumption of these ecosystems. The results show that: 1) From 2003 to 2017, the number of livestock raised in Kazakhstan showed a trend of sustained and steady growth. Due to freezing damage, the scale of livestock farming decreased in 2011, but a spatial difference in the livestock farming structure was not obvious. 2) The fluctuation of grassland supply in Kazakhstan has increased, while the consumption due to animal husbandry has also continued to increase, resulting in an increasing pressure on the grassland carrying capacity. 3) Between 2003 and 2017, the overall grassland carrying status of Kazakhstan have been abundant, but the grassland carrying pressure index has shown a steadily increasing trend, the grassland carrying pressure is growing, and it is mainly determined by grassland productivity. The greater pressure in lower Kyzylorda state, the southern Kazakhstan state of the cultivated land and the northern Kazakhstan state has gradually expanded to include the agro-pastoral zone and the semi-desert zone.     

基于LWPC和IRI模型的NWC台站信号传播幅度建模分析

频率为3~30 kHz的甚低频（VLF,Very Low Frequency）电磁波具有波长长、传播距离远的特点,能够沿地面-低电离层波导进行传播,在通信、导航等许多领域都被广泛应用.基于波导模理论的长波传播模型（LWPC,Long-Wavelength Propagation Capability）能够用于计算甚低频波的传播路径及幅度,进而研究耀斑、磁暴、地震等事件对电离层的扰动.本文利用国际电离层参考模型（IRI,International Reference Ionosphere）对LWPC中电子密度和碰撞频率进行改进,并将模拟结果与武汉大学VLF接收机实际观测到的NWC（North West Cape）台站信号幅度进行比较分析,结果表明改进后LWPC模型得到的幅度及变化趋势与实际值更加接近.LWPC模型给出的电子密度与IRI模型得到的电子密度在日间基本一致,但是在夜间存在差异,造成夜间部分区域NWC台站信号幅度的差异性,验证了电离层电子密度对于VLF信号传播具有的重要影响.传播路径上的晨昏变化也可以引起VLF信号幅度分布的突变,在日出和日落时间段内存在明显的过渡区域.基于IRI模型的LWPC,改善了VLF电波传播过程的预测分析效果,提供了一种长波导航通信质量的评估方法.

     

Mean and eddy motion in the Skagerrak/northern North Sea: insight from a numerical model

Insight regarding the mean and eddy motion in the Skagerrak/northern North Sea area is gained through an analysis of model-simulated currents, hydrography, kinetic energy and relative vorticity for the 2 years 2000 and 2001. In this a -coordinate ocean model is used. Since the tidal currents are generally strong in the area, care is exercised to distinguish the mesoscale (eddy) motion from higher-frequency motion such as tides, before computing the mean and eddy kinetic energy. The model-simulated response is first compared with available knowledge of the circulation in the area, and when available, also with sea-surface temperature obtained from satellite imagery. It is concluded that the model appears to faithfully reproduce most of what is known, in particularly the upper mixed layer circulation. An analysis of the mean and eddy kinetic energy reveals that many of the mesoscale structures found in the area are recurrent. This is particularly true for the structures off the southern tip of Norway. Also in general, areas of strong mean and eddy kinetic energy are co-located. The exception is the area off the southern tip of Norway, where the eddy kinetic energy is much larger than its mean counterpart. An analysis of the relative vorticity reveals that the variability found is due to the occurrence of recurrent anticyclonic eddies. It is hypothesized that these eddies are generated due to an offshore veering of the Norwegian coastal current (NCC) as it reaches the eastern end of the Norwegian Trench plateau. Here it becomes a free jet, which is then vulnerable to either barotropic instability caused by the horizontal shear in the jet-like structure of the NCC at this point, or a baroclinic (frontal) instability. The latter may come into play when the NCC veers offshore and its relatively fresh water meets the inflowing saline water of Atlantic origin, a frontogenesis that may become strong enough for cyclogenesis to take place. Due to the depth-independent nature of the model-generated eddies, the barotropic instability is the most likely candidate. It remains to resolve the reason for the offshore veering of the NCC. The most likely candidate mechanisms are vortex squeezing or simply that the coastline curvature is large enough for the NCC to separate from the coast in a hydraulic sense.Responsible Editor: Phil Dyke     

Google Earth Engine平台下秦岭地区植被覆盖时空变化分析

秦岭地区植被覆盖动态变化对其生态环境有重要影响。本文利用Google Earth Engine云平台,选取1986—2019年Landsat TM/OLI地表反射率数据,结合像元二分模型估算秦岭地区植被覆盖度(FVC);通过年际变化斜率、变异系数、Hurst指数等评价指标,对FVC的时空变化、稳定性和持续性变化进行分析。此外,探究FVC与气温、降雨的耦合关系,并分析土地利用变化对FVC的影响。结果表明:34年间,秦岭地区FVC整体上呈现良好的状况,中高等及以上植被覆盖区达73.11%;FVC由1986年的62.86%增长到2019年的70.01%,植被活动在不断增强;FVC的变异系数均值为0.34,标准差为0.45,其稳定性与其空间分布呈高度自相关性;秦岭地区的植被覆盖变化受气候变化和人为因素的共同影响。