佳木斯地区冬、春季大-暴雪成因分析

冬、春季的天气影响系统既有共同点，又有不同之处。通过近20a大-暴雪个例的物理成因及卫星云图等特征的分析，总结出有预报意义的指标。     

火险预报因子分析

通过对前期气象因子和预报因子的分析，得出森林火险预报方法，从而确定火险等级。     

黑龙江省水稻主栽品种热量指标鉴定及应用

本文主要从热量指标角度，通过黑龙江省水稻主栽品种的各生育期所需的活动积温、生育日数的实际观测，计算各生育期的有效积温、生育期下限温度。从热量资源的空间分布、可能生育期日数与各主栽品种全生育期活动积温、生育期日数的实测值作对比分析，讨论水稻各主栽品种的熟型和适宜分布区域。     

风沙起电的风洞实验研究

利用大型风沙物理风洞实验装置 ,模拟铺沙地面在不同风速条件下对不同粒径的沙样和混合沙的起电电场、电位和荷质比作实验测量。结果表明 :存在风沙起电效应。风洞内电场多为负极性 ,最大电场达到 - 2 9kV·m- 1 ,导线电位可达 12 0mV。沙粒越细 ,起电越强 ,且随风速增加而增大     

时间序列转折突变点检测的线性函数方法

根据转折突变的定义，在引入线性半截多项式的前提下，提出检测时间序列转折突变点的一种新方法。此方法不仅能找出时间序列中存在的多个转折突变点，而且使得检测到的突变点通过统计显著性检验。应用此方法对北半球1851—1990年年平均气温距平及其11年滑动平均序列，1901—1999年昆明5月降水及其11年滑动平均的降水序列分别进行了检测。发现北半球年平均气温距平在1879、1889、1939和1973年附近出现了年际转折突变，在1878、1888和1941年以及1972年出现了年代际尺度的转折突变；昆明5月雨量不存在年际转折突变点，但昆明5月雨量在1918、1966以及1978年附近出现了年代际尺度转折突变。     

Phillips模式的斜压不稳定的非线性饱和问题:能量情形

A conservation law for the Phillips model is derived. Using this law, the nonlinear saturation of purely baroclinic instability caused by the vertical velocity shear of the basic flow in the Phillips model-the case of energy-is studied within the context of Arnold's second stability theorem. Analytic upper bounds on the energy of wavy disturbances are obtained. For one unstable region in the parameter plane, the result here is a second-order correction in ε to Shepherd's; For another unstable region, the analytic upper bound on the energy of wavy disturbances offers an effective constraint on wavy (nonzonal) disturbances φ'i at any time.     

CLIMATOLOGICAL CHARACTERISTICS FOR THE ONSET OF ASIAN SUMMER MONSOON AS REVEALED BY HIRS-Tb12 AND DROUGHT AND FLOODS IN EASTERN CHINA

As shown in comparison and study of the HIRS-Tb12 data and conventional data, temperature, humidity and vertical motion are structured differently in the Southern and Northern Hemispheres, which are well depicted with the HIRS-Tb12 data. When high pressures rapidly decrease over the regions of South China Sea and Arabian Sea with the HIRS-Tb12 less than 200 W/m2, monsoons will set off in the South China Sea, Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal, respectively. From a year of significant drought to one of significant floods, the trend of evolution is significantly different in the downdraft areas of the subtropical highs between the two hemispheres.     

标准太阳紫外光谱辐射计

在中国气象局新技术推广项目"紫外观测技术标准"的支持下,经与中国计量科学研究院光学处的科技人员合作,开发研制了标准太阳紫外光谱辐射计,现已完成整机加工、调试和测试工作.该仪器由辐射接收器(采用积分球和余弦修正石英半球配合的接收方式)、光栅单色仪和探测器(包括波长扫描驱动机构、探测器和放大器等)、计算机及其控制软件以及校准系统等部分组成(图1).     

新疆矿山地区环境地质问题探讨

新疆矿产资源极为丰富，矿业开发带动了地区经济的发展，但由于人为不合理开发，加上地区脆弱的生态环境，导致了资源破坏、地质灾害和环境污染等一系列的环境地质问题。引起矿山地区环境恶化的主要原因有历史因素、政策、经济技术、地方保护主义及环保意识差等。随着西部大开发，我国将进一步加大矿业开发力度，走出“先开发、后治理”的误区，使矿业开发和环境保护健康协调发展。     

A recursive decomposition algorithm for network seismic reliability evaluation

A new probabilistic analytical approach to evaluate seismic system reliability of large lifeline systems is presented in this paper. The algorithm takes the shortest path from the source to the terminal of a node weight or edge weight network as decomposition policy, using the Boolean laws of set operation and probabilistic operation principal, a recursive decomposition process then could be constructed. For a general weight network, the modified Torrieri method (NTR/T method) is introduced to combine with the suggested algorithm. Therefore, the recursive decomposition algorithm may be applied to evaluate the seismic reliability of general lifeline systems. A series of case studies, including a practical district electric power network system and a large urban water supply system, show that the suggested algorithm supplies a useful probabilistic analysis means for the seismic reliability evaluation of large lifeline systems. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.