洪水灾害分析与评估的综合集成方法

从系统论的观点出发,提出了洪水灾害复杂大系统的概念,讨论了该系统的组成特征及其高维性、动态性、复杂性等特征和基于定性与定量的综合集成方法,探讨了洪水灾害系统模拟、预测、评估与决策的综合分析方法。为进一步开展洪水灾害的管理与调控方法的研究奠定了基础,并将有利于促进资源、环境与社会的协调发展。     

Early Cenozoic paleontological assemblages and provenance evolution of the Lishui Sag,East China Sea

The East China Sea Shelf Basin generated a series of back-arc basins with thick successions of marine- and terrestrial-facies sediments during Cenozoic. It is enriched with abundant oil and gas resources and is of great significance to the petroleum exploration undertakings. Therein, the Lishui Sag formed fan delta, fluvial delta and littoral-to-neritic facies sediments during Paleocene–Eocene, and the research on its sedimentary environment and sediment source was controversial. This study analyzed the paleontological combination characteristics, and conducted a source-to-sink comparative analysis to restore the sedimentary environment and provenance evolution of the Lishui Sag during Paleocene–Eocene based on the integration of detrital zircon U-Pb age spectra patterns with paleontological assemblages. The results indicated that Lishui Sag was dominated by littoral and neritic-facies environment during time corroborated by large abundance of foraminifera, calcareous nannofossils and dinoflagellates. Chronological analysis of detrital zircon U-Pb revealed that there were significant differences in sediment sources between the east and west area of the Lishui Sag. The western area was featured by deeper water depths in the Paleocene–Eocene, and the sediment was characterized by a single Yanshanian peak of zircon U-Pb age spectra, and mainly influenced from Yanshanian magmatic rocks of South China Coast and the surrounding paleo-uplifts. However, its eastern area partly showed Indosinian populations. In particular, the upper Eocene Wenzhou sediments were featured by increasingly plentiful Precambrian zircons in addition to the large Indosinian-Yanshanian peaks, indicating a possible impact from the Yushan Low Uplift to the east. Therefore, it is likely that the eastern Lishui Sag generated large river systems as well as deltas during time. Due to the Yuquan Movement, the Lishui Sag experienced uplifting and exhumation in the late stage of the late Eocene and was not deposited with sediments until Miocene. Featured by transitional-facies depositions of Paleocene–Eocene, the Lishui Sag thus beared significant potential for source rock and oil-gas reservoir accumulation.     

东海盆地中、新生代盆架结构与构造演化

基于地貌、钻井、岩石测年和地震等资料,分析盆地地层分布、盆架结构、构造单元划分和裂陷迁移规律,结果表明东海盆地由台北坳陷、舟山隆起、浙东坳陷、钓鱼岛隆褶带和冲绳坳陷构成,是以新生代沉积为主、中生代沉积为辅的大型中、新生代叠合含油气盆地;古元古代变质岩系构成了盆地的基底。该盆地不仅是印度-太平洋前后相继的动力体系作用下形成的西太平洋沟-弧-盆构造体系域一部分,而且也是古亚洲洋动力体系作用下形成的古亚洲洋构造域和特提斯洋动力体系作用下形成的特提斯洋构造域一部分,晚侏罗世至早白垩世经历了构造体制转换,盆地格局发生重大变革,早白垩世以前主要受古亚洲-特提斯洋构造体制影响的强烈挤压造山和地壳增厚作用演变为早白垩世以来主要受太平洋构造体制控制的陆缘伸展裂陷和岩石圈减薄作用,经历侏罗纪古亚洲-特提斯构造体制大陆边缘拗陷和白垩纪以来太平洋构造体制弧后裂陷两大演化阶段。白垩纪以来太平洋构造体制的弧后裂陷演化阶段可细分为早白垩世至始新世裂陷期、渐新世至晚中新世拗陷期和中新世末至全新世裂陷期。     

无定河流域不同水土流失区底栖动物生物完整性指数构建与健康评价

无定河流域位于黄土高原与毛乌素沙地过渡带,水土流失严重,生态环境具有脆弱性和波动性。于2021年春季(4月)和秋季(10月)对无定河流域上、中、下游及其6条支流和流域内的3个淤地坝开展水生态系统调查,旨在厘清无定河流域底栖动物群落特征,构建底栖动物生物完整性指数并开展健康评价。无定河流域春季共采集到底栖动物105种,平均密度为181 ind./m²,平均生物量为0.760 g/m²,秋季共采集到底栖动物67种,平均密度为94 ind./m²,平均生物量为0.454 g/m²。通过对两季度研究区域内底栖动物27个生物参数开展分布范围检验、判别能力分析和相关性分析,构建无定河流域底栖动物生物完整性指数,对全流域40个样点(6个参照点和34个受损点)进行B-IBI健康评价。评价结果表明,总体上无定河流域底栖动物生物完整性较好,40个样点中春季有19个处于健康或亚健康状态,秋季有23个处于健康或亚健康状态,其中无定河上、中游干支流大都以健康和亚健康为主,无定河下游干支流以及3个淤地坝水体健康状况较差。在不同水土流失类型区域,底栖动物群落特征和生物完整性评价具有显著性差异。本研究结果可为无定河流域河流健康评估提供科学依据。     

