黑河流域农业节水协调可持续发展研究

构建了黑河流域农业节水协调可持续发展指标体系、协调度和协调发展度模型,采用熵值法确定指标权重,分析了该流域2004—2009年社会经济与农业节水协调可持续发展水平。结果表明：（1）社会经济与农业节水技术水平综合指数呈上升趋势,农业水资源开发利用程度综合指数呈下降趋势;（2）农业节水可持续发展水平呈波动发展趋势,整体发展水平较低,属于传统落后发展阶段,2006年和2009年最高,为0.43,2005年最低,均为0.34;（3）社会经济与农业节水协调发展2004年和2006年不协调,2005年不太协调,2007—2009年达到基本协调,但仍有较大潜力可挖。     

沙漠化遥感监测与定量评价研究综述

土地沙漠化是当今世界最为严重的环境-社会-经济问题之一,遥感技术以其宏观性、综合性、获取信息量大、时间周期短等优势,已成为沙漠化监测与定量评价的重要数据来源和技术手段。本文阐述了国内外运用遥感技术监测与评价沙漠化研究进展,归纳总结了几种常用的定量指标（FVC/NPP、RUE、Albedo、LST、土壤湿度等）和沙漠化信息定量提取方法（专题指数提取法、ANN、混合像元分析法、决策树分类法等）。分析指出目前沙漠化遥感监测与评价指标体系不完善、尺度效应以及沙漠化信息提取方法方面的研究不足,并提出开展沙漠化多指标、多尺度综合监测与评价研究是未来的发展趋势之一。     

欧亚大气环流对中国北方夏季沙尘天气的影响

根据1960-2010年全国701个地面站沙尘天气观测资料分析了中国夏季沙尘天气的空间分布和年际变化,发现南疆和内蒙古两个沙尘源区的夏季沙尘指数51年来均呈现出减小的趋势。通过分析夏季沙尘指数典型高、低值年环流场发现：500 hPa高度场上强烈发展的高原-贝加尔湖平均脊和减弱的东亚大槽,减少了高空低值系统对南疆和内蒙古中西部地区的影响,地面场上“北负南正”的变压场分布使得两个地区西风和西北风减小,最终导致夏季南疆和内蒙古地区沙尘天气减少。沙尘指数高值年时影响两个地区天气系统的差异在于：影响南疆地区的天气系统主要是高空的西路冷空气和地面场上发展的南疆热低压,而影响内蒙古地区的则是北路和偏北路冷空气以及地面场上强烈发展的蒙古-内蒙古热低压。     

Effects of freshwater runoff on a tropical pacific climate in the HadGEM2

This paper investigates the effects of river discharge on simulated climatology from 1979 to 1988 using the Hadley Centre Global Environmental Model version 2. Two experiments are performed with and without the inclusion of Total Runoff Integrating Pathways. The results show that the inclusion of flow routing can lead to the decrease of salinity over the coastal region due to freshwater. This reduction results in a shallower mixed layer depth, which in turn leads to the weakening of trade winds and a decrease in vertical mixing in the ocean. The enhanced sensible and latent heat fluxes over warmed SST improve the simulated precipitation and thermodynamic circulation. As a result, the experiment with flow routing is capable of improving the large-scale climate feature with an increase in precipitation over the eastern tropical equatorial Pacific region.     

Bayesian regression model for seasonal forecast of precipitation over Korea

In this paper, we apply three different Bayesian methods to the seasonal forecasting of the precipitation in a region around Korea (32.5°N?C42.5°N, 122.5°E-132.5°E). We focus on the precipitation of summer season (June?CJuly?CAugust; JJA) for the period of 1979?C2007 using the precipitation produced by the Global Data Assimilation and Prediction System (GDAPS) as predictors. Through cross-validation, we demonstrate improvement for seasonal forecast of precipitation in terms of root mean squared error (RMSE) and linear error in probability space score (LEPS). The proposed methods yield RMSE of 1.09 and LEPS of 0.31 between the predicted and observed precipitations, while the prediction using GDAPS output only produces RMSE of 1.20 and LEPS of 0.33 for CPC Merged Analyzed Precipitation (CMAP) data. For station-measured precipitation data, the RMSE and LEPS of the proposed Bayesian methods are 0.53 and 0.29, while GDAPS output is 0.66 and 0.33, respectively. The methods seem to capture the spatial pattern of the observed precipitation. The Bayesian paradigm incorporates the model uncertainty as an integral part of modeling in a natural way. We provide a probabilistic forecast integrating model uncertainty.     

