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51.
Flood seasonality and generating conditions in the Tay catchment, Scotland from 1200 to present 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Lindsey J McEwen 《Area》2006,38(1):47-64
The new maximum recorded river flows in Scotland since 1988 have triggered widespread interest in whether floods are becoming more frequent and in the conditions that generate floods of different magnitudes and frequencies. There are questions about the longer-term variability in flood-generating characteristics, and whether there are past analogues for present hydroclimatic variability. The present paper builds on previous work reconstructing a detailed historic flood chronology for the Tay, the largest catchment in Scotland, and its tributaries over the past 800 years, extending the gauged discharge record (1952 onwards). It categorizes flood-generating factors in the Tay catchment and analyses the hydro-meteorological conditions that have generated extreme and moderate floods over a historical period. This work is placed in a broader literature context of historical 'climaxes of storminess', periods of higher storm frequency, flood patterns observed in Scotland and Europe during the Little Ice Age and longer-term rainfall and temperature patterns. The paper concludes that the variability in flood-generating characteristics is highly dependent on the timescale of observation. Inevitably the relative dominance of winter and early spring flooding can vary from year to year and within specific time-periods, but so can the level of augmentation of the flood series with summer and autumn floods to produce notable 'flood years' and flood clusters. The Tay provides a good 'all-Scotland surrogate' for historical flood patterns, reflecting its gathering areas in eastern and western Scotland. The value of a historical approach to the assessment of flood seasonality and generating characteristics is clearly demonstrated. 相似文献
52.
GIS-based flood hazard mapping at different administrative scales: A case study in Gangetic West Bengal, India 总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4
This paper addresses the need for an efficient and cost-effective methodology for preparing flood hazard maps in data poor countries, particularly those under a monsoon regime where floods pose a recurrent danger. Taking Gangetic West Bengal, India, as an example and using available historical data from government agencies, the study compiled a regional map indicating hazard prone subregional areas for further detailed investigation, thereby isolating actual high risk localities. Using a GIS (Geographical Information System), a composite hazard index was devised incorporating variables of flood frequency, population density, transportation networks, access to potable water, and availability of high ground and maximum risk zones were mapped accordingly. A digital elevation model derived from high resolution imagery available in the public domain was used to calculate elevated areas suitable for temporary shelter during a flood. Selecting administrative units of analysis at the lowest possible scales – rural development blocks (regional) and revenue villages (subregional) – also ensures that hazard mapping is prepared in line with the existing rural planning and administrative authorities responsible for remedial intervention. 相似文献
53.
54.
Midstream of the Keelung River Basin in Northern Taiwan has become highly urbanized and densely populated area. Flood inundation
along riversides frequently occurred during typhoons or rainstorms. Three protection measures, including constructions of
high-level protection levees, a diversion channel, and a detention reservoir, were proposed for flood mitigation. The main
purpose of this study is to evaluate the flood mitigation performance of the three proposed structural measures by using combined
hydrologic analyses and hydraulic routings. A semi-distributed parallel-type linear reservoirs rainfall-runoff model was used
for estimating the surface runoff. Furthermore, a 1-D dynamic channel routing model was coupled with a two-dimensional inundation
model to simulate the hydraulic characteristics of river flooding and overland flow. Simulation results of flood stages, runoff
peak discharges, and inundation extent under design rainfall scenarios were chosen as the criteria for evaluation. The results
showed a diversion channel is superior to the other two measures for flood mitigation of the study area. After the process
of environmental impact assessment, a revised diversion channel approach has been approved for construction as the major structural
measure. 相似文献
55.
Ahmad Shlash Alawneh Osama K. Nusier Ahmed Abdul-Ezel Al-Mufty 《Geotechnical and Geological Engineering》2006,24(3):637-660
A reliability based method was used to design and analyse shallow foundations using first-order Taylor series approximation.