基于立体层析反演的低频模型构建在深水区储层反演中的应用:以南海深水W构造为例

建立准确的低频模型是波阻抗反演中的重要环节,它直接影响着波阻抗反演结果的准确性。但是,常规模型建立方法的准确性受钻井数量影响明显,钻井数量越多,模型的准确性越高。在海洋深水油气勘探过程中,由于勘探费用昂贵,钻井数量非常少,很难通过常规方法建立准确的低频模型。特别是在沉积体横向特征变化较大时,地震反演的可靠性受到巨大影响。本文首先介绍了立体层析速度反演的基本理论和数据域、成像域立体层析速度反演的计算过程,综合数据域立体层析与成像域立体层析的优势获得了高精度速度模型;然后结合有限的钻井进行标定,构建出地震反演所需的低频模型,有效提升了低频模型的精度,使其达到可真实反映较大规模地质异常体的尺度;最后,将其应用于南海深水区W构造的勘探实践,提升了反演结果横向预测的准确性。     

藏南色如朗金红石矿床地质特征及控矿条件

藏南色如朗金红石矿床位于米拉山口断裂带东段北缘,矿床的赋矿岩石主要为绿片岩。由北向南圈定了3个矿体,矿体沿北东方向延伸,呈层状、似层状产出。矿石矿物以金红石为主,其他金属矿物有磁铁矿、赤铁矿、黄铁矿、黄铜矿、磁黄铁矿等。金红石主要为红褐色,少数为暗红褐色,呈自形-半自形柱状和他形粒状,粒径多为0.01~0.2mm,大者可达1~2mm。该矿床的形成主要受地层和变质作用控制,后期构造对矿床形态有一定的破坏作用。通过与中国典型金红石矿床地质特征对比,初步认为色如朗金红石矿床的成因类型为中低压变质型。     

Evaluation of CBM reservoir fracture characteristics by azimuthal AVA inversion

Exploitation of coalbed methane (CBM) is directly affected by the strike and density of fractures, particularly because fractures can act as conduits for water and gas (after desorption). To realize the azimuthal amplitude versus angle (AVA) inversion for a CBM reservoir, we treated reservoirs whose fractures are aligned vertically as being equivalent to a horizontal transverse isotropic medium and simplified the P-P wave reflection coefficient formula to an approximately linear equation. Then, we adopted a modified damping least squares algorithm to solve the azimuthal AVA inversion problem. With edited macro-bins, corrected residual moveout, and normalized amplitude, the azimuthal gathers exhibited unambiguous azimuthal AVA characteristics. The #3 CBM reservoir in the Qinshui Basin was selected for a case study. The density and strike of the reservoir fractures were obtained and analyzed, and the reservoir was divided into three classes according to fracture density. Finally, in comparison with the gas production data, we confirmed that the inversion results and reservoir classification were both reasonable and credible.     

中国城市居民的家庭代际分/合居行为及其影响要素——以成都市为例

1978年以来,中国家庭小型化趋向非常显著,尤以代际分居为核心诱因,代际分居对转型期中国的社会稳定、家庭和睦乃至住房市场都构成了很大的影响。而且,中国的代际分居现象及其机制和西方社会存在根本的不同,此文讨论了转型期基于代际分居率和家庭生命周期的中国城市居民分/合居行为的概念模型,随后选择成都市主城区进行了实证,因为该地区不但社会经济发展速度快,户籍居民的老龄化趋向明显,而且兼受中国传统文化和西方文化的耦合影响。与西方发达社会基于家庭生命周期先合居、后分居的规律不同,中国城市居民家庭居住行为呈现出合居—（小）分居—合居—分居—（小）合居—（小）分居—（小）合居的变化过程。采用2012-2013年的实地调研数据,采用Pearson相关性分析法提取主要影响因素,后采用二元logistic 回归方法研究了主要因素对居民分/合居行为的显著性和正负影响,并对不同年龄段的城市居民家庭代际分/合居行为的代际分/合居选择及其影响因素进行了分析。结论如下：① 文化程度、配偶健在、家庭人均收入、父母应帮子女成家、父母应帮子女买房、与子女/父母代际分居意愿、作息习惯、饮食习惯、安静/热闹偏好、卫生习惯、居家习惯和私密空间习惯与家庭代际分居率正向显著;② 年龄、家庭居住面积、父母应帮忙抚养孙辈、（子女）应该养老、父母/子女应临近居住、养儿防老、养育习惯等变量与家庭代际分居率负向显著;③ 不同年龄段居民的代际分/合居选择的影响因素及其显著度有所差异。     

戈壁分类体系与编目研究

建立统一的戈壁分类和编目体系,是进一步深入研究戈壁的理论基础,也是合理开发利用戈壁资源的前提。到目前为止,只有少量文献或著作提到戈壁或戈壁类型,关于戈壁编目的研究更鲜有报道。为了促进戈壁研究的规范化,本文在参照现有戈壁分类基础上,结合戈壁科学考察成果,根据戈壁的形成原因、地表物质组成与植被类型,分三级建立了戈壁分类体系,并对每一级每一类的戈壁特征进行了较为详细的阐述。在戈壁分类基础上,提出戈壁编目设想,以期为进一步深入开展戈壁研究奠定基础。     

利用ADS40相机快速生成正射影像图的方法研究

介绍了ADS40相机快速生成正射影像图的方法,即利用高精度POS设备能直接定向测图的特点,省去空三T序,利用POS解算出的外方位元素和自动提取的DEM进行正射影像纠正,结合实际生产项目对成图精度进行了分析。试验结果表明,ADS40相机应用于航测生产可大幅度缩短成图周期,利用本文的生产方法可以满足正射影像图精度要求,并节省大量时问,适用于应急测绘保障。