Disentangling and quantifying contributions of distinct forcing factors to the observed global sea level pressure field

Climate Dynamics - Variations of the global sea level pressure (SLP) field reflect atmospheric and oceanic influences and have a profound influence on temperature, precipitation and the global...     

Conceptual model for millennial climate variability: a possible combined solar-thermohaline circulation origin for the ~1,500-year cycle

Dansgaard-Oeschger and Heinrich events are the most pronounced climatic changes over the last 120,000 years. Although many of their properties were derived from climate reconstructions, the associated physical mechanisms are not yet fully understood. These events are paced by a ~1,500-year periodicity whose origin remains unclear. In a conceptual model approach, we show that this millennial variability can originate from rectification of an external (solar) forcing, and suggest that the thermohaline circulation, through a threshold response, could be the rectifier. We argue that internal threshold response of the thermohaline circulation (THC) to solar forcing is more likely to produce the observed DO cycles than amplification of weak direct ~1,500-year forcing of unknown origin, by THC. One consequence of our concept is that the millennial variability is viewed as a derived mode without physical processes on its characteristic time scale. Rather, the mode results from the linear representation in the Fourier space of nonlinearly transformed fundamental modes.     

Documenting and detecting long-term precipitation trends: Where we are and what should be done

A brief review of problems and achievements in documenting precipitation changes during the period of instrumental measurements is presented. Concern is expressed that without appropriate studies in the coming period of a new generation of precipitation measurements, technological progress in instrumentation may adversely and inadvertently affect our capability for monitoring and detecting future changes in terrestrial precipitation. At the same time, only a new generation of instrumentation will be capable of resolving the problems of monitoring precipitation over oceans.Special attention is paid to validation of the increasing trend in terrestrial precipitation observed during the past hundred years at high latitudes of the northern hemisphere - a feature of global warming predicted by most climate models.     

Global river discharge and water temperature under climate change

Climate change will affect hydrologic and thermal regimes of rivers, having a direct impact on freshwater ecosystems and human water use. Here we assess the impact of climate change on global river flows and river water temperatures, and identify regions that might become more critical for freshwater ecosystems and water use sectors. We used a global physically based hydrological-water temperature modelling framework forced with an ensemble of bias-corrected general circulation model (GCM) output for both the SRES A2 and B1 emissions scenario. This resulted in global projections of daily river discharge and water temperature under future climate. Our results show an increase in the seasonality of river discharge (both increase in high flow and decrease in low flow) for about one-third of the global land surface area for 2071–2100 relative to 1971–2000. Global mean and high (95th percentile) river water temperatures are projected to increase on average by 0.8–1.6 (1.0–2.2) °C for the SRES B1–A2 scenario for 2071–2100 relative to 1971–2000. The largest water temperature increases are projected for the United States, Europe, eastern China, and parts of southern Africa and Australia. In these regions, the sensitivities are exacerbated by projected decreases in low flows (resulting in a reduced thermal capacity). For strongly seasonal rivers with highest water temperatures during the low flow period, up to 26% of the increases in high (95th percentile) water temperature can be attributed indirectly to low flow changes, and the largest fraction is attributable directly to increased atmospheric energy input. A combination of large increases in river temperature and decreases in low flows are projected for the southeastern United States, Europe, eastern China, southern Africa and southern Australia. These regions could potentially be affected by increased deterioration of water quality and freshwater habitats, and reduced water available for human uses such as thermoelectric power and drinking water production.     

Mapping the impact of recent climate change on viticultural potential in Romania

Theoretical and Applied Climatology - Climate change affects the viticulture sector worldwide in different ways, some countries reporting negative impacts, other positive effects, depending on the...     

Drainage water temperature as a basis for verifying drainage runoff composition on slopes

Tile drainage water temperatures and discharge rates were measured in five highland watersheds of which most are underlain by acid crystalline rock. One of them, Dehtá?e in the Bohemo‐Moravian highland (Czech Republic), was studied in greater detail. The aim was to evaluate water temperature monitoring as a means of determining the source and pathway of drainage runoff during high‐flow events. Rapid increase in drainage discharge was accompanied by rapid change in water temperature. In winter, the rising limb of the hydrograph was accompanied by a decrease in temperature, and the falling limb was associated with a corresponding temperature increase. In summer, the trends were reversed. These data suggest that the water temperature changes are caused by the fastest component of drainage runoff, water from a precipitation event or snowmelt, which can be separated from the remainder of the hydrograph. Measurements of hydraulic conductivity, soil moisture content, soil temperature, and groundwater table level indicate that the major portion of the event water causing this effect infiltrates in the watershed recharge zone where soils are permeable, enters the weathered bedrock, flows preferentially and rapidly down the slope along disjoint fissures in the bedrock, finally emerging as ascending springs, and is, for the most part, intercepted by the tile drainage systems. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

FFT-based high-performance spherical harmonic transformation

Spherical harmonic transformation is of practical interest in geodesy for transformation of globally distributed quantities such as gravity between space and frequency domains. The increasing spatial resolution of the latest and forthcoming gravitational models pose true computational challenges for classical algorithms since serious numerical instabilities arise during the computation of the respective base functions of the spherical harmonic expansion. A possible solution is the evaluation of the associated Legendre functions in the Fourier domain where numerical instabilities can be circumvented by an independent frequency-wise scaling of numerical coefficients into a numerically suitable double precision range. It is then rather straightforward to commit global fast data transformation into the Fourier domain and to evaluate subsequently spherical harmonic coefficients. For the inverse, the computation of respective Fourier coefficients from a given spherical harmonic model is performed as an inverse Fast Fourier Transform into globally distributed data points. The two-step formulation turns out to be stable even for very high resolutions as well as efficient when using state-of-the-art shared memory/multi-core architectures. In principle, any functional of the geopotential can be computed in this way. To give an example for the overall performance of the algorithm, we transformed an equiangular 1 arcmin grid of terrain elevation data corresponding to spherical harmonic degree and order 10800.     

