1980-2020年山西省极端降水的研究

基于1980-2020年山西省109个气象观测站点的逐日降水资料,选取10个极端降水指数,采用气候倾向率、相关分析、因子分析、R/S预测方法等方法,对山西省极端降水进行了时空分布的研究,以期为山西省的气候变化、生态环境保护、防灾减灾、气象服务工作提供参考依据,结果表明：(1)从时间尺度来看,1980-2020年期间,山西省极端降水的强度和极值都有明显增加,连续干旱日数和连续湿日日数呈下降趋势,其余均表现出不同程度的增加,其中年总降水量增加幅度最明显;从空间尺度来看,年总降水量、降水强度、降水频率、极值均为从西北向东南逐渐增多,空间差异较明显;从各站点的空间分布来看,北部和中部地区的极端事件增加最显著,北部地区的干旱日数仍以增加趋势为主,连续湿日日数气候倾向率的空间差异较大,中部地区站点显著增加,南北部以减少趋势为主;(2)基于相关分析方法表明各极端降水指数(除干旱日数外)与年总降水量都有很好的相关关系,强降水量和极强降水量对年总降水量的贡献值呈现出增加趋势;采用因子分析方法提取了3个公共因子,方差贡献率累计达到了87％,可以看出极端降水强度和降水量指数在对极端降水方面影响较大;利用R/S分析法可以得到年总降水量、中雨日数、大雨日数、最大5日降水量这几个指数未来呈现弱减少趋势,而干旱日数仍为减少趋势,连续湿日日数为持续弱增加趋势。总体看来,山西省极端降水近年来呈现出增加趋势,在空间分布有明显差异。     

Application of the Static Headland-Bay Beach Concept to a Sandy Beach: A New Elliptical Model

The headland-bay beach is one of the most common coastal types in the world.Its morphology reflects the changes that occurred during long-term evolution of the sandy coast.Several headland-bay beach models have been proposed to simulate the coastline’s configuration in equilibrium.In this paper,a new elliptical model is proposed,described,and applied.On the east coast of Laizhou Bay in Shandong Province from Longkou Port to Diaolongzui,four typical headland-bay beaches have developed,and four headland-bay beach models are used in this paper to simulate the morphology of these beaches to assess the applicability of each model.The simulation results of the elliptical model verify that it is applicable to the study area.In addition,the elliptical model is easy to use.Through simulation and field investigations,we concluded that most of the coastal segments in this area will remain in an erosion state,and the human activity has a significant impact on the shoreline’s evolution.     

坡缕石粘土的磷吸附机制及其铁负载效果研究

比较了3种天然坡缕石粘土对不同程度磷污染水体的吸附净化能力,通过等温吸附实验和吸附动力学实验探讨了坡缕石粘土的磷吸附机制,并研究了不同形态铁负载对坡缕石粘土吸附净化磷污染水体性能和机制的影响.结果发现,3种天然坡缕石粘土对不同程度磷污染水体均有一定的吸附净化能力,其中含白云石较多的坡缕石粘土的磷吸附能力最强,吸附等温曲线呈S型,且Freundlich方程(R2=0.977 6)比Langmuir方程(R2=0.924 9)拟合效果更好;准一级方程、冥函数方程、抛物线扩散方程、准二级方程均能较好地模拟坡缕石粘土对磷的吸附动力学过程,说明坡缕石粘土对磷的吸附可能属于不均匀介质的多分子层吸附.此外,不同形态铁负载均能显著增强坡缕石粘土对不同程度磷污染水体的吸附净化能力,吸附等温曲线呈L型,Langmnir方程(Fe2 :R2=0.96,Fe3 :R2=0.967 7)比Freundlich方程(Fe2 :R2=0.965 7,Fe3 :R2=0.936 1)能略好地拟合铁负载坡缕石粘土的磷吸附等温结果,说明铁负载坡缕石粘土的磷吸附过程可能是均匀介质的单分子吸附.适量白云石有助于提高坡缕石粘土的磷吸附净化性能,铁负载可能通过改变坡缕石的表面电荷和吸附活性位点来改变其磷吸附机制,从而提高其磷吸附性能.     

The development and control of the land subsidence in the Yangtze Delta,China

Land subsidence in China occurs predominantly in 17 provinces (cities) situated in the eastern and middle regions of the country, including Shanghai, Tianjin and Jiangsu, and Hebei provinces. It is primarily caused by groundwater overpumping. One of the areas most severely affected by land subsidence is the Yangtze Delta, most of which consists of Shanghai City, the Su-Xi-Chang area (Suzhou, Wuxi and Changzhou cities) of Jiangsu Province, and the Hang-Jia-Hu area (Hangzhou, Jiaxing and Huzhou cities) of Zhejiang Province. The excessive exploitation of groundwater forms in a large regional cone of depression and, consequently, land subsidence is also regional, currently centered in the Shanghai and Su-Xi-Chang areas. In 2002, the maximum cumulative subsidence of Shanghai, Su-Xi-Chang and Hang-Jia-Hu were 2.63 m, 2.00 and 1.06 m, respectively. The land subsidence area is continuing to expand throughout the Yangtze Delta. To study the characteristics and the pattern of this land subsidence, the government has implemented a monitoring system involving the placement of 37 groups of extensometers (layers marks) and drilling of more than 1000 observation wells. These provide an invaluable historical record of deformation and pore water pressure and facilitate studies on the special features of soil deformation when the groundwater level changes due to pumping. Several measures have been taken in recent years to control the development of the land subsidence in the different areas; these include groundwater injection, prohibition of pumping deep confined groundwater, and an adjustment of the pumping depth and magnitude of the groundwater withdrawn. At present, although the subsidence area is still increasing slowly, the subsidence rate is controlled.     

