德都地震前湾井水位的四步段映震异常及其预报意义

本文归纳了德都中强地震发生前湾_1井水位动态异变的基本特征,指出湾,井水位的四步段映震异常:骤然陡降—缓慢回升—高位跳动—高位稳定发震。并对短、临异常作了对比分析,探讨四步段映震异常对地震短临预报的重要意义。还就区域应力异常场和灵敏性问题进行了讨论。     

A laboratory study of teleseismic Pn waves

In this paper, the influences of mechanical properties of low velocity layers and thickness of high velocity layers in the lower lithosphere on the horizontal propagaties of seismic waves are discussed by means of altrasonic seismic model experiments; It is shown that the structure of the lower lithosphere consisting of soft low velocity layers and thin high velocity layers is favourable for the horizontal propagation of seismic energy, therefore, it is a very possible structure pattern of the lower lithosphere responsible for Pn and later high velocity arrivals observed in long range distances; Such pattern is also consistent with studies of rheological stratification of the lower lithosphere beneath mid-ocean-ridges and continental rifts. The Chinese version of this paper appeared in the Chinese edition ofActa Seismologica Sinica,15, 97–102, 1993. The project is supported by the Chinese joint Seismological Science Foundation.     

HO x production due to radon decay in air

The HO _x (OH and HO₂) production rate in indoor air caused by radon decay was measured by the chemical amplification technique. The average HO _x production rate was found to be (4.31±0.07)×10⁵ HO _x per Rn decay per second (Bq) within the range of relative humidity from 3.4 to 55.0 percent at 22 °C. This work providedG(HO _x )-value, 7.86±0.13 #/100 eV in air by directly measuring [HO _x ] from radiolysis of water vapor. It is also found that there is no obvious relationship between the HO _x production rate and the relative humidity in this range. Therefore, this work provides both the basic data for the evaluation of radioactive pollution in indoor air as well as a potentially useful way to produce HO _x concentrations in air.     

具有门限的一种非线性随机-动力模式

提出一种附加门限控制的具有非线性反馈作用的随机-动力模式,从而对具有线性反馈的随机-动力气候模式加以改进。从理论上说,这种具有门限的随机气候模式可使气候系统内部反馈机制中的非线性特征更为明显,以便更加客观地模拟和预报短期的气候变化。     

青海湖流域水量平衡要素的估算

本文对青海湖流域水量平衡各要素进行了讨论，并根据现有实测资料和经验公式着重对液域水量平衡起关键作用的流域平等降水，陆面蒸发和地表径流进行了计算。     

努和廷式铀矿床地质特征及其油气水与铀成矿作用探讨

本文应用有机地球化学原理探索油气水与铀矿化的关系，并总结了“努和廷式”铀矿床的地质特征和成矿机理。“努和廷式”铀矿床产于中新生代陆相盆地油气田的顶部或边部，矿床规模巨大。铀矿床形成与油气田中油气水渗漏所造成的地球化学环境及物质参与有关。据此提出“以油找铀”的找矿思路。     

水文水资源系统贝叶斯分析现状与前景

简介了贝叶斯分析的基本原理,综述了它在水文水资源系统中考虑不确定性和风险的特点及其在径流预报、洪水分析与地区综合、水资源规划与管理等问题中的应用,并分析了其发展前景,着重指出将灰色先验分布、模糊似然函数在贝叶斯定理框架中耦合的综合途径.     

PRELIMINARY STUDY OF VARIATION OF SO_2 AND AEROSOL PARTICLE BACKGROUND CONCENTRATIONS IN THE EASTERN CHINA

The average concentrations of sulphur dioxide,sulfate aerosol and TSP were about 8—10 ppb,15.08 μg m~(-3),and241.40 μg m~(-3) respectively,which were measured at the Lin'an regional background station during August—November,1991.The higher concentrations of SO_2 and SO_4~(2-) maybe acidify the rainfall.It has a great influence uponthe human health and ecosystem.The simulated results indicate that the distributions of SO_2 and SO_4~(2-) were deter-mined by local emission sources.Average aerosol particle number density was 2.0×10~4 cm~(-3).It shows that social devel-opment and human activities strongly affect the atmospheric background level.     

海南岛东方震群跟踪分析与预测

东方震群历时２７３天，共发生ＭＬ≥１．０级地震５５７次，最大震级为４．５级。介绍了对该震群跟踪分析与预报的过程和方法，震群各活动阶段的判断以及相应的地震对策依据。