New results on the properties of recent crustal movements in the Bohemian Massif and its boundary with the West Carpathians

Preliminary analysis of the new results of repeated levellings within the territory of the Bohemian Massif and its border with the Carpathians is made, and the correlation between horizontal gradients of vertical movements and main fault zones discussed. The results indicated the continuance of the main movement's tendencies, determined by the foregoing measurements. Also discussed are the vertical and horizontal crustal movements between the Bohemian Massif and the Carpathians. The active zones are connected with the main fault systems, and the horizontal movements indicated the spreading tendencies between both geological structures. These results are in accord with the tendencies of horizontal movements in the Soviet Carpathians.     

Vegetation and climate history in the Laptev Sea region (Arctic Siberia) during Late Quaternary inferred from pollen records

Paleoenvironmental records from a number of permafrost sections and lacustrine cores from the Laptev Sea region dated by several methods (¹⁴C-AMS, TL, IRSL, OSL and ²³⁰Th/U) were analyzed for pollen and palynomorphs. The records reveal the environmental history for the last ca 200 kyr. For interglacial pollen spectra, quantitative temperature values were estimated using the best modern analogue method. Sparse grass-sedge vegetation indicating arctic desert environmental conditions existed prior to 200 kyr ago. Dense, wet grass-sedge tundra habitats dominated during an interstadial ca 200–190 kyr ago, reflecting warmer and wetter summers than before. Sparser vegetation communities point to much more severe stadial conditions ca 190–130 kyr ago. Open grass and Artemisia communities with shrub stands (Alnus fruticosa, Salix, Betula nana) in more protected and moister places characterized the beginning of the Last Interglacial indicate climate conditions similar to present. Shrub tundra (Alnus fruticosa and Betula nana) dominated during the middle Eemian climatic optimum, when summer temperatures were 4–5 °C higher than today. Early-Weichselian sparse grass-sedge dominated vegetation indicates climate conditions colder and dryer than in the previous interval. Middle Weichselian Interstadial records indicate moister and warmer climate conditions, for example, in the interval 40–32 kyr BP Salix was present within dense, grass-sedge dominated vegetation. Sedge-grass-Artemisia-communities indicate that climate became cooler and drier after 30 kyr BP, and cold, dry conditions characterized the Late Weichselian, ca 26–16 kyr BP, when grass-dominated communities with Caryophyllaceae, Asteraceae, Cichoriaceae, Selaginella rupestris were present. From 16 to 12 kyr BP, grass-sedge communities with Caryophyllaceae, Asteraceae, and Cichoriaceae indicate climate was significantly warmer and moister than during the previous interval. The presence of Salix and Betula reflect temperatures about 4 °C higher than present at about 12–11 kyr BP, during the Allerød interval, but shrubs were absent in the Younger Dryas interval, pointing to a deterioration of climate conditions. Alnus fruticosa, Betula nana, Poaceae, and Cyperaceae dominate early Holocene spectra. Reconstructed absolute temperature values were substantially warmer than present (up to 12 °C). Shrubs gradually disappeared from coastal areas after 7.6 kyr BP when vegetation cover became similar to modern. A comparison of proxy-based paleoenvironmental reconstructions with the simulations performed by an Earth system model of intermediate complexity (CLIMBER-2) show good accordance between the regional paleodata and model simulations, especially for the warmer intervals.     

Mineralogical and geochemical evidence for multi-stage origin of mineral veins hosted by teschenites at Tichá, Outer Western Carpathians,Czech Republic

Numerous mineral veins are hosted in a body of teschenite which is situated within the Lower Cretaceous flysch siliciclastics of the Silesian Unit at Tichá. Mineralogy, fluid inclusions, stable isotopes and trace elements have been studied in order to assess the origin of this mineralization. Three stages of vein cementation have been recognized, each of them being characterized by distinct mineral composition and genetic conditions. The first stage is composed of titanite, aegirine-augite to aegirine, annite, analcime and strontian apatite. These minerals originated from NaCl-rich, CaCl₂-poor magmatic brine (total fluid salinities range between 47 and 57 wt%), leaving after crystallization of host teschenite in low-pressure (<1 kbar) environment. Crystallization temperatures reached ～390–510 °C for early phases, titanite and aegirine-augite. The second stage is formed by calcite, chlorite, dolomite, siderite, strontianite, quartz, pyrite and sphalerite. The parent fluids were low-salinity (0.5–4.5 wt% NaCl eq.) aqueous solutions with low content of strong REE-complexing ligands, that were progressively cooled during mineral precipitation (up to ～190 °C at the beginning, ～90 °C at the end of crystallization). These fluids are interpreted to be predominantly of external origin, derived from surrounding sedimentary sequences during diagenetic dewatering of clay minerals. The highly positive δ¹⁸O and near-zero δ¹³C values indicate an interaction of fluids with sedimentary carbonates. The third stage is formed by a dense net of calcite veinlets, which probably originated during tectonic deformations connected with orogenetic movements during the Tertiary. The source of strontium for first stage mineralization was probably related to the special conditions of magmatic evolution of the host teschenite, whereas strontium for second stage minerals could have been remobilized during hydrothermal alteration from earlier teschenite-hosted mineral phases and/or limestone.