山东彭庄早、中二叠世孢粉组合特征

本文主要对山东彭庄煤矿西补15井太原组上部以及山西组进行采样研究,共分析孢粉样品14块,所有样品中均含有较为丰富的孢粉化石;经分析鉴定,共发现孢粉化石37属107种及部分未定种;根据孢粉化石在地层中的纵向分布规律及其含量变化,自下而上建立两个孢粉组合：Ⅰ.Laevigatosporites Granulatisporites组合（太原组上部）,Ⅱ.Gulisporites cochlearius Leiotriletes adnatus Sinulatisporites sinensis组合（山西组）;并将本区孢粉组合特征与华北其他地区进行了比较;明确了本区孢粉组合的地质时代,组合Ⅰ为早二叠世晚期,组合Ⅱ为中二叠世早期,即本区下、中二叠统界线应置于山西组底部泥岩之底;最后,根据孢粉特征恢复了相应地质时期的古气候,继而进一步佐证了本区下、中二叠统界线。     

Slope reliability analysis by updated support vector machine and Monte Carlo simulation

This paper presents a new methodology for slope reliability analysis by integrating the technologies of updated support vector machine (SVM) and Monte Carlo simulation (MCS). MCS is a powerful tool that may be used to solve a broad range of reliability problems and has therefore become widely used in slope reliability analysis. However, MCS often involves a great number of slope stability analysis computations, a process that requires excessive time consumption. The updated SVM is introduced in order to build the relationship between factor of safety and random variables of slope, contributing to reducing a large number of normal computing tasks and enlarging the problem scale and sample size of MCS. In the algorithm of the updated SVM, the particle swarm optimization method is adopted in order to seek the optimal SVM parameters, enhancing the performance of SVM for solving complex problems in slope stability analysis. Finally, the integrating method is applied to a classic slope for addressing the problem of reliability analysis. The results of this study indicate that the new methodology is capable of obtaining positive results that are consistent with the results of classic solutions; therefore, the methodology is proven to be a powerful and effective tool in slope reliability analysis.     

某土石坝心墙料和坝基料动模量阻尼特性的试验研究

土石坝震害将导致严重后果,目前国内外修筑于地震区的土石坝在抗震设计时都进行了动力分析。室内动力试验提供土石料可靠的动强度和动力参数是土石坝地震动力分析准确性的关键。水牛家心墙土石坝坝高100多米,大坝设防烈度9度,采用动三轴仪,对其坝基②层细砂砾料和心墙防渗土料进行大量的动力特性试验研究,分析两种土料的动模量阻尼特性,并简述其影响因素。分析试验结果有：使用一个试样完成三个不同的围压力?3c或固结比Kc,与《土工试验规程》推荐方法相比,大大减小了试验和分析工作量, 且有相当的规律性和准确程度;动模量阻尼比的主要影响因素是动应变幅、围压力、固结主应力比、孔隙比等。动应变水平影响动模量阻尼成倍增减,动模量随围压力?3c增减而增减,阻尼比D随?3c的升高而略有减小,动模量和阻尼比随固结比Kc增减而增减,Kc从1到2可使心墙土料的Edmax增加60％左右;土类不同,模量阻尼也不尽相同。水牛家心墙料的动模量较高,阻尼比较小,不易产生动力破坏。     

振动频率对饱和黏性土动力特性的影响

在回顾加荷频率对土样动力特性影响的研究基础上,采用某土石坝心墙防渗黏性土饱和试样,通过动三轴试验,研究了振动频率f对土样动力特性的影响。动强度试验结果表明：当 0.1～4 Hz时,动强度随f的升高而增大,但f继续升高后,动强度却有下降趋势。当 0.1～1.0 Hz时,频率愈高动孔压比愈大;当 1.0～6.0 Hz时,总的趋势为频率愈高,动孔压比愈小。表明频率较高时,动孔隙水压力来不及上升和扩散。较高频率f持续作用下,试样有吸水现象并伴随动孔压的下降。动模量阻尼试验结果是：f愈低,试样动变形开展愈充分;f愈高,动模量和阻尼比愈大。     

