Climate Change driven evolution of hazards to Europe’s transport infrastructure throughout the twenty-first century

Air circulation due to the urban heat island (UHI) effect can influence the dispersion of air pollutants in a metropolis. This study focusses on the influence of the UHI effect on particulate matter (PM; including PM_2.5 and PM_2.5–10) between May and September 2010–2012 in the Taipei basin. Meteorological and PM data were obtained from the sites, owned by the governmental authorities. The analysis was carried out using t test, relative indices (RIs), Pearson product–moment correlation and stepwise regression. The results show that the RI values for PM were the highest at moderate UHI intensity (MUI; 2 °C ≤ UHI < 4 °C) rather than at strong UHI intensity (SUI; 4 °C ≤ UHI) during the peak time for anthropogenic emissions (20:00 LST). Neither the accumulation of PM nor the surface convergence occurred in the hot centre, as shown by the case study. At MUI, more than 89 % of the synoptic weather patterns showed that the weather was clear and hot or that the atmosphere was stable. The variation in PM was associated with horizontal and vertical air dispersion. Poor horizontal air dispersion, with subsidence, caused an increase in PM at MUI. However, the updraft motion diluted the PM at SUI. The stepwise regression models show that the cloud index and surface air pressure determined the variation in PM_2.5–10, while cloud index, wind speed and mixing height influenced the variation in PM_2.5. In conclusion, a direct relationship between UHI effect and PM was not obvious.     

Lead isotope signatures of epithermal and porphyry-type ore deposits from the Romanian Carpathian Mountains

Lead isotope analyses have been performed on the two major Miocene mining districts of Romania, Baia Mare and Apuseni Mountains. These two districts have different non-overlapping ²⁰⁶Pb/²⁰⁴Pb isotopic signatures ranging from 18.752 to 18.876 and 18.497 to 18.740. In the Baia Mare district, epithermal deposits are overall homogeneous in their lead isotopic compositions and have values similar to the average of the calc-alkaline volcanic rocks. These results suggest a magmatic signature for the Pb (and possibly other metals) in the hydrothermal fluids. However, magmas in this district show isotopic evidence of crustal assimilation. In the southern Apuseni Mountains, the lead isotope compositions of sulfide minerals in porphyry copper deposits are clustered, confirming that Pb, and probably other metals, were derived principally from associated porphyry stocks. On the other hand, lead isotope data on sulfides in epithermal ore deposits are much more scattered, indicating a notable contribution of Pb from local country rocks. In the Apuseni Mountains, 'fertile' volcanics are few and appear to come from a more primitive mantle-derived source. Most of the analysed volcanic rocks seem 'barren'. Differences in lead isotopic compositions between the Baia Mare district and the Apuseni Mountains are due to a different basement, and probably to variations in crustal assimilation superimposed on variations in the mantle source composition. In the Apuseni Mountains, Pb may be partly inherited from the previous Mesozoic magmatic-hydrothermal stage. From a geodynamic point of view, it seems that the nature and the source of volcanic rocks and their position related to the collision area of the Carpathian arc are not the only factors controlling the 'fertility' of a volcanic district.     

中国强震发生带地震构造的几点思考

强震发生带是指全新世（约1．2万年）以来发生过和将来还会发生M≥6级地震的地带。中国强震发生带的动力源主要来自印度板块向NNE的顶撞作用,而太平洋板块向西俯冲则次之。板块、断块及锒嵌其间的缝合线、深大断裂带,组成了窗棂结构,受力时“窗棂”（缝合线、深大断裂）发生错动,而“窗”（板块、断块）的内部则相对稳定。第四纪以来,以我国西南鲜水河－小江断裂带为例,在Q1、Q2时期因断裂带作左旋扭动,在拉张区形成许多断陷盆地;到Q3由于地应力方向改变,运动加剧,使不同方向断裂互相贯通,活动延续至今,称之为活动断裂带。强震多发生在活动断裂的特殊部位,震中区地面强烈变形,表现为毗邻地段猛烈升降、地堑地垒系断头河等。由古地震研究得知Q4以来强震常在原地多次重复,且震级相近。由台湾1999年集集地震和云南1955年鱼Zha地震的加速度等值线和等烈度线图形对比,建筑物破坏程度和昔格达层变形对照,得出强震构造变形机理乃系“夹心饼干”似的三层结构所致,三层即是断层的二盘和其所夹持的断层破碎带,后者是地应国聚集和释放的场所,是地震波的良好通道。     

Advantages of longer–term tracing -- three case studies from Slovenia

A variety of human activities can negatively impact on sensitive karst environments, especially on karst water. To protect such water adequately it is necessary to obtain as much information as possible on the extent of the recharge zones and characteristics of the groundwater flow. The authors experience has shown tracer tests to be a very useful tool in acquiring such information. Three examples from Slovenia are presented in this paper. In the first, an estimate was made of the danger of water contamination resulting from a petrochemical storage depot. In the second, the possible impacts of an area used for military training were studied. In the third, the effects of the construction of a railway line on regionally important water resources were assessed. Besides basic information about the direction and velocity of groundwater flow, some methodological principles were also identified by the studies. In all three test areas sampling was carried out for a lengthy period and continued after the detection of the peak concentrations. The results show that only the use of such lengthy tracer tests enable the definition of those flow paths, which are activated in extreme hydrological conditions.     

龙羊峡水库入库径流变化特征及趋势预测

根据龙羊峡水库入库径流代表站－唐乃亥水文站年及汛期径流量观测资料,分析了入库径流的变化特征,并利用灰色系统中的残差序列周期修正ＧＭ（１,１）模型,对其近期及未来的变化趋势进行了预测。