日本MW9.0地震前GRACE卫星重力变化

利用GRACE重力卫星月重力场数据,通过去相关与高斯滤波等方法获取日本大地震震前震源区周缘年度、季度和年度差分重力变化,以及若干点位时间序列重力变化。分析结果表明：日本大地震前5年内在震源区周边出现了比较明显的卫星重力异常正负交替和迁移现象,至震前1～2年,震区周边形成了明显正负异常区,正重力异常区重力增加现象明显。点位重力时间序列分布指出日本MW9.0级地震前存在与1976年唐山地震类似的重力变化现象。反映出日本大地震震前震源区周边地下物质运动、质量迁移和能量积累等问题。     

喷混凝土边坡温度场与应力场耦合的有限元时效分析

由于混凝土材料与岩土材料的热传导系数、比热容与热膨胀系数的差异,在温度的循环变化下使得喷射混凝土边坡容易于喷层与岩土层的结合面处产生应力集中而开裂。采用有限元的方法,考虑地应力与温度应力的耦合作用,分析了在一定的边界温度作用下不同时刻边坡喷层面的水平位移,以及喷层与岩层结合面处的剪应力的分布规律;指出在温度应力与地应力的共同作用下,喷混凝土边坡坡顶与坡脚均为容易发生破坏的地方,通常坡顶的破坏型式为拉张破坏而坡脚则为剪切破坏;边坡内的温度分布、边坡表面的位移与应力的变化均存在一定的时间效应,这一规律与实测规律比较吻合。分析结果表明,当温度变化剧烈时边坡的防护必须考虑温度应力的影响。     

叠前时间偏移在华北地区的应用

从应用的角度较详细地论述了三维叠前克希霍夫时间偏移的过程。在给定合理的偏移孔径下,三维叠前克希霍夫时间偏移利用均方根速度对叠前地震数据进行逐道处理,从而得到准确的归位数据。叠前时间偏移相对叠后时间偏移而言,前者能够进一步提高地下信息的成像质量及归位准确性,信噪比和分辨率也得到了改善,能够满足精细的地震资料的解释。因此,三维叠前克希霍夫时间偏移对于速度变化平缓、地下构造较复杂的地区具有广泛的应用价值。     

基于随机集合的非传统型有效波极值模型

The analysis and design of offshore structures necessitates the consideration of wave loads. Realistic modeling of wave loads is particularly important to ensure reliable performance of these structures. Among the available methods for the modeling of the extreme significant wave height on a statistical basis, the peak over threshold method has attracted most attention. This method employs Poisson process to character- ize time-varying properties in the parameters of an extreme value distribution. In this paper, the peak over threshold method is reviewed and extended to account for subjectivity in the modeling. The freedom in selecting the threshold and the time span to separate extremes from the original time series data is incorpo- rated as imprecision in the model. This leads to an extension from random variables to random sets in the probabilistic model for the extreme significant wave height. The extended model is also applied to different periods of the sampled data to evaluate the significance of the climatic conditions on the uncertainties of the parameters.     

日照迹线的时间核审及日中线的定位法

在审核日照记录时,有时怀疑记录编大,对实际的日出、日落时间有矛盾会出现争论。解决这个矛盾,我们首先不要混淆北京时,地方平均太阳时和真太阳时(视时)三种时间。它们之间的关系是: 地办平均太阳=北京时 经段时差 经度时差:测站每8时区中央经线为     

自然电位场的振动激励效应

Vibrator excitation generates not only reflections and refractions of wave fields on the subsurface interfaces but also electromagnetic waves with different frequencies. In this paper, we address the vibration-induced effects on the spontaneous potential field. The effects of controllable vibration on the spontaneous potential field were studied under real field geologic conditions. Experimental data confirmed that the vibration-induced effects on the spontaneous potential field do exist under field conditions. Monitoring records over a long time interval showed that there exist three information zones in the vibration-induced effects on the spontaneous potential field. These are the signal-varying zone, the extremestable zone, and the relaxation-recovery zone. Combined with different well-site data, it was concluded that the time-varying features of the anomalies in the information zones was closely related to the properties of the subsurface liquid （oil and water）.     

Vondrak滤波方法在软件接收机卫星双向时间传递中的应用

基于软件接收机的卫星双向时间传递(Two-Way Satellite Time and Frequency Transfer based on Software Defined Receiver, SDR-TWSTFT)链路每秒采集测量数据后通过数学模型将原始数据拟合为300 s一组的观测文件,因此链路的时间传递结果受短期测量噪声和非模型误差的影响,呈现出一定的随机噪声的特征.提出了一种频域幅值分析方法,针对性地确定滤波因子,构造符合需求的低通Vondrak滤波器.通过对中国科学院国家授时中心(National Time Service Center, NTSC)和德国联邦物理技术研究所(Physikalisch-Technische Bundesanstalt, PTB)之间的SDR-TWSTFT链路测量数据的分析发现,该方法对过滤链路平均时间一天内的高频噪声有效,能够提高链路时间传递结果的可信度,同时滤波后链路的短期频率、时间稳定度也有了显著提高.     

GPS时间测量值

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Modeling of spatial distributions of farmland density and its temporal change using geographically weighted regression model

This study used spatial autoregression（SAR） model and geographically weighted regression（GWR） model to model the spatial patterns of farmland density and its temporal change in Gucheng County,Hubei Province,China in 1999 and 2009,and discussed the difference between global and local spatial autocorrelations in terms of spatial heterogeneity and non-stationarity. Results showed that strong spatial positive correlations existed in the spatial distributions of farmland density,its temporal change and the driving factors,and the coefficients of spatial autocorrelations decreased as the spatial lag distance increased. SAR models revealed the global spatial relations between dependent and independent variables,while the GWR model showed the spatially varying fitting degree and local weighting coefficients of driving factors and farmland indices（i.e.,farmland density and temporal change）. The GWR model has smooth process when constructing the farmland spatial model. The coefficients of GWR model can show the accurate influence degrees of different driving factors on the farmland at different geographical locations. The performance indices of GWR model showed that GWR model produced more accurate simulation results than other models at different times,and the improvement precision of GWR model was obvious. The global and local farmland models used in this study showed different characteristics in the spatial distributions of farmland indices at different scales,which may provide the theoretical basis for farmland protection from the influence of different driving factors.     

河西走廊近50年来地表水资源时间序列的小波分析

小波分析（wavelet Analysis）是时间-频率分析领域近年来迅速发展的一种新技术,具有多时间尺度、多层次和多分辨的特性。应用小波分析原理对甘肃河西走廊近50a来的径流、降水、气温等影响地表水资源时间序列的因素进行了分析,结果表明,水资源具有多尺度振荡的特点,具有2～4a,5～9a,12～15a,以及20a左右的周期变化。径流与降水和气温具有同步的时间序列,但是它们的主要周期尺度不同。小波分析的应用对河西走廊水资源趋势和预测研究提供了一个新的方法和思路。