The computer program Mathcad was used to facilitate all mathematical and computional efforts. This method is an effective
tool to assist the foundation designers and analyists to investigate how reliable their designs or analyses are in relation
to the ultimate bearing capacity of the foundations. The approach presented in this paper provides a reliable alternative
for design and analysis of shallow foundations, rather than the conventional design methods, which employs the assumptions
of a specified saftey factor. Several examples were presented for design and analysis of strip footings embedded in sandy
soil, and rectangular and square footings analysis embedded in clayey soils. The program input and output of each example
are also presented and discussed. 相似文献
56.
华北平原东部淡水资源短缺,旱涝碱成灾害限制了农业生产的可持续发展。海河的治理,解决了排洪排涝排咸出路。春季开发利用地下水包括微咸水和半咸水抗旱灌溉。夏季利用伏雨洗盐排咸,增大降雨入渗,减少径流流失,防治渍涝灾害,把降雨转化为地下水资源。秋冬引蓄河水,回灌地下水补源。以土壤与潜水的地层空间作为调节大气降水、土壤水、地下水、地表水的地下水库,以调控地下水埋深在临界动态为指标,最大限度地把时空分布不均的天然降雨转化为可持续利用的水资源。地表水地下水联合运用,促使水资源采补平衡,降雨灌溉淋洗脱盐强于干旱蒸发积盐过程,地下水淡化强于矿化过程。实现旱涝碱咸综合治理,水土资源可持续利用,经济社会可持续发展,生态环境良性循环。 相似文献
57.
58.
卫星遥感探讨杭州湾跨湖桥古文化消失原因 总被引:2,自引:2,他引:2
8000 a前产生于杭州湾南部的跨湖桥史前灿烂文化,在辉煌了1000多a后,却神秘地消失了。针对这种消失,考古界还没有发
现确凿的原因。本文从卫星遥感角度,分析跨湖桥所处的地理、地貌特征,提出了钱塘江天文大潮冲毁跨湖桥文化的假说,希望这种
观点能够对跨湖桥这个难以用常规考古方法解决的史前文化消失问题提供一种有益的研究方法和思路。 相似文献
59.
Investigating the propagation mechanism of unmodelled systematic errors on coordinate time series estimated using least squares 总被引:6,自引:8,他引:6
The propagation of unmodelled systematic errors into coordinate time series computed using least squares is investigated,
to improve the understanding of unexplained signals and apparent noise in geodetic (especially GPS) coordinate time series.
Such coordinate time series are invariably based on a functional model linearised using only zero and first-order terms of
a (Taylor) series expansion about the approximate coordinates of the unknown point. The effect of such truncation errors is
investigated through the derivation of a generalised systematic error model for the simple case of range observations from
a single known reference point to a point which is assumed to be at rest by the least squares model but is in fact in motion.
The systematic error function for a one pseudo-satellite two-dimensional case, designed to be as simple but as analogous to
GPS positioning as possible, is quantified. It is shown that the combination of a moving reference point and unmodelled periodic
displacement at the unknown point of interest, due to ocean tide loading, for example, results in an output coordinate time
series containing many periodic terms when only zero and first-order expansion terms are used in the linearisation of the
functional model. The amplitude, phase and period of these terms is dependent on the input amplitude, the locations of the
unknown point and reference point, and the period of the reference point's motion. The dominant output signals that arise
due to truncation errors match those found in coordinate time series obtained from both simulated data and real three-dimensional
GPS data. 相似文献
60.
刘皑国 《沙漠与绿洲气象(新疆气象)》2005,28(2):13-15
2002年8月12日,叶尔羌河再次发生因高原冰川阻塞形成的洪水。本文对叶尔羌河历次高原冰川阻塞性洪水的成因以及与气象的关系做了较详尽的分析,并提出了从气象角度预报该类型洪水的方法和利用卫星遥感技术对冰川阻塞湖进行监测的建议,期望对叶尔羌河今后的防洪工作有一些指导意义。 相似文献