大型、超大型矿床的定量预测研究

以新疆某地金矿区 ,对金矿床密集区和异常密集区进行了综合性圈定,建立了扩展模型,应用数理化理论Ⅰ、Ⅲ、Ⅳ和特征分析法对金矿和异常密集区一量研究,该方法不私适应于金矿床,而且还奉承放床,具有普遍的意义。     

地震预警系统配置服务器应用性能测试

针对测震台网不同的地震台站数,选用不同性能的服务器,对地震预警系统进行相应的服务器负载测试,分析相关结果,为该系统推广提供服务器配置参考。     

清代西南地区森林空间格局网格化重建

基于遥感土地利用数据和全球潜在植被数据,确定了中国西南地区土地垦殖前森林植被可能的分布范围,并通过量化地形（海拔、坡度）和气候生产潜力（光照、温度、水分）与农林地分布间的关系,构建了土地宜垦性评估模型和历史森林面积网格化分配模型,重建了清代西南地区5个时点、分辨率为10 km×10 km的森林空间格局。结果表明：①本文设计的森林空间格局网格化重建方法具有一定的可行性,其结果能较好地反映森林变迁历史过程的基本特征;②西南地区森林覆被率从雍正二年（1724年）的54.7%下降至宣统三年（1911年）的27.8%,其减少地区主要分布在四川盆地、云南中南部以及贵州大部;③从网格占比的变化趋势看,1724-1911年,西南地区森林覆被率小于10%的网格占比上升了约31个百分点,而覆被率大于80%的网格占比则下降了约13个百分点。     

Probe into Problem-Related Nontraditional Mineral Resources Research

The discovery of and research into the nontraditional mineralresources,both in theory and in practice for the nextcentury,are comm ented in this paper.The nontraditional mineral resources prognostication isvery important for the research into and the discovery of thehistory of typical deposits all over the world.The em phasis of the presentresearch is laid on new kindsof deposits.The processes and approaches of the discovery ofnew kinds of deposits should be studied carefully.The re-search int…     

一种优化的GA-KF与BP-Adaboost地表下沉组合预测模型北大核心CSCD

为提高矿区GNSS CORS自动化监测系统地表下沉预测精度,提出一种结合小波分析,采用遗传算法优化的卡尔曼滤波模型(GA-KF)与相空间重构的BP神经网络强预测模型(BP-Adaboost)的组合预测方法。利用小波分析获取原始监测数据的趋势项和随机项,并分别通过GA-KF模型和相空间重构BP-Adaboost模型预测趋势项和随机项,两者之和即为最终预测结果。以亳州板集矿监测站数据为例进行预测,结果表明:1)与单一使用GA-KF和相空间重构BP-Adaboost模型预测值对比,该组合模型预测精度更高;2)组合模型受建模序列长度影响较小,平均相对误差在0.003%以内,远小于两种单一模型,具有一定抗干扰性。     

顾及POI与土地利用数据的城市功能区划分

城市功能区划分是落实智慧城市用地政策和用地开发管控的重要前提和基础,科学探测其分类及分布,对于支撑智慧城市空间规划具有重要作用.针对现有方法在功能区划分时受限于格网或者路网的束缚,易出现POI权重设置不科学及划分不精确的问题,提出一种基于聚类分析确定主体功能单元下的功能区划分方法.首先,基于POI数据,综合利用KD-T...     

Rapid groundwater circulation inferred from temporal water dynamics and isotopes in an arid system

Arid basins in the alpine-cold area have their unique environmental settings and special groundwater circulation system. Sources, components and their variation of recharge processes for most rivers and groundwater of seasonal scale are still unknown in response to climate warming. Stable H and O isotopes were sampled monthly in river water and groundwater, and water table fluctuations were monitored over a complete seasonal cycle from dry to wet season conditions in the Nalenggele River catchment in the western Qaidam Basin, China. The primary objectives of our study were to demonstrate and explain the mechanism governing the rapid circulation in the groundwater system. Distinct seasonal fluctuations in the water table with corresponding stable isotopic variations can be observed in the alluvial fan of the Nalenggele River catchment. The recharge mechanism is related to the coincidence of several favourable hydrological conditions including an abundant recharge water source from summer precipitation and glacial snow melt in the high Kunlun Mountains, large-scale active faults, a volcanic crater, and other macro-structures that act as favourable recharge conduits, a large hydraulic head, and the presence of >100 m of unconsolidated sand and gravel acting as the main aquifer. Abundant and rapid renewable groundwater resources are potential water sources for future development in the Qaidam Basin.     

城市和森林空气负离子浓度与气象环境关系的通径分析

气象环境与负氧离子浓度关系存在很多的不确定性。利用宿迁市城市和森林区一年负离子观测资料和气象观测资料,使用通径分析方法,结果表明空气负氧子浓度会随着时间、环境的改变而有所不同,森林区的空气负离子浓度要高于城市区,而且这种负离子浓度的差异在夏、秋季节更为明显。气象环境中总云量、平均风速和日照百分率同城市和森林空气负离子浓度相关性不显著。日平均水汽压既是对大气负离子浓度作用最大的直接因子,也是最大的间接因子;日平均气温对城市和森林区负离子浓度具有仅次于平均水汽压的直接效应。城市区和森林区气象要素对负离子浓度的剩余通径系数达到0．8以上,表明气象因子对大气负离子浓度的影响较轻,环境中可能存在影响空气负离子浓度的其他重要因素。     

Apatite fission track evidence for Neogene uplift in the eastern Kunlun Mountains, northern Qinghai–Tibet Plateau, China

Forty-one apatite fission track ages (AFT) were determined on samples collected along a N–S section of the eastern Kunlun Mountains across the Middle and South Kunlun Faults between Buqingshan and Dulan. Measured AFT ages lie between 25±2 and 130±10 Ma, and all are significantly younger than their host rock formation or sediment deposition ages. Modelling the AFT data identifies a two stage regional cooling history that spans the last 100 Myrs. The earliest cooling phase occurred between the late Jurassic and early Tertiary and involved a moderate level of cooling between 20 and 40 °C, equivalent to average exhumation rates of =15 m/Myr. The second phase of cooling took place from 20 Ma with cooling rates increasing tenfold. Average exhumation rates for this period are estimated to be in the range of 100–150 m/Myr. The first stage of protracted cooling is consistent with regional evidence from the Qiantang and Lhasa terrans where previous studies have noted low rates of denudation in relation to a back-arc extensional setting. The more recent acceleration in cooling seen in the Kunlun data coincides with an increase in sedimentation rates in the adjacent Qaidam Basin. This points to a phase of Neogene uplift and increased erosion of the Kunlun Range, although contemporaneous monsoon strengthening may also have had a role.     

自动站风能参数的短序列订正方法及其应用研究

利用江苏省2005年自动站与基本气象站测风资料, 以及基本站1971—2000年测风资料, 探讨了风速及风功率密度的短序列订正方法, 并将各自动站数据分别订正到3个代表年。结果表明:应用该订正方法订正年平均风速, 其平均误差百分率为3.38%;用基本站作为假设自动站对其作平均气候状况下的订正, 再与自身观测值比较, 得到年平均风速订正的平均误差百分率为7.13%, 风功率密度订正的平均误差百分率为13.26%, 最大误差百分率为21.98%, 最小误差百分率为4.46%, 订正效果较为理想。