辽河油田地下水资源管理决策支持系统的设计

针对辽河油田地区地下水开采引起的降落漏斗形成及扩展、咸水入侵与水质污染等问题,已开展了大量研究。提出利用VB编程软件、MO组件在ArcView GIS和Access数据库的基础上建立一个集数据库管理、水质评价、水位和水量预测、空间分析等功能于一体的地下水资源管理决策支持系统的总体开发思路。该系统将信息管理与决策支持有效融合,在运用GIS功能的同时,嵌入专业模型,实现人机交互、信息共享。     

全球尺度水文模型： 机遇、 挑战与展望

水循环发生在全球尺度, 局地和流域水问题的解决也往往需要全球视角, 因此全球尺度水文模型应运而生。从科学意义和国家需求等多个视角, 论述了全球水文学研究的意义和巨大的发展潜力, 系统总结了现有全球尺度水文模型发展现状, 剖析了十余个主流全球尺度水文模型的结构和功能, 以及全球水文-气象-地理信息等全球模型所需数据集。进而分析了现有全球尺度水文模型存在的主要问题和挑战, 为进一步完善模型提供参考。最终分别从模型机理、 大数据、 新技术、 多部门模型耦合等几个方面, 探讨了全球尺度水文模型未来发展的重要方向。     

十万山盆地演化过程中的油气资源效应

十万山盆地位于广西西南部，大地构造位置属于华南板块的西北缘，是在华南板块与杨子板块拼接的加里东运动之后，早古生代华南洋再一次打开形成被动大陆边缘。晚二叠世末，该地区变成孤后盆地，进一步转化成前陆盆地。在盆山转换过程中，经历了三次沉积－构造盆山转换过程：泥盆纪－二早叠世分地新生与被动大陆边缘拉张裂谷；晚二叠世与中三叠世间盆地构造性质转换与前陆盆地；晚三叠世至侏罗纪的晚期前陆磨拉石沉积。在碎屑岩陆架沉积阶段，生成碎屑岩烃源岩层。在碳酸盐台地沉阶段，发育硝屑灰岩、藻灰岩、礁灰岩和暴露作用生成的白云岩储集岩。因而其早期被动大陆边缘阶段构了古生新储组合。前陆盆地早期在前渊盆地内沉积了一套碎屑岩烃源岩。它与早期的储集层构成了新生古储组合。同时也对下伏地层起到了封闭作用。沉积地层逐层向克拉通斜坡上超覆，发育地层圈闭。前渊阶段中期快速沉积的巨厚的复理石沉积和晚期快速沉积形成的磨拉石沉积有利于早期沉积的迅速埋藏、成熟和保存。     

广西某铅锌矿区水文地质及地下水重金属污染途径分析

文章在对广西某铅锌矿矿区水文地质条件分析的基础上,采用连通试验对地下水动态特征及其影响因素进行分析评价。实验结果表明,矿山区域地下水流经地下巷道携带大量重金属离子由废旧矿洞口排出地表,地表水流经地表废旧矿渣堆场携带大量污染物和矿洞水汇成溪沟,然后以地表径流方式污染长屯的土壤和水系,最终由长屯南伏流入口汇入洞零水库。尾矿库区域地下水通过地下岩溶管道和溶蚀裂隙向长屯洼地径流,经长屯南伏流入口,汇入洞零水库。     

过去2000年气候变化对中国经济与社会发展影响研究综述

It is one of the important focuses of the Past Global Changes (PAGES) to investigate the long-term impacts of climate change on regional social and economic development over the past two millenniums. The past decades in China have witnessed great progresses in the study of past climatic influence on human society. In this paper, reviews have been made on the latest proceedings related with researches about the past 2000-year climatic impacts on Chinese history in terms of the following three aspects: economic fluctuations, social stability, and the rise and fall of dynasties in China. It is concluded that climate change and socio-economic fluctuation in historical China really temporarily demonstrated a good coincidence, which indicates a potential driving-response mechanism was likely embedded in the complicated relationship between climate change and human society. A warm climate provided relatively stable conditions of agricultural production and thus generally played a positive role in the healthy development of the economy and society. On the contrary, socio-economic adverseness triggered by a colder climate was preconditioned with social problems such as the intensification of the contradiction between people and land, as well as the gradual accumulation of social rigidity. These social problems accompanying with social development contributed higher vulnerability of society in the face of changing climate, which to some extent might amplify the effects of climatic deterioration. The authors emphasize that the future studies of the relationship between past climate change and human history in China should attach more attention to the following key problems: making deeper exploitation of the potential of Chinese historical documents, exploring the mechanism of climate-society interaction, and studying the differences of climatic effects on socio-economic development at the regional scale. This study from a historical perspective might enhance the understanding of human-environment relationship under a situation of global warming, and also provide the scientific basis for the sustainable social development in China.     

