Characterizing uncertainty in geotechnical design of energy piles based on Bayesian theorem

It is known that a lot of uncertainties are involved in geotechnical design of energy piles. In this paper, a Bayesian updating framework is presented to characterize those uncertainties. The load-transfer model is developed to predict the thermomechanical response of energy piles. Considering the cross-case variability of the uncertainty in the axial strains of pile, the global model bias is firstly calibrated by establishing a comprehensive database consisting of 12 energy pile cases. Furthermore, the uncertainty in input parameters is considered in the Bayesian updating of model bias in a specific case. The variability of the uncertain parameters is effectively reduced after updating. The coefficient of variation of prediction is decreased from 0.34 to 0.13. The present framework can well quantify uncertain factors and improve the accuracy and reliability of the prediction model.

     

The initial impoundment of the Baihetan reservoir region (China) exacerbated the deformation of the Wangjiashan landslide: characteristics and mechanism

Landslides - Reservoir landslides greatly threaten reservoir safety. Understanding the deformation characteristics and mechanism of reservoir landslides can help evaluate their stability and...     

Embedding eco-friendly and smart technology features in affordable housing for community happiness in Malaysia

GeoJournal - Two phases of study are involved in this research: first, the sales strategies for affordable houses embedded with eco-friendly and smart technology features; and second, the impact of...     

东平县建设用地需求预测方法研究

针对传统预测方法不能同时兼顾市场经济和政策对建设用地需求影响的不足,探索性地提出：一元直线回归预测、灰色系统GM（1,1）预测法、综合分析法。通过对3种方法预测结果的比较,从而评价综合分析法的可信度与准确性。研究结果：运用综合分析法预测东平县近期建设用地需求（2010年）为16 342.36 hm^2、远期建设用地需求（2020年）为17 620.79 hm^2,研究方法对土地利用规划中的建设用地需求预测有借鉴意义。     

Early Paleozoic Magmatism and Crustal Evolution in the North Qinling Orogen

<正>1 Introduction The North Qinling orogenic belt is characterized by diverse rocks,multi-phase tectonic-magmatic events,which is composed of not only basement rocks of the Qinling Group,but also numerous magmatic rocks in     

连续闭合钢箱接头地下连续墙施工技术

目前许多深基坑工程对于超深地下连续墙的刚度及防渗性能要求较高。在分析传统常用的接头形式在施工过程中存在问题的基础上,提出了一套行之有效的施工方法——连续闭合钢箱接头。详细介绍了连续闭合钢箱接头地下连接墙施工技术及其施工效果。     

Optical dating of sand wedges and ice‐wedge casts from Qinghai Lake area on the northeastern Qinghai‐Tibetan Plateau and its palaeoenvironmental implications

Sand wedges and ice‐wedge casts in the Qinghai Lake area on the northeastern Qinghai‐Tibetan Plateau (QTP) occur within alluvial gravel or river terrace deposits. In this study, we report the results of quartz Optically Stimulated Luminescence (OSL) dating of the infill of five relict sand wedges and one ice‐wedge cast. Combining our dating results with previously published luminescence ages of permafrost wedges in the Qinghai Lake area, we show that sand/ice wedges formed at c. 62 ka, c. 45 ka and between 30 and 15 ka, and that the mean annual air temperature (MAAT) was depressed by at least ～3°C relative to present during the sand/ice‐wedge formation periods. This new work is partially corroborated by post‐LGM proxy records from lakes and aeolian deposits reported from the northeastern QTP. It also significantly extends the palaeoenvironmental record in the region in the period before the LGM, when other proxy records are rare, allowing a better understanding of the palaeoenvironmental conditions on the northeastern QTP.     

湖北新春花岗岩类锆石SHRIMP年龄:大别山造山带内弱变质—未变质晋宁期花岗岩类的发现

蕲春花岗质杂岩体包括斑状二长花岗岩和花岗岩两部分,它们之间在化学性质上存在着很大的差异,前者表现为高Al_2O_3(15.73％)、相对高CaO(2.46％)、Na_2O含量明显高于K_2O(Na_2O/K_2O=1.27),尤以强烈亏损重稀土元素和极强的轻、重稀土元素分馏程度[(La/Yb)_N=46.8]为特征而类似于太古宙高Al_2O_3的TTG岩石。而后者则以较低的Al_2O_3含量(14.05％)、贫CaO(0.82％)、K_2O含量明显高于Na_2O(Na_2O/K_2O=0.81)为特征,轻、重稀土元素的分馏程度[(La/Yb)_N=10.89]也较片麻状二长花岗岩中弱得多。两类岩石中锆石的U-PbSHRIMP年龄分别为824.6±17.6 Ma和784±20 Ma,该时代与大别山造山带内花岗片麻岩的原岩形成年龄类似。大别山造山带内弱变质-未变质晋宁期花岗岩的出现表明扬子板块印支期向北俯冲时,该花岗质杂岩处于俯冲板片的后缘,可代表造山带内扬子基底的原地露头。而岩体周围的高压变质杂岩应是折返上来的无根构造岩片,大别山造山带内高压-超高压变质杂岩的出露不是整体性抬升剥蚀的结果。     

真空堆载预压法控制高速公路软土地基沉降的现场监测试验分析

真空堆载预压法具有真空预压和堆载预压双重加固效果,真空预压产生的侧向收缩变形与堆载产生的侧向挤出变形相抵消,保证了上部路堤的稳定性,加速地基土的固结,提高了施工速度.依托高速公路软基处理实体工程,设置四个现场监测试验段,对完整有效的观测断面的沉降进行了全程监测.分析结果表明,真空堆载预压法加固的路基沉降量主要发生在初期和中期,沉降速率在监测初期较大、中期时达到最大值,后期的沉降量和沉降速率减小,最后阶段最大沉降速率为0.09 cm/d,小于堆载预压规定的允许值1cm/d的要求,表明真空堆载预压法加固效果显著.