IPCC AR6解读：全球和区域海平面变化的监测和预估

IPCC第六次评估报告第一工作组报告第九章综合评估了与海平面相关的最新监测和数值模拟结果,指出目前（2006—2018年）的海平面上升速率处于加速状态（3.7 mm/a),并会在未来持续上升,且呈现不可逆的趋势。其中低排放情景（SSP1-1.9）和高排放情景（SSP5-8.5）下,到2050年,预估全球平均海平面（GMSL）分别上升0.15~0.23 m和0.20~0.30 m;到2100年,预估GMSL分别上升0.28~0.55 m和0.63~1.02 m。南极冰盖不稳定性是影响未来海平面上升预估的最大不确定性来源之一。区域海平面变化是影响沿海极端静水位的重要因素。     

Seasonal Variations of CH_4 Emissions in the Yangtze River Delta Region of China Are Driven by Agricultural Activities

Developed regions of the world represent a major atmospheric methane(CH_4) source, but these regional emissions remain poorly constrained. The Yangtze River Delta(YRD) region of China is densely populated(about 16% of China's total population) and consists of large anthropogenic and natural CH_4 sources. Here, atmospheric CH_4 concentrations measured at a 70-m tall tower in the YRD are combined with a scale factor Bayesian inverse(SFBI) modeling approach to constrain seasonal variations in CH_4 emissions. Results indicate that in 2018 agricultural soils(AGS, rice production) were the main driver of seasonal variability in atmospheric CH_4 concentration. There was an underestimation of emissions from AGS in the a priori inventories(EDGAR—Emissions Database for Global Atmospheric Research v432 or v50), especially during the growing seasons. Posteriori CH_4 emissions from AGS accounted for 39%(4.58 Tg, EDGAR v432) to 47%(5.21 Tg, EDGAR v50) of the total CH_4 emissions. The posteriori natural emissions(including wetlands and water bodies) were1.21 Tg and 1.06 Tg, accounting for 10.1%(EDGAR v432) and 9.5%(EDGAR v50) of total emissions in the YRD in2018. Results show that the dominant factor for seasonal variations in atmospheric concentration in the YRD was AGS,followed by natural sources. In summer, AGS contributed 42%(EDGAR v432) to 64%(EDGAR v50) of the CH_4 concentration enhancement while natural sources only contributed about 10%(EDGAR v50) to 15%(EDGAR v432). In addition, the newer version of the EDGAR product(EDGAR v50) provided more reasonable seasonal distribution of CH_4 emissions from rice cultivation than the old version(EDGAR v432).     

A Positivity-preserving Conservative Semi-Lagrangian Multi-moment Global Transport Model on the Cubed Sphere

A positivity-preserving conservative semi-Lagrangian transport model by multi-moment finite volume method has been developed on the cubed-sphere grid. Two kinds of moments(i.e., point values(PV moment) at cell interfaces and volume integrated average(VIA moment) value) are defined within a single cell. The PV moment is updated by a conventional semi-Lagrangian method, while the VIA moment is cast by the flux form formulation to assure the exact numerical conservation. Different from the spatial approximation used in the CSL2(conservative semi-Lagrangian scheme with second order polynomial function) scheme, a monotonic rational function which can effectively remove non-physical oscillations is reconstructed within a single cell by the PV moments and VIA moment. To achieve exactly positive-definite preserving, two kinds of corrections are made on the original conservative semi-Lagrangian with rational function(CSLR)scheme. The resulting scheme is inherently conservative, non-negative, and allows a Courant number larger than one.Moreover, the spatial reconstruction can be performed within a single cell, which is very efficient and economical for practical implementation. In addition, a dimension-splitting approach coupled with multi-moment finite volume scheme is adopted on cubed-sphere geometry, which benefitsthe implementation of the 1 D CSLR solver with large Courant number.The proposed model is evaluated by several widely used benchmark tests on cubed-sphere geometry. Numerical results show that the proposed transport model can effectively remove nonphysical oscillations and preserve the numerical nonnegativity, and it has the potential to transport the tracers accurately in a real atmospheric model.     

