等幅疲劳三参数P—S—N曲线族最优拟合法

对于给定的等幅疲劳成组试验数据 ,利用三参数幂函数方程来描述P -S -N等幅曲线。通过线性拟合相关系数的最优化来确定其中三个系数 ,采用割线法进行最优化求解。该方法具有迭代收敛快、拟合精度高的特点     

Sea-surface acoustic backscattering measurement at 6–25 kHz in the Yellow Sea

Sea-surface acoustic backscattering measurements at moderate to high frequencies were performed in the shallow water of the south Yellow Sea, using omnidirectional spherical sources and omnidirectional hydrophones. Sea-surface backscattering data for frequencies in the 6–25 k Hz range and wind speeds of(3.0±0.5)and(4.5±1.0) m/s were obtained from two adjacent experimental sites, respectively. Computation of sea-surface backscattering strength using bistatic transducer is described. Finally, we calculated sea-surface backscattering strengths at grazing angles in the range of 16°–85°. We find that the measured backscattering strengths agree reasonably well with those predicted by using second order small-roughness perturbation approximation method with "PM" roughness spectrum for all frequencies at grazing angles ranged from 40° to 80°. The backscattering strengths varied slightly at grazing angles of 16°–40°, and were much stronger than roughness scattering. It is speculated that scattering from bubbles dominates the backscattering strengths at high wind speeds and small grazing angles. At the same frequencies and moderate to high grazing angles, the results show that the backscattering strengths at a wind speed of(4.5±1.0) m/s were approximately 5 d B higher than those at a wind speed of(3.0±0.5) m/s. However, the discrepancies of backscattering strength at low grazing angles were more than 10 d B. Furthermore the backscattering strengths exhibited no significant frequency dependence at 3 m/s wind speed. At a wind speed of 4.5 m/s, the scattering strengths increased at low grazing angles but decreased at high grazing angles with increasing grazing angle.     

Non-linear tearing structures in equilibrium current sheet

A family of exact analytic solutions of the time-independent Vlasov-Maxwell equations is presented. The solutions describe two-dimensional equilibrium current sheet with magnetic field structures resembling that produced by the tearing instability. In particular, the solutions presented here do not restrict the field in the magnetic island to small magnitude. It is shown that as the scale length of the magnetic island increases, the thickness of the current sheet increases while the average current and the average magnetic energy decrease. The tearing structures described by the solutions may exist in the magnetotail current sheet, the magnetopause current layer and the field-aligned auroral sheet current.     

PRECIS模式对宁夏气候变化情景的模拟分析*

使用英国Hadley气候中心区域气候模式PRECIS,分析了B2温室气体排放情景下,相对于气候基准时段1961~1990年宁夏2071~2100年(2080s)地面气温、降水量等的变化。结果表明:PRECIS模式能够很好地模拟宁夏气温的分布特征,对夏季最高气温的模拟效果好于冬季最低气温;较好地模拟出了宁夏降水南多北少的空间差异特征,且对夏季降水的模拟能力明显强于年均降水和冬季降水。相对于气候基准时段, 在B2情景下,2080s宁夏年平均、冬季和夏季平均气温均明显上升,宁夏北部和南部的部分地区气温上升幅度最大,夏季平均气温和最高气温上升幅度大于冬季平均气温和最低气温;未来宁夏年、冬季和夏季平均降水较基准时段均有所增加,但降水随年代际却呈减少趋势,由于气温和降水的气候变率加大,2080s宁夏出现高温、干旱、洪涝等异常天气事件的可能性增大。     

上海地震台阵标定结果研究

本文阐述了地震台阵标定理论和上海地震台阵的标定方法，并对上海台阵标定结果进行了分析：给出2个典型地震的台阵标定结果；对日本北海道地区和本州地区的地震标定差别进行了研究；研究了不同方向、不同震中距和不同震级的地震标定结果。讨论结果表明，上海地震台阵标定显著提高了定位的精度。     

Evolution of an accretionary complex along the north arm of the Island of Sulawesi, Indonesia

