Environmental change in grasslands: Assessment using models

Modeling studies and observed data suggest that plant production, species distribution, disturbance regimes, grassland biome boundaries and secondary production (i.e., animal productivity) could be affected by potential changes in climate and by changes in land use practices. There are many studies in which computer models have been used to assess the impact of climate changes on grassland ecosystems. A global assessment of climate change impacts suggest that some grassland ecosystems will have higher plant production (humid temperate grasslands) while the production of extreme continental steppes (e.g., more arid regions of the temperate grasslands of North America and Eurasia) could be reduced substantially. All of the grassland systems studied are projected to lose soil carbon, with the greatest losses in the extreme continental grassland systems. There are large differences in the projected changes in plant production for some regions, while alterations in soil C are relatively similar over a range of climate change projections drawn from various General Circulation Models (GCM's). The potential impact of climatic change on cattle weight gains is unclear. The results of modeling studies also suggest that the direct impact of increased atmospheric CO₂ on photosynthesis and water use in grasslands must be considered since these direct impacts could be as large as those due to climatic changes. In addition to its direct effects on photosynthesis and water use, elevated CO₂ concentrations lower N content and reduce digestibility of the forage.     

Non-tidal changes in the length of the day: 700 BC to AD 1982

Occultations and eclipses from ancient times down to the present are analysed to determine changes in the length of the day. By subtracting the expected tidal contribution from the observed changes, the non-tidal variations are obtained. The non-tidal varations are shown to occur on time-scales of decades and millennia.     

An evaluation of rate equations for calcite precipitation kinetics at pCO2 less than 0.01 atm and pH greater than 8

We used a reproducible seeded growth technique with a pH-stat to study the kinetics of calcite precipitation at 25°C. We performed different experiments at initial Ca²⁺ and HCO₃^? concentrations ranging from 0.7–2 and 4–7 mmol L^?1, pH values ranging from 8.25 to 8.70, $\text{pCO}{}_2$ values ranging from 0.0006 to 0.01 atm, and ionic strengths ranging from 0.015 to 0.10 mol L^?1. With this experimental data set, we used initial rate measurements and integral methods to test several precipitation rate equations. Rate equations that possess a disequilibrium functional dependence, such as the BURTON et al. (1951) dislocation model, forms of the Davies and Jones (1955) model, and the model used by Reddy and Nancollas (1973), did not adequately describe the kinetics of calcite precipitation at pH greater than 8 and $\text{pCO}{}_2$ less than 0.01 atm. Rate equations that describe independent dissolution and precipitation mechanisms with elementary reactions, such as the equation presented by Plummeret al. (1978), and nancollas and Reddy (1971) were more successful. However, Plummer's model did not adequately describe the rate of all experiments due to the presence of an OH^? surface term in the precipitation rate equation. The elementary reaction of the Nancollas and Reddy model is written in terms of bulk Ca²⁺ and CO₃^? concentrations, and appears to be the most successful model which describes calcite precipitation at pH > 8 and $\text{pCO}{}_2\text{< 0.01}$ atm. The Nancollas and Reddy model, altered to account for varying ionic strengths, adequately described the rate of all experiments and yielded a precipitation rate constant of $\text{118.2 ± 13.9}$ dm⁶ mol^?1 m^?2 s^?1, with an apparent Arrhenius activation energy of 48.1 kJ mol^?1.     

Isotope and trace element geochemistry of sediments from the Barbados Ridge-Demerara Plain region,Atlantic Ocean