印度洋赤道潜流年际变化特征及其与印度洋偶极子的联系

印度洋赤道潜流(equatorial undercurrent,EUC)是赤道流系的重要组成部分,对印度洋物质输运和能量交换有着重要意义.基于SODA 3.4.2海洋再分析数据,对印度洋EUC的三维空间结构和年际变化特征进行分析,并揭示其年际变率与印度洋偶极子(Indian Ocean dipole,IOD)的联系.结...     

Wet deposition of precipitation chemistry during 2005–2009 at a remote site (Nam Co Station) in central Tibetan Plateau

Chemical compositions of precipitation samples collected from a remote and high elevation site (Nam Co Station, 30°46.44??N, 90°59.31??E, 4730?m?a.s.l.) in central Tibetan Plateau (TP, hereafter) from August 2005 to August 2009 are investigated. During the study period, Ca²⁺ and HCO ₃ ^- have the highest concentrations among ions and are the dominant cation and anion in precipitation, taking 27.46?% and 30.84?% to the total ions respectively. Empirical Orthogonal Functions (EOFs) analyses reveal that crustal aerosol inputs significantly contributed to the loading of Ca²⁺, Mg²⁺, SO ₄ ^2- and HCO ₃ ^- in precipitation, while lake salt plays a major source of K⁺ and Cl^-. Seasonal variations of ionic wet deposition fluxes show high values during monsoon seasons due to large precipitation amount. Among the cations, annual Ca²⁺ flux is the largest (86.26?eq hm^?2), Na⁺ and NH ₄ ⁺ fluxes are following. Among anions, HCO ₃ ^- has the highest flux (98.66?eq hm^?2) while that of NO ₃ ^- is the lowest. Annual wet deposition of nitrogen has varied considerably with the average value of 0.70?kg?ha^?1 a^?1 at Nam Co Station. About 80?% of total nitrogen flux occurs during the monsoon seasons when precipitation is concentrated, in which NH ₄ ⁺ and NO ₃ ^- contributed to 61?% and 39?% of the total nitrogen deposition. Thus, our ionic concentrations and wet deposition fluxes in precipitation can provide a useful dataset to assess atmospheric environment and its impacts on ecosystem in the inland TP.     

利用后向散射特性从高分辨率SAR影像中提取建筑物高度

研究了一种基于雷达后向散射特性,从单张星载高分辨率SAR影像提取建筑物高度的方法。该方法通过检测建筑物二次散射强度,同时获取目标方位角、入射角等参数以及相关介质特性等信息,根据后向散射几何光学模型估算建筑物高度。实验验证了对于相当一部分典型建筑物都能够获得较为理想的高程估计值,进而证明了该方法提取建筑物高度的可行性和有效性。     

Trace Elements in Olivines from the Giant Jinchuan Ni-Cu-(PGE) Deposit,NW China,and Its Geological Implication

The giant Jinchuan magmatic sulfide deposit in China is the third largest mining deposits in the world. Although many research have been done, there still exist some debates in the genesis of deposit. This study using the LA-IC-MS to obtain the trace elements concentrations of the olivine in order to discuss the mechanism of influence the element variability and illustrate the process of magmatism and ore-forming. The analytical results show that Ni, Co correlate negatively with Fo in the olivine, Mn/Fe is positively correlate with Fo, while Mn/Zn and Zn/Fe show no obvious correlation with Fo. The primitive mantle olivine-normalized trace element patterns of the Jinchuan olivine show that Jinchuan Ⅰ, Ⅱ intrusions have the same trace elements characteristics, which display negative Cr, V, Ni, Co and Ti anomalies and enrichment of Zr, Y, Ti, Sc and Ca. The multi-element patterns of the Jinchuan olivine imply same parental magma in the intrusion Ⅰ and Ⅱ. The spinel which cocrystallization with the olivine make it display negative Cr, V and Ti anomalies. The contents of Ni and Co in olivine are influenced by the process of sulfide segregation and the reaction between sulfide and olivine. The lower content of Cr and V in olivine of the intrusion Ⅱ compared with the intrusion Ⅰ imply that the parental magma of the intrusion Ⅱ was more evolved. Higher Mn/Zn (>13) ratios and lower Zn/Fe (<11) ratios indicate that the magma of Jinchuan intrusion likely originate from partial melting of peridotite mantle possibly, instead of pyroxene mantle sources.     

ArcIMS原理分析及应用开发

介绍了ArcIMS的特点、体系结构及其AreIMS(Html viewer)的实现原理和GIS基本功能操作的程序实现,探讨了ArcIMS客户端与服务端交互的过程,分析了ArcXML响应请求的机制。最后结合浙江省水雨情发布系统的开发实例阐述了ArcIMS的开发方法及实现过程。