淮河流域水资源与水环境问题及对策研究

淮河流域是我国重要的粮食产区和工业基地.随着流域内经济社会的快速发展,水资源短缺和污染等问题所造成的影响日益严重.为实现淮河流域水资源的可持续利用,应完善水利工程设施,开发中水和雨水等新的水源;工农业生产采用节水技术;加强水环境保护,防止水质污染;综合规划水资源,构建水资源可持续利用体系.     

北京市社会公众防震减灾科普认知、需求调查研究

为全面系统地评价防震减灾科普效果、准确分析公众的防震减灾科普需求,在2010年上半年开展了面向北京市公众的防震减灾科普现状及需求调查研究.结果表明,58.4%的公众接受过防震减灾科普知识宣传,不同人群接受程度不一;公众对地震预报仍抱有较大的期望,大学生和农民的防震减灾科普知识水平较低;电视、报纸杂志和网络是目前公众获取...     

Numerical simulation of overflow at vertical weirs using a hybrid level set/VOF method

This paper presents the applications of a newly developed free surface flow model to the practical, while challenging overflow problems for weirs. Since the model takes advantage of the strengths of both the level set and volume of fluid methods and solves the Navier-Stokes equations on an unstructured mesh, it is capable of resolving the time evolution of very complex vortical motions, air entrainment and pressure variations due to violent deformations following overflow of the weir crest. In the present study, two different types of vertical weir, namely broad-crested and sharp-crested, are considered for validation purposes. The calculated overflow parameters such as pressure head distributions, velocity distributions, and water surface profiles are compared against experimental data as well as numerical results available in literature. A very good quantitative agreement has been obtained. The numerical model, thus, offers a good alternative to traditional experimental methods in the study of weir problems.     

Numerical analysis of dislocations of the face slabs of the Zipingpu Concrete Faced Rockfill Dam during the Wenchuan earthquake

The Zipingpu Concrete Faced Rockfill Dam (CFRD) was obviously damaged during the Wenchuan earthquake in 2008. A wide range of dislocations occurred along the horizontal construction joints at EL. 845m, between the face slabs constructed in the second and third stages. The maximum displacement of the dislocations reached 17cm. In this study, the slab dislocations were investigated using finite element (FE) analysis. The method based on strain potential was applied to compute the permanent deformation of the Zipingpu Dam during the Wenchuan earthquake. The calculated magnitude of the slab dislocation showed good agreements with the field measurements. The dislocation mechanism was discussed. The results show that the dislocation of the concrete slab is a subsequent damage after the permanent deformation of the rockfill materials. The effects of the shear strength and the direction of the construction joints, the reservoir water level and the seismic waves were studied. The shear strength and the direction of the construction joints, reservoir water level and have a significant effect on the dislocation displacement. The dislocation can be effectively reduced by measures such as changing the direction of the construction joints or improving the shear strength at the horizontal joints.     

湘东北幕阜山含绿帘石花岗闪长岩岩浆的上升速率：岩相学和矿物化学证据

出露于扬子地块东南缘的幕阜山复式岩体侵位年龄约为145Ma.该复式岩体的花岗闪长岩及其暗色微粒包体都含有独特的岩浆绿帘石.这些绿帘石呈自形晶,普遍发育熔蚀结构,部分具褐帘石核.微粒包体及花岗闪长岩中绿帘石的Ps值((100Fe3+/(Fe3++Al))均集中在26～28,TiO2含量小于0.2%,为典型的岩浆成因.岩相...     