Twenty-four piston core sediment samples and 13 sediments and 3 basalts from DSDP Leg 78 Site 543 were analyzed for Sr, Nd and Pb isotopic compositions. The results show sediment with highly radiogenic Pb${}^{206}\text{Pb}{}^{204}\text{Pb}$ up to 19.8) and rather radiogenic Sr and unradiogenic Nd has been deposited in the region since the Cretaceous. The source of this sediment is probably the Archean Guiana Highland, which is drained by the Orinoco River. Pb and Sr isotopic compositions and sediment thickness decrease and${}^{143}\text{Nd}{}^{144}\text{Nd}$ increases northward due to a decrease in turbiditic component. This decrease is partly due to the damming action of basement ridges. Rare earth concentrations in the sediments are somewhat low, due to the abundance of detrital and biogenic components in the sediment and rapid sedimentation rates. Both positive and negative Ce anomalies occur in the surface sediments, but only positive Ce anomalies occur in the Site 543 sediments. It is unlikely that sediment subducted to the source region of Lesser Antilles arc magmas could be the cause of negative Ce anomalies in those magmas.Isotopic compositions of Site 543 basalts show some effect of contamination by seawater-basalt reaction products and sediments. Beyond this, however, they are typical of “normal” depleted MORB.     

Copper(II) carbonate complexation in seawater

Cupric carbonate and cupric bicarbonate complexation constants were determined in natural seawater and in a variety of synthetic media. The formation constants of CuHCO₃⁺, CuCO₃⁰ and Cu(CO₃)₂^2? at 25°C and zero ionic strength are: log β_H⁰ = 1.8, log β₁⁰ = 6.82 and log β⁰₂ = 10.6. Formation constants of these species appropriate to 0.7 molar ionic strength and 25°C are log β_H ～- 1, log β₁ = 5.73, log β₂ = 9.3. Our results indicate that the inorganic speciation scheme of Cu(II) in seawater is dominated by CuCO₃⁰ and that the ternary species, CuCO₃OH^?, is of substantial importance.     

Late Holocene history of Waldsea Lake,Saskatchewan, Canada

The post-Hypsithermal history of Waldsea Lake, a saline meromictic lake located in south-central Saskatchewan, has been deduced from a study of the changes in physical, mineralogical, and paleobiological parameters in sediment cores from the basin. Six lithostratigraphic units and three palynological zones are identified in the most recent sediment. These units and zones indicate that a shallow hypersaline lake with extensive mudflats existed about 4000 yr B.P. In response to the subsequent trend toward a cooler and wetter climate, deeper water conditions ensued, and by about 3000 yr ago a relatively deep stratified lake occupied the Waldsea Basin. A short climatic reversal about 2500 yr B.P. again caused low-water and mudflat conditions, but by 2000 yr ago the lake had regained its higher levels. The past 2000 yr of Waldsea's history have been relatively uneventful, except for a minor lowering of the lake about 700 yr B.P.     

Instability model for recurring large and great earthquakes in southern California

The locked section of the San Andreas fault in southern California has experienced a number of large and great earthquakes in the past, and thus is expected to have more in the future. To estimate the location, time, and slip of the next few earthquakes, an earthquake instability model is formulated. The model is similar to one recently developed for moderate earthquakes on the San Andreas fault near Parkfield, California. In both models, unstable faulting (the earthquake analog) is caused by failure of all or part of a patch of brittle, strain-softening fault zone. In the present model the patch extends downward from the ground surface to about 12 km depth, and extends 500 km along strike from Parkfield to the Salton Sea. The variation of patch strength along strike is adjusted by trial until the computed sequence of instabilities matches the sequence of large and great earthquakes sincea.d. 1080 reported by Sieh and others. The last earthquake was theM=8.3 Ft. Tejon event in 1857. The resulting strength variation has five contiguous sections of alternately low and high strength. From north to south, the approximate locations of the sections are: (1) Parkfield to Bitterwater Valley, (2) Bitterwater Valley to Lake Hughes, (3) Lake Hughes to San Bernardino, (4) San Bernardino to Palm Springs, and (5) Palm Springs to the Salton Sea. Sections 1, 3, and 5 have strengths between 53 and 88 bars; sections 2 and 4 have strengths between 164 and 193 bars. Patch section ends and unstable rupture ends usually coincide, although one or more adjacent patch sections may fail unstably at once. The model predicts that the next sections of the fault to slip unstably will be 1, 3, and 5; the order and dates depend on the assumed length of an earthquake rupture in about 1700.