分形滤波技术在新疆黄山-镜儿泉镍铜成矿带中的应用

为了深化新疆黄山-镜儿泉镍铜成矿带的成矿地质认识, 进一步确定找矿勘查方向, 采用多重分形滤波技术, 对该地区水系沉积物或岩屑地球化学测量数据中的Ni元素进行分析, 结果显示研究区西北部吐哈盆地具有高背景、弱异常且异常分散的特点; 中部康古尔大断裂带以及研究区东南部具有低背景、强异常、且异常呈带状分布的特点; 这可能是由于, 石炭世晚期至二叠纪早期的地幔柱事件在研究区中部和东南部沿深大断裂有大量玄武岩喷溢, 到新生代被剥蚀运移到西北部地形较低的吐哈盆地, 而在原地只残留其根部造成的。中部和东南部带状分布的Ni异常是可能的找矿有利地段。     

泗水南部矿泉水分布特征及开发建议

根据泗水县地下水调查与监测,结合已有资料,经过综合分析,提出了对泗水南部灰岩地区矿泉水矿田的认识,重点介绍了泗水矿泉水矿田的地质背景,形成分布特征,同时提出了几点开发建议,为进一步开发和研究泗水矿泉水矿田指明了重要的思路和方向。     

粤西黄泥坑金矿床地质特征及成因浅析

粤西-桂东毗邻区是重要的剪切带型金矿成矿带。广宁县黄泥坑金矿床是近年来新发现的产于寒武纪黑色浅变质岩系,且受构造与岩体双重控制的金矿床。该矿床的发现是广东省继河台金矿发现后的又一找矿突破。本文阐述了黄泥坑金矿床成矿地质背景、矿床地质特征,同时从宏观地质现象角度,对矿床成因进行了初步的分析,认为该矿床是受剪切作用控制的浅成中-低温热液矿床。     

西藏尕尔穷铜金矿床发现罕见金属(Ni-Cr-Fe，Cu-Zn)互化物

班公湖—怒江成矿带是西藏自治区重要的铜金多金属成矿带,尕尔穷矿床是该成矿带中重要的矽卡岩型铜金矿床,笔者通过野外地质调查采样、显微镜鉴定、扫描电镜观察和X射线能谱仪测试分析,对矿石物质组分做了系统的研究.首次在矿石中发现了罕见的Ni-Cr-Fe,Cu-Zn互化物,这也是矽卡岩型矿床中首次发现此类矿物,在国内外尚无报道.这些金属互化物均属自然界罕见的矿物种类,其生成条件独特,是在缺氧、低硫的强还原环境中形成.首次在矽卡岩型矿床中发现与幔源岩浆有着成矿专属性的成矿元素,在成矿理论、成矿物质来源、成矿条件、成矿环境、矿床成因等方面具有重要的科学意义.     

高放废物处置库甘肃北山预选区同位素水文学研究及设想

甘肃省北山地区是我国高放废物处置库场址重要预选区之一,花岗岩是处置库候选围岩。10余年来,在北山地区开展了水文地质和同位素水文学调查、研究工作,为场址评价提供了重要的水文地质依据。今后,在深入开展预选区水文地质研究工作中,应进一步开展同位素水文学研究,示踪地下水的补给来源,揭示水循环过程,测定地下水滞留时间和流速等,以获得高放废物处置场址特性评价所需的水文地质参数资料。     

静压管桩折断接桩补强加固技术

当前静压桩做为基础处理的常规手段得到普遍应用,但在施工中产生的各种影响桩身质量的缺陷处理方法却没有统一的规定,探讨和研究静压桩的缺陷补强方法是静压桩施工中的重要课题。介绍了静压桩受横向力折断后采用桩管内灌注钢筋混凝土桩心补强加固处理的成功案例,为静压桩的缺陷处理提供了参考。     

白云质泥岩水平井分段压裂工艺应用

中原油田濮城油区部分井层岩性类型以白云质泥岩为主,微裂缝及孔洞发育,但总体上孔渗性较差,经分析认为剩余油潜力较大,决定对水平井濮1-FP1井进行分段压裂改造。通过对储层物性研究、测试压裂分析及压裂软件模拟进行压裂参数优化,确定了适合该井的分段压裂施工参数,优选了压裂液和支撑剂,成功地完成了十段压裂施工,注入总液量2975 m3,加入支撑剂308 m3,压后取得了一定的增产效果。该井多段压裂工艺的成功应用为下一步该区块白云质泥岩储层的压裂改造提供了依据和施工经验。