饱和黏性土和砂砾石料振动孔压的试验研究

在国内外主要孔压发展模型的基础上,对某土石坝心墙防渗黏性土和坝基砂砾石料饱和试样进行动三轴试验,提出了两种材料的顾淦臣孔压模型,并对砂砾石料的孔压发展规律作了深入地分析,提出了不同固结比Kc时振动孔压比和振次比的函数关系。试验结果表明,动孔压随振动周数和振动强度的增加而增加,随固结应力比或初始剪应力比的增加而减小;无论等压或偏压固结,黏性土均不会出现动孔压ud等于围压力? 3c的液化现象,其孔压比Ru均小于0.5,多数试样Ru = 0.1~0.4;当等压固结Kc =1.0时,砂砾石料最终孔压值均可达到围压;偏压固结Kc ≥1.5后,试样是否达到Ru= ud /? 3c =1.0取决于动应力? d是否大于主应力差（? 1c－? 3c）,即? d是否形成拉应力,使试件伸长,但当Kc很大后,? 1c和? 3c相差太大,需施加非常大的? d才能使其应力应变反向,试样的大变形先于Ru=1.0的应力状态出现,即不可能达到初始液化;固结比Kc对不同土料动孔压的影响是不同的。     

艾比湖水面近50a变化成因分析

20世纪90年代以来,艾比湖水面面积持续增大,湖区生态环境明显改善,与60、70年代水面面积急剧缩小、湖区生态环境严重恶化形成鲜明对比.针对艾比湖水面面积近50a变化过程,利用入湖径流及有关水文、气象资料,分析河流丰枯变化对入湖径流的影响、农业引水量与降水的关系,研究了艾比湖水面面积近50a变化成因.     

Application of Gaussian Weight to Improve Perturbation Features of Convection-Permitting Ensemble Forecast Based on Local Breeding of Growing Modes

Local breeding of growing modes(LBGM) is a method used to generate initial condition perturbation(ICP) for convection-permitting ensemble forecasts. Equal weights(EWs) are usually presumed in LBGM during the localization of ICP, without considering different contributions of the grid points within the local radius. To address this problem, Gaussian weights(GWs) are proposed in this study, which can accommodate the varied influences of the grids inside the local radius on the central grid through a Gaussian function. Specifically, two convection-permitting ensemble forecast experiments based on LBGM with GWs and EWs are compared and analyzed respectively for two squall line cases. The results showed that the use of the GWs intensified the local characteristics of the ICP and made the distribution of the ICP fields more flow-dependent. Kinetic energy spectrum of the ICP indicated that there could be more large-scale information in the ICP by using the GWs. In addition, mesoscale information also improved slightly. For forecast of nonprecipitation variables, GWs improved the relationship between the root-mean-square error and the spread and contributed to the forecasting accuracy of wind, temperature, geopotential height, and humidity. For the precipitation forecast, GWs simulated the precipitation structure successfully and provided better probability forecasting during the evolution of the two squall line processes than the EWs.     

鄂尔多斯盆地东南部富黄探区延长组长6段物源分析

上三叠统延长组长6段是鄂尔多斯盆地富黄探区主力油层组之一,南部与东北部物源交汇区主控物源不清,通过碎屑组分分析、轻矿物分析、砂岩粒度分析和微量元素地球化学分析等方法对其物源进行了综合研究.研究结果表明,东北部物源区是富黄探区延长组长6段沉积的主物源区;其母岩主要为来自盆地东北缘太古宙及古元古代变质岩,而不存在南部或东部物源体系,并且砂体展布与物源具有很好的对应性.     

应用Kriging方法研究格尔木河流域地下水位动态观测网的优化配置

地下水动态是水文地质研究的一个重要方面，如何获满足一定精度要求全面而合理的地下水位动态资料具有现实经济效益。本文研究格尔木河流域地下水位动态测网，通过选取理想的变差函，运有Ｋｒｉｇｉｎｇ方法进行地下水位的线性无偏最优估计和计算估计误差的标准差，结合给定的允许误差限评判地下水位动态观测网的配置是否合适，并提出调整现有观测网的方案     

地幔热柱及其成矿作用研究

成矿作用研究表明 ,在地球的演化历史中 ,成矿数量有从少到多 ,聚矿能力有由弱到强的演化趋势。中生代为全球规模的成矿大爆发阶段 ,究其原因可能与地球的发展演化密切相关。地球形成的早期 ,由于地球物质尚未充分分异 ,成矿强度不大。当然 ,有部分在地球演化早期形成的矿床 ,在后来的多次构造改造过程中被改造迁移 ,甚至消失。中生代地球进入了一个强烈的地幔热柱活动时期 ,聚集于D”层及外核的成矿物质可通过地幔热柱多级演化向上迁移 ,并在幔枝构造的有利构造扩容带中成矿 ,幔枝构造则成为中生代主要的成矿控矿构造类型