焦作市用电负荷气象指数预报方法

根据用电负荷与气象要素关系,选取了预报因子,建立了焦作市用电负荷气象指数预报方法,2003年以来预报准确率达到83.2%.     

Dynamic and Numerical Study of Waves in the Tibetan Plateau Vortex简

In terms of its dynamics, The Tibetan Plateau Vortex （TPV） is assumed to be a vortex in the botmdary layer forced by diabatic heating and friction. In order to analyze the basic characteristics of waves in the vortex, the governing equations for the vortex were established in column coordinates with the balance of gradient wind. Based on this, the type of mixed waves and their dispersion characteristics were deduced by solving the linear model. Two numerical simulations with triple-nested domains--one idealized large-eddy simulation and one of a TPV that took place on 14 August 2006---were also carried out. The aim of the simulations was to validate the mixed wave deduced from the governing equations. The high-resolution model output data were analyzed and the results showed that the tangential flow field of the TPV in the form of center heating was cyclonic and convergent in the lower levels and anticyclonic and divergent in the upper levels. The simulations also showed that the vorticity of the vortex is uneven and might have shear flow along the radial direction. The changing vorticity causes the formation and spreading of vortex Rossby （VR） waves, and divergence will cause changes to the n~otion of the excitation and evolution of inertial gravity （IG） waves. Therefore, the vortex may contain what we call mixed ：inertial gravity-vortex Rossby （IG-VR） waves. It is suggested that some strongly developed TPVs should be studied in the future, because of their effects on weather in downstream areas.     

曲线坐标系因式分解程函方程及其走时计算

地震波走时广泛应用于静校正、层析成像、Kirchhoff偏移成像、地震定位等研究.复杂地表条件是影响走时计算精度的重要因素.近年来,发展的曲线坐标系程函方程为精细刻画起伏地表条件下的地震波走时场特征提供了新的思路.然而,基于有限差分程函方程的求解方法不可避免地受到震源奇异性的影响,即震源附近波前的曲率较大,此时使用平面波近似假设的差分格式会导致较大误差.而震源误差会随着波前的传播到达整个计算区域,从而影响整个区域的求解精度.针对该问题,本文借鉴因式分解的思想,推导建立了曲线坐标系因式分解程函方程,并针对性地发展了其数值求解方法,从根源上解决了复杂模型走时计算中的震源奇异性问题.数值实例表明因式分解法能够有效降低震源误差,显著提高起伏地表走时计算的精度和效率,为起伏地表地震波走时计算提供更佳的选择,在复杂模型的地震资料处理中展现出广泛的应用前景.

     

集成波能转换功能的方箱—挡浪板式浮式防波堤水动力特性研究

浮式防波堤与振荡浮子式波浪能转换装置集成是一种较为合理的波浪能开发利用方式,基于方箱式浮式防波堤—波浪能转换集成系统和幕帘式防波堤的研究成果,提出了一种新型方箱—垂直挡浪板式浮式防波堤—波浪能转换集成系统,建立数学模型对该集成系统的水动力特性和能量输出特性进行研究。模型基于N-S方程,采用紧致插值曲线(CIP)方法结合浸没边界法(IBM)求解。运用数值模型探究在一定波浪条件下,动力输出系统(PTO)阻尼力的大小以及挡浪板对集成系统的水动力特性和能量转换特性的影响,得到如下结论:集成系统的俘获宽度比随PTO阻尼力的增大呈现先增大后减小的趋势,在阻尼力F_(PTO)=150 N时达到最大;相对于方箱型集成系统,增设0.1 m挡浪板后可使其最大俘获宽度比η_e提高33%左右;此外,集成系统的俘获宽度比随挡浪板长度增加而增大,增长趋势逐渐变缓,在挡浪板长度S_p=0.5 m时达到最大,此时俘获宽度比η_e=0.563 1。     

近源地震动峰值加速度衰减关系影响因素分析

本文收集了丰富的强震资料, 以峰值加速度为例, 采用简单且体现近场峰值加速度PGA震级饱和和距离饱和特性的衰减模型, 研究了表征震级与距离饱和效应的R0(M)的性质。R0与震级相关, 同时与震源性质、地震波频谱有关。在单个地震的R0(M)的求取中, 由于R0与系数d几乎呈线性关系, 所以要求单个地震R0的值, 必须先根据理论约束确定d的大小。在检验衰减方程的预测效果时, 不仅要判断衰减曲线是否反映了实测资料的平均变化趋势, 而且要判断实测资料是否绝大多数落在84%及16%概率水平的预测曲线之内(之间).     

2002年7月15日华北地区酷热事件的诊断分析

为开展对高温酷热天气事件的研究 ,根据 2 0 0 2年 7月 15日我国华北大部分地区出现地面气温 >40℃的酷热天气 ,利用已有的各种观测资料 ,对酷热事件发生前和发生时的地面和高空天气形势进行了分析 ,并详细讨论了各物理量的时空分布情况。热力学方程各项因子的诊断分析表明 ,此次“酷热”事件是由于温度平流、温度垂直输送和非绝热加热 3个因子共同作用的结果。     

潮流场数学方程交错分区并行计算方法研究

文章对潮流场数学方程进行可并行性方法研究。分析了两种可并行实现的方法，并对两种可并行化的方法可行性进行分析。最后采用虚拟区域分解法对问题进行了实现，并利用串行计算的结果对并行计算的结果进行了验证。     

The characteristics of sea fog with different airflow over the Huanghai Sea in boreal spring

Using the observations from ICOADS datasets and contemporaneous NCEP/NCAR reanalysis datasets during 1960-2002, the study classifies the airflows in favor of sea fog over the Huanghai (Yellow) Sea in boreal spring (April-May) with the method of trajectory analysis, and analyzes the changes of proportions of warm and cold sea fogs along different paths of airflow. According to the heat balance equation, we investigate the relationships between the marine meteorological conditions and the proportion of warm and cold sea fog along different airflow paths. The major results are summarized as follows. (1) Sea fogs over the Huanghai Sea in spring are not only warm fog but also cold fog. The proportion of warm fog only accounts for 44% in April, while increases as high as 57% in May. (2) Four primary airflow paths leading to spring sea fog are identified. They are originated from the northwest, east, southeast and southwest of the Huanghai Sea, respectively. The occurrence ratios of the warm sea fog along the east and southeast airflow paths are high of 55% and 70%, while these along the southwest and northwest airflow paths are merely 17.9% and 50%. (3) The key physical processes governing the warm/cold sea fog are heat advection transport, longwave radiation cooling at fog top, solar shortwave warming and latent heat flux between airsea interfaces. (4) The characteristics of sea fog along the four airflow paths relate closely to the conditions of water vapor advection, and the vertical distribution of relative humidity.     

基于热质理论的Hamilton原理

基于热质理论,类比经典力学,给出了热质运动遵循的Hamilton原理以及相应的导热Lagrange方程.由于考虑了热质动能,热质运动的Hamilton原理有望应用于非Fourier效应的讨论,在忽略热质动能时,回归到Fourier热学.应用Lagrange方程对含内热源一维瞬态导热问题进行了近似求解,计算结果与解析解符合较好.从分析力学的角度对传热理论以及热学与力学的统一做了新的阐释,指出了现有文献中采用分析力学方法讨论导热问题时存在的某些不足,为导热问题的近似求解提供了新的思路,同时也说明了热质和热质能