基于虚拟现实的龟山汉墓虚拟重建研究

基于虚拟现实技术的优势和特点,介绍其在古建筑虚拟重建中的应用,并针对其在古墓虚拟重建方面应用先例较少的现状,提出基于虚拟现实的古墓虚拟重建方案,并以龟山汉墓为例,利用Multigen Creator实时建模软件进行三维建模,在Vega Prime实时视景仿真软件环境和VC 环境中进行渲染和开发,建立古墓虚拟重建系统,实现了三维模型重现、三维场景渲染和漫游等功能。古墓的虚拟重建,不仅可以在虚拟环境中重现璀璨的墓葬文化,发展"古墓旅游业",还可运用到古墓的数字化保护、考古学、古代测量技术研究等方面。     

三维建模系统的综述

一个完整的三维模型重建系统由数据获取、图像分割、图像配准、几何建模和纹理建模五个基本模块构成。其中,图像分割与图像配准算法是三维建模领域的重要研究内容。对基于距离图像和光学强度图像的三维模型重建系统进行综述,对距离图像的分割、距离图像的配准这两项关键技术进行分析和总结,分析比较各种距离图像分割算法和各种图像配准算法。最后,分析比较目前国际上几个典型的三维建模系统。     

小波分析在垂向海潮特征信息去噪研究

目前国内外许多学者利用沿海GPS站点的高精度坐标时间序列进行海潮特征信息的提取研究,已取得一定成果,但高精度坐标时间序列中不可避免地存在许多噪声,极大影响海潮特征信息的提取。基于日本GMSD站的67d的高精度PPP坐标时间序列,利用小波分析进行去噪实验,经FFT变换后,将提取的结果与FES2004海潮模型的特征值比较。实验结果表明:经小波分析后,GPS站点的时间序列精度得到提高;经小波去噪后的反演精度均有不同程度的提高,最多达到0.14mm,而海潮特征值的量级为厘米级或者亚厘米级,说明小波分析对海潮特征值的提取精度有明显提高。     

卫星测高数据监测青海湖水位变化

为了验证Cryosat-2/SIRAL数据监测湖泊水位的能力,提高其提取湖泊水位变化的精度,以青海湖为研究对象,利用主波峰重心偏移法、主波峰阈值法、主波峰5-β参数法、传统重心偏移法、传统阈值法和传统5-β参数法6种算法对Cryosat-2/SIRAL LRM 1级数据进行波形重跟踪,提取青海湖2010—2015年湖泊水位,对比不同算法获取水位的精度,并结合Envisat/RA-2 GDR数据,延长水位变化时间序列,获得青海湖2002年—2015年的水位变化信息。结果表明,主波峰5-β参数法提取湖泊水位的精度最好,均方根误差为0.093 m;对于GDR产品中LRM模式的3种数据,基于Refined OCOG算法的数据更适合湖泊水位的提取;青海湖2002年—2015年水位整体上涨,水位平均变化趋势为0.112 m/年,年内水位变化呈现明显的季节性。     

Sensitivity of Turbine-Height Wind Speeds to Parameters in Planetary Boundary-Layer and Surface-Layer Schemes in the Weather Research and Forecasting Model

We evaluate the sensitivity of simulated turbine-height wind speeds to 26 parameters within the Mellor–Yamada–Nakanishi–Niino (MYNN) planetary boundary-layer scheme and MM5 surface-layer scheme of the Weather Research and Forecasting model over an area of complex terrain. An efficient sampling algorithm and generalized linear model are used to explore the multiple-dimensional parameter space and quantify the parametric sensitivity of simulated turbine-height wind speeds. The results indicate that most of the variability in the ensemble simulations is due to parameters related to the dissipation of turbulent kinetic energy (TKE), Prandtl number, turbulent length scales, surface roughness, and the von Kármán constant. The parameter associated with the TKE dissipation rate is found to be most important, and a larger dissipation rate produces larger hub-height wind speeds. A larger Prandtl number results in smaller nighttime wind speeds. Increasing surface roughness reduces the frequencies of both extremely weak and strong airflows, implying a reduction in the variability of wind speed. All of the above parameters significantly affect the vertical profiles of wind speed and the magnitude of wind shear. The relative contributions of individual parameters are found to be dependent on both the terrain slope and atmospheric stability.     

航空重力测量中水平加速度改正的计算与频域分析

基于扰动水平加速度的正弦运动模型，对平台失准角和水平加速度改正的频谱特性进行了分析。利用某航空重力测量试验的实测数据，计算了平台失准角和水平加速度改正。