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72.
利用新疆2012年11月1日至2013年10月31日的地面2米温度和10米风场资料,对应用改进后的新疆快速更新循环数值预报同化系统(XJ-RUC)的预报效果进行检验。结果表明:XJ-RUC系统对地面2米温度和10米风场的预报均方根误差和偏差随起报时次和预报时效的不同存在差异,在温度预报方面存在“低温偏高,高温偏低”的趋势,夏、秋、冬三季对18UTC预报最好,春季则对00UTC的预报接近实况;10米风场的预报偏差在冬季随时效推进逐渐增大,春、夏、秋三季则在06UTC出现1.0m/s左右的风速偏差极小值。不论是温度还是风速预报,均在冬季效果最差。 相似文献
73.
In this paper, function characteristics of dispersion of ocean wave in finite depth water were analyzed systematically. The functional form of the fitting function is reasonably proposed, in which the parameters are optimally determined by the least square method (LSM). For infinitely deep and extremely shallow water,the fitting function fits strictly the dispersion to be fitted. A new technique is presented in application of LSM.An empirical formula with maximum error of less than 0.5% for computing wavelength in finite depth water is presented for practical applications. 相似文献
74.
An increasing impervious area is quickly extending over the Wu‐Tu watershed due to the endless demands of the people. Generally, impervious paving is a major result of urbanization and more recently has had the potential to produce more enormous flood disasters than those of the past. In this study, 40 available rainfall–runoff events were chosen to calibrate the applicable parameters of the models and to determine the relationships between the impervious surfaces and the calibrated parameters. Model inputs came from the outcomes of the block kriging method and the non‐linear programming method. In the optimal process, the shuffled complex evolution method and three criteria were applied to compare the observed and simulated hydrographs. The tendencies of the variations of the parameters with their corresponding imperviousness were established through regression analysis. Ten cases were used to examine the established equations of the parameters and impervious covers. Finally, the design flood routines of various return periods were furnished through use of approaches containing a design storm, block kriging, the SCS model, and a rainfall‐runoff model with established functional relationships. These simulated flood hydrographs were used to compare and understand the past, present, and future hydrological conditions of the watershed studied. In the research results, the time to peak of flood hydrographs for various storms was diminished approximately from 11 h to 6 h in different decrements, whereas peak flow increased respectively from 127 m3 s?1 to 629 m3 s?1 for different storm intensities. In addition, this study provides a design diagram for the peak flow ratio to help engineers and designers to construct hydraulic structures efficiently and prevent possible damage to human life and property. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
75.
On October 24, 1991, a white-light flare was observed both from space and from the ground. A multi-waveband spectral analysis shows that the peak time of the continuum emission coincides well with that of a radio burst at 2840 MHz and with the hard X-ray emission. Three semi-empirical models, corresponding to the pre-flare condition and to the peak time of continuum emission both with and without non-thermal excitation and ionization of hydrogen by an electron beam, have been obtained. The results indicate that there is fast heating both in the chromosphere and the photosphere. Some evidence is given that this WLF is very likely a result of bombardment by an electron beam. By taking into account non-thermal effects, the chromospheric temperature of the semi-empirical model is significantly reduced. 相似文献
76.
本文分析了南京大学太阳塔1991年10月24日用多波段光谱仪观测到的高时间分辨率(5s)的一个2N/X2.1级白光耀斑光谱.对耀斑谱线轮廓、连续发射强度、X射线和射电爆发资料进行了综合对比,分析表明,该耀斑属Ⅰ类白光耀斑,具有如下特征:(1)在白光耀斑的脉冲相期间,各波段光谱线心强度、连续辐射、谱线半宽以及线翼红不对称性与硬X射线高能波段的爆发同时达到极大;(2)H_a谱线在连续发射极大时半宽达10A,且呈现强烈的线心反转,H_β和H_γ线心亦有反转;(3)所拍摄的5条谱线都有明显的红不对称性,持续时间约为1分钟,根据上述结果,本文用电子束轰击、色球蒸发和色球压缩区对该耀斑能量积聚和释放的动力学机制作了定性的分析和解释。 相似文献
77.