非传统稳定同位素分析技术要点

高精度高质量的同位素分析技术是开展非传统稳定同位素地球化学工作的前提。同位素分析是不断提取样品真实信息的过程,包括样品制备、化学分离、质谱测定和数据处理4个基本步骤。在同位素分析过程中,每一环节都有可能引入空白或者污染,或造成同位素分馏,引发信息“失真”。为了准确获得样品的真实同位素组成,必须有效避免污染并精准校正在分析过程中可能的干扰。以Ca同位素为例,在总结前人工作的基础上,探讨了各个步骤所涉及的分析要点,为建立其他同位素体系的分析方法提供参考,为后续储库探讨、机理解析及应用研究提供技术支撑。     

人体乳腺矿化集合体类型与临床相关性分析

选取123例乳腺病理性矿化样品,利用光镜、扫描电镜对乳腺矿化进行了微形貌分类研究,并利用统计学方法探讨了乳腺矿化集合体类型与患者年龄、乳腺病变类型和癌变阶段的相关性。研究发现,根据乳腺矿化在光学显微镜下的可分辨形态,将其分为两种类型:粒状集合体与块状集合体;其中粒状集合体为小于200μm的规则粒状钙化,少部分有环带结构,和有机组织结合紧密;而块状集合体则为大于200μm的片状钙化,形状不规则。统计分析数据显示,随年龄增加,块状集合体出现病理比例增加,粒状集合体出现病理比例减少,敏感年龄分区界限为50岁;粒状集合体在50岁以上和50岁以下患者中单独出现的概率分别为24%和53%;块状集合体在乳腺原位癌(71. 4%)患者中占主导,粒状集合体在乳腺纤维腺瘤(64. 5%)患者中占主导。该研究可为未来乳腺癌的诊断提供基于乳腺矿化精细矿物学特征的辅助新方法。     

Changing climate affects vegetation growth in the arid region of the northwestern China

The northwestern China is a typical dry-land region of Inner Asia, where significant climate change has been observed over the past several decades. How the regional vegetation, particularly the grassland-oasis-desert complex, responds to such climatic change is poorly understood. To address this question, we investigated spatio-temporal changes in vegetation growth and their responses to a changing climate by biome and bioregion, using satellite-sensed Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) data from 1982 to 2003, along with corresponding climate data. Over the past 22 years, about 30% of the total vegetated area showed an annual increase of 0.7% in growing season NDVI. This trend occurred in all biomes and all bioregions except Sawuer, a subregion of the study area with no significant climate change. Further analyses indicated that NDVI change was highly correlated with the current precipitation and evapotranspiration in growing season but was not associated with temperature. We also found that NDVI was positively correlated with the preceding winter precipitation. These findings suggest that precipitation may be the key cause of vegetation growth in this area, even for mountain forests and grasslands, whose growth are often regarded to be limited by low temperate in winter and early spring.     

郯庐断裂带肥东北部文集地区构造岩类型与构造变形分析

位于郯庐断裂带中南部的肥东地区是郯庐断裂带内韧性剪切带出露的主体区域之一。本文从肥东北部文集地区的构造岩组成及其变形入手,通过详细的野外观测、室内显微构造变形分析来确定该地区构造变形的几何学形态及其涡度、有限应变、分维度、差异应力、应变速率等参数。研究区主要出露角闪岩相肥东变质杂岩,构造岩以糜棱岩和糜棱岩化片麻岩为主,岩石变形强烈。根据极摩尔圆法得到的运动学涡度值为0.729~0.870,指示区域内的韧性剪切活动以简单剪切为主。几何学形态上,肥东北部文集地区构造整体呈一背形展出,其枢纽走向NE-SW,轴面倾向SE,物质及变形强度等方面均表现出一定的规律和对称性。研究区内动态重结晶石英颗粒边界具有统计学上的自相似性,其分维值D在1.143~1.208之间,且自背形核部向两翼,颗粒粒径增大,分维值减小。差异应力Δσ介于17.86~55.18MPa之间,应变速率ε值在1.960×10^-13~7.330×10^-12s^-1之间,且背形核部差异应力和应变速率较两翼大,呈近似对称性分布。通过对比以上构造参数可以发现,区内差异应力和应变速率表现出一定的正相关性,自核部向两翼二者均呈减小趋势;动态重结晶石英颗粒则与应变速率呈负相关性,即核部颗粒细小、两翼增大。本文从几何学、运动学以及显微构造变形分析等方面对该区构造变形展开精细化研究,借此来分析肥东北部地区郯庐断裂带的构造形态和运动学特征,这对进一步认识郯庐断裂带的演化过程及构造模型的建立有着重要的意义。     

大孔隙对径流过程影响的研究进展

大孔隙流是土壤优先流的一种,在植被发育区土壤大孔隙比较常见,对径流形成过程产生重要的影响。介绍了大孔隙流的研究方法,系统总结了近50年植被发育区土壤大孔隙对降雨入渗过程及径流形成过程的影响:从水分入渗的角度,大孔隙可以加快降雨入渗过程;由土壤大孔隙流与山坡产流的关系,大孔隙促进了边坡雨水的运动进而引起了快速产流;世界范围内的研究都表明土壤管流或大孔隙流是径流组分重要贡献者。