Abstract Seismic reflections across the accretionary prism of the North Sulawesi provide excellent images of the various structural domains landward of the frontal thrust. The structural domain in the accretionary prism area of the North Sulawesi Trench can be divided into four zones: (i) trench area; (ii) Zone A; (iii) Zone B; and (iv) Zone C. Zone A is an active imbrication zone where a decollement is well imaged. Zone B is dominated by out‐of‐sequence thrusts and small slope basins. Zone C is structurally high in the forearc basin, overlain by a thick sedimentary sequence. The subducted and accreted sedimentary packages are separated by the decollement. Topography of the oceanic basement is rough, both in the basin and beneath the wedge. The accretionary prism along the North Sulawesi Trench grew because of the collision between eastern Sulawesi and the Bangai–Sula microcontinent along the Sorong Fault in the middle Miocene. This collision produced a large rotation of the north arm of Sulawesi Island. Rotation and northward movement of the north arm of Sulawesi may have resulted in southward subduction and development of the accretionary wedge along North Sulawesi. Lateral variations are wider in the western areas relative to the eastern areas. This is due to greater convergence rates in the western area: 5 km/My for the west and 1.5 km/My for the east. An accretionary prism model indicates that the initiation of growth of the accretionary prism in the North Sulawesi Trench occurred approximately 5 Ma. A comparison between the North Sulawesi accretionary prism and the Nankai accretionary prism of Japan reveals similar internal structures, suggesting similar mechanical processes and structural evolution.     

基于ArcGIS Engine的开采沉陷预计系统

开采沉陷是一种复杂的三维动态过程,涉及的资料信息复杂繁多,使得信息处理和空间综合分析十分复杂。研究基于ArcGIS Engine的开采沉陷预计的模型能够实现矿区数据信息的地理空间可视化和沉陷预计分析显示,及时掌握开采沉陷预计的规律和发展趋势,从各评价指标的细节层次和总体两方面评价此矿区的开采状况,为煤矿各相关部门和领导制定更好的发展决策提供支持。     

线性模型的泛最小二乘法

本文首先针对线性模型提出了泛最小二乘法,在设计矩阵不加限制的情形下,得到了参数的泛最小二乘估计量。该方法既发扬了最小二乘法的优点,又克服了它的一些不足,它包含了常见的岭估计和最小二乘估计法;其次讨论了泛最小二乘法的理论依据;接着研究了泛最小二乘估计量的一些统计性质,并与最小二乘估计进行比较,在一定意义上前者优于后者;然后讨论了平衡参数的选取问题;最后,给出一个应用,说明了泛最小二乘法的有效性和可行性。     

渤海氮磷营养盐和叶绿素浓度时空分布数值模拟与富营养化评估

当前渤海富营养化风险仍居高不下,严重制约了环渤海社会经济可持续发展。开展近海富营养化评估与趋势分析是国家生态安全保障的需求, 其难点在于富营养化评价要素长期演变进程高质量数据的获取。基于HAMSOM海洋生态模型, 通过修正溶解有机氮(dissolved organic nitrogen, DON)的难/易降解组分降解动力学形式, 构建了适用于富营养化评估与趋势分析的渤海三维水动力/生物地球化学耦合模型。利用2019年渤海春、夏、秋、冬四个季节DON、溶解无机氮(dissolved inorganic nitrogen, DIN)、溶解无机磷(dissolved inorganicphosphorus, DIP)和叶绿素a(chlorophyll a, chl a)调查结果, 对模型进行了校正, 并利用1980年至2020年的长期调查结果进行了验证, 模拟结果与调查结果相比较, 在数值大小和变化趋势上均吻合较好, 相对标准偏差、相似性系数和Kappa系数分别为24%、0.77和0.60。利用模型模拟计算的DIN、DIP、DON和chl a长期演变进程数据, 计算了营养状态质量指数(nutritional quality index, NQI)。结果表明, 当前渤海富营养化状态整体上处于贫营养状态, 但在渤海湾、辽东湾和莱州湾湾底近岸海域处于富营养状态, 季节上5~10月份处于中等富营养化状态, 从长期变化趋势看, 渤海整体上富营养化状态趋于改善。与复合富营养化指数(compound eutrophication index, CEI)对比表明, 渤海富营养化评估按NQI计算结果与按CEI计算结果相当吻合, 相似性系数为0.83。文章建立的渤海富营养化评估方法具有较高可靠性, 可用于渤海富营养化评估。     

大采高碎裂煤巷软弱围岩控制优化研究

为解决谢桥煤矿1232(3)工作面回风巷道围岩控制的技术难题与经济合理性问题,运用正交实验方法,以巷道两帮与顶底板收敛量为指标,对不同因素不同水平的正交实验数据进行极差分析,得出锚杆直径与间排距为影响回风巷道围岩控制效果的主要敏感因素。同时,选定技术与经济指标,通过分析各关键因素对围岩控制效果的影响情况得出2组局部优化方案,并借助灰色关联分析方法对不同方案进行综合分析和决策,得出最终优化方案。现场实际应用表明,支护参数优化后巷道围岩变形得到有效控制,技术经济效益显著。