Both laboratory experiments and numerical modelling were conducted to study the biodegradation and transport of benzene–toluene–xylenes (BTX) in a simulated semi‐confined aquifer. The factors incorporated into the numerical model include advection, hydrodynamic dispersion, adsorption, and biodegradation. The various physico‐chemical parameters required by the numerical model were measured experimentally. In the experimental portion of the study, BTX compounds were introduced into the aquifer sand. After the contaminants had been transported through the system, BTX concentrations were measured at 12 equally spaced wells. Subsequently, microorganisms obtained from the activated sludge of a sewage treatment plant and cultured in BTX mixtures were introduced into the aquifer through the 12 sampling wells. The distribution data for BTX adsorption by the aquifer sand form a nonlinear isotherm. The degree of adsorption by the sand varies, depending on the composition of the solute. The degradation time, measured from the time since the bacteria were added to the aquifer until a specific contaminant was no longer detectable, was 35–42 h for BTX. The dissolved oxygen, after degradation by BTX compounds and bacteria, was consumed by about 40–60% in the entire simulated aquifer; thus the aerobic conditions were maintained. This study provides insights for the biodegradation and transport of BTX in aquifers by numerical modelling and laboratory experiments. Experimental and numerical comparisons indicate that the results by Monod degradation kinetics are more accurate than those by the first‐order degradation kinetics. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
78.
使用2022年1月8日青海门源MS6.9地震前3天及后7天甘肃地震台网固定台站和邻省共享台站记录到的连续波形数据,利用RISP系统自动检测余震序列,并将检测结果与人工编目结果进行对比分析.结果表明:自动编目与人工编目定位结果基本一致,震中位置差(3.9±1.51)km,震级差值ML(0.17±0.22);自动编目结果的发震时刻普遍略早于人工目录,但两种目录中大部分余震发生时刻的差值在2s内.自动编目产出速度快,且能检测人工无法识别的微小余震,提高了目录完备性.综合来看,自动编目系统产出结果符合预期目标,可为震群趋势判断、破裂过程快速反演等相关科学研究提供数据支撑. 相似文献
79.
80.
Effects of climate change on annual streamflow using climate elasticity in Poyang Lake Basin, China 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
Shanlei Sun Haishan Chen Weimin Ju Jie Song Hao Zhang Jie Sun Yujie Fang 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》2013,112(1-2):169-183
Hydrological processes depend directly on climate conditions [e.g., precipitation, potential evapotranspiration (PE)] based on the water balance. This paper examines streamflow datasets at four hydrological stations and meteorological observations at 79 weather stations to reveal the streamflow changes and underlying drivers in four typical watersheds (Meigang, Saitang, Gaosha, and Xiashan) within Poyang Lake Basin from 1961 to 2000. Most of the less than 90th percentile of daily streamflow in each watershed increases significantly at different rates. As an important indicator of the seasonal changes in the streamflow, CT (the timing of the mass center of the streamflow) in each watershed shows a negligible change. The annual streamflow in each watershed increases at different rates, with a statistically significant trend (at the 5 % level) of 9.87 and 7.72 mm year?1, respectively, in Meigang and Gaosha watersheds. Given the existence of interactions between precipitation and PE, the original climate elasticity of streamflow can not reflect the relationship of streamflow with precipitation and PE effectively. We modify this method and find the modified climate elasticity to be more accurate and reasonable using the correlation analysis. The analyses from the modified climate elasticity in the four watersheds show that a 10 % increase (decrease) in precipitation will increase (decrease) the annual streamflow by 14.1–16.3 %, while a 10 % increase (decrease) in PE will decrease (increase) the annual streamflow by ?10.2 to ?2.1 %. In addition, the modified climate elasticity is applied to estimate the contribution of annual precipitation and PE to the increasing annual streamflow in each watershed over the past 40 years. Our result suggests that the percentage attribution of the increasing precipitation is more than 59 % and the decreasing in PE is less than 41 %, indicating that the increasing precipitation is the major driving factor for the annual streamflow increase for each watershed. 相似文献