Numerical study on the mixed model in the GOCE polar gap problem

Gravity gradients acquired by the Gravity field and steady-state Ocean Circulation Explorer(GOCE) do not cover the entire earth because of its sun-synchronous orbit leaving data gaps with a radius of about 6.5° in the polar regions.Previous studies showed that the loss of data in the polar regions deteriorates the accuracy of the low order(or near zonal) coefficients of the earth gravity model,which is the so-called polar gap problem in geodesy.In order to find a stable solution for the earth gravity model from the GOCE gravity gradients,three models,i.e.the Gauss-Markov model,light constraint model and the mixed model,are compared and evaluated numerically with the gravity gradient simulated with the EGM2008.The comparison shows that the Best Linear Uniformly Unbiased Estimation(BLUUE) estimator of the mixed model can solve the polar gap problem as effectively as the light constraint model;furthermore,the mixed model is more rigorous in dealing with the supplementary information and leads to a better accuracy in determining the global geoid.     

全球油气勘探研究进展及对沉积储层研究的需求

近年来,全球油气勘探的重大发现和突破主要集中在被动大陆边缘深水区、岩性地层、海相碳酸盐岩、前陆盆地冲断带、成熟勘探地区、新勘探地区以及非常规油气等领域。勘探对象既包括常规构造、岩性地层、构造一岩性复合油气藏,也包括致密砂岩、页岩等非常规油气;勘探部位既包括被动大陆边缘、克拉通、前陆冲断带、前陆斜坡等常规油气藏分布区,又...     

强震作用下岩质斜坡动力响应特性的大型振动台试验方案设计

为了深入研究斜坡变形破坏机理,为汶川地震诱发次乍地质灾害提供理论解释,通过振动台试验模拟汶川地震过程.在参考已有实验和研究成果的基础上,对大型振动台物理模型进行设计,介绍模型箱、模拟范围、模型相似关系、模型岩层材料、各监测断面的位置和传感器的布置,编制地震波加载制度.结果表明,拟定的大型振动台模型试验设计方案是合理的.     

A study on the water vapor transport trend and water vapor source of the Tibetan Plateau

This study presents results of the pilot experiments made with new parametric multi-site multi-variable stochastic daily weather generator (WG) SPAGETTA. The experiments are performed for eight European regions and we focus on spatial characteristics of temperature. The WG is calibrated using the gridded weather data E-OBS. In evaluating the generator, the spatial and temporal temperature autocorrelations derived from the synthetic series were found to perfectly fit the values derived from the calibration data. Next, the WG is validated in terms of the frequency of “spatial hot days” and the annual maximum length of “spatial hot spells”. The results indicate a very good correspondence between characteristics derived from synthetic and calibration data. As part of the validation tests, the performance of the WG is compared with a regional climate model (RCM), which shows a similar performance as the generator. In a final experiment, the use of the WG for the future climate is demonstrated, the WG parameters (including the temperature autocorrelations) calibrated with the observed data are modified according to the RCM-based changes in these parameters. While analyzing synthetic series produced with the modified generator, we discuss partial impacts due to changes in individual WG parameters on the spatial hot days and spells. We show that the impacts are mainly (but not only) due to changes in temperature averages. The projected changes in temperature autocorrelations have also some impacts, larger for the spatial hot spells than for the spatial hot days. Climate change impacts on spatial hot days/spells based on the WG are compared with impacts based on the RCM, and we conclude that the differences are mainly due to simplifying assumptions adopted in our pilot experiment.     

Development of Climate and Earth System Models in China: Past Achievements and New CMIP6 Results

The Earth-Climate System Model (ECSM) is an important platform for multi-disciplinary and multi-sphere integration research, and its development is at the frontier of international geosciences, especially in the field of global change. The research and development (R&D) of ECSM in China began in the 1980s and have achieved great progress. In China, ECSMs are now mainly developed at the Chinese Academy of Sciences, ministries, and universities. Following a brief review of the development history of Chinese ECSMs, this paper summarized the technical characteristics of nine Chinese ECSMs participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 and preliminarily assessed the basic performances of four Chinese models in simulating the global climate and the climate in East Asia. The projected changes of global precipitation and surface air temperature and the associated relationship with the equilibrium climate sensitivity under four shared socioeconomic path scenarios were also discussed. Finally, combined with the international situation, from the perspective of further improvement, eight directions were proposed for the future development of Chinese ECSMs.