Estimating Sea-Level Allowances for Atlantic Canada using the Fifth Assessment Report of the IPCC

Abstract

Sea-level allowances at 22 tide-gauge sites along the east coast of Canada are determined based on projections of regional sea-level rise for the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 (RCP8.5) from the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC AR5) and on the statistics of historical tides and storm surges (storm tides). The allowances, which may be used for coastal infrastructure planning, increase with time during the twenty-first century through a combination of mean sea-level rise and the increased uncertainty of future projections with time. The allowances show significant spatial variation, mainly a consequence of strong regionally varying relative sea-level change as a result of glacial isostatic adjustment (GIA). A methodology is described for replacement of the GIA component of the AR5 projection with global positioning system (GPS) measurements of vertical crustal motion; this significantly decreases allowances in regions where the uncertainty of the GIA models is large. For RCP8.5 with GPS data incorporated and for the 1995–2100 period, the sea-level allowances range from about 0.5?m along the north shore of the Gulf of St. Lawrence to more than 1?m along the coast of Nova Scotia and southern Newfoundland.     

The input of organic material to the oceans: air—sea interactions and the organic chemical composition of the sea surface

In order to understand and quantify the way in which organic matter is transported from the atmosphere to the oceans it is important to know not only the various mechanisms by which the material is transferred between the two phases, but also the role of natural organic material at the air—sea interface in modifying such transport. In order to predict the latter it is necessary to have some knowledge of the organic chemistry and physico-chemical properties of material at the sea surface. Its organic chemistry is presently the subject of considerable controversy, although surface pressure measurements and force-area data for sea surface material, together with its very mixed chemical nature, strongly suggest that over most of the oceans it cannot form a coherent film.Transfer of organic material across the air—sea interface can be by either wet (liquid) or dry (gas and solid) deposition. The flux carried by each path can be characterised by the product of the rate of transfer of the substance concerned and its concentration in the transporting phase. Any modifying effect of material at the sea surface will vary depending on the mode of transfer, as well as the properties of the interfacial material. Application of these ideas is illustrated by calculation of atmosphere—ocean fluxes for total organic carbon, CCI₄, CCI₃F, PCBs and DDT.     

Simultaneous measurements of transparency and irradiance in the coastal waters of North Wales

Simultaneous measurements of the diffuse attenuation coefficient, k, and the collinated beam attenuation coefficient, c, were made on a continuous basis at a near-shore site off the north coast of Anglesey, North Wales. A statistical approach to calculating the diffuse attenuation coefficient, k, in coastal waters allowed variations in transparency to be taken into consideration. The ratio of c:k varied throughout the year between approximately 11:1 and 5:1, indicating the changes in the scattering and absorption properties of the water column. The major contribution to coastal turbidity was from the scattering of light by suspended material with the relationship between scattering and absorption being dependent on the nature of the suspended matter.     

Crustal development in the Kaapvaal craton,I. The Archaean

The relationship in time and space of the elements comprising the greenstone—granitie terrane in the eastern Transvaal and Swaziland is discussed. On the evidence derived from structural analysis, metamorphic style, geochemistry, and geophysics it is concluded that sialic crust (now represented by the Ancient Gneiss Complex in Swaziland) pre-dates the Swaziland Sequence. It is postulated that the sialic crust formed as a result of partial and total melting of hydrous basaltic lithosphere under tectonically metastable conditions. Limited sedimentation and volcanism in small basins on this early crust took place during periods of quiescence, following which deformation resulted in the tectonic interslicing of the early sialic crust and the sedimentary—volcanic sequences that were metamorphosed at high temperatures and low pressure (Abukuma-type), and included limited partial melting. The protocontinental crust so formed was distended along linear zones overlying sites of mantle upwelling. Rifting resulted from the distension and was accompanied by intense volcanism typical of greenstone belts. Following mantle withdrawal sagging was initiated in the linear zone leading to sedimentation that was initially of turbidite type. As greater stability was achieved, the style of sedimentation changed and cratonic-type, Moodies Group sediments were deposited. The cyclic nature of the volcanism and sedimentation is considered to be a response to, and a reflection of, the degree of distension and of the vertical adjustments along the bounding faults. Diapiric rise of tonalitic magma produced as a result of partial melting of the early sialic crust mixing with mantle material caused the deformation of the original linear geometry. Continued depression of the amphibolite facies of the sialic crust into the zone of partial melting gave rise to potassic granitic magma that spread at higher crustal levels at interfaces of low free energy to form hood-like sheets of granite flanking the original linear rift. It is concluded that the eastern Transvaal and Swaziland area attained a crustal thickness of ± 25 km prior to 3.0 b.y.     

Measuring crop residue cover using remote sensing techniques

Summary Crop residues are managed under conservation tillage programs to leave as much as possible on the surface for minimization soil erosion and for improving water quality. Because current methods for measuring crop residue cover are tediuous and somewhat subjective, there is a need for new methods to measure residue cover that are rapid, accurate, and objective. We discuss the potential for discriminating crop residues from soils using reflectance and fluorescence techniques and examine experimentally the changes in wheat residue fluorescence during weathering. The fluorescence of crop residue was a board band phenomenon with emissions extending from 420 to 600 nm for excitation of 350–420 nm. Soils had low intensity broad band emissions over the 400–690 nm region for excitations of 300–600 nm. We found that the fluorescence intensities for the crop residues were much greater than the fluorescence of the soils, but as the crop residues decompose, their blue-green fluorescence intensities approach the fluorescence of the soils. We conclude that fluorescence techniques are less ambiguous and better suited for discriminating crop residues from soils than the reflectance methods. However, the potential problems, that must be addressed to implement the fluorescence technique, are (i) adequate excitation energy must be supplied to induce fluorescence and (ii) the fluorescence signal is small relative to normal, ambient sunlight. Nevertheless, if properly implemented, we believe that the fluorescence techniques can be used to quantify crop residue cover in the field.With 7 Figures     

Bottom currents at the entrance to False Bay, South Africa

False Bay, the biggest bay in South Africa, has to accommodate various demands in terms of recreation, naval activities and fisheries while it is lately also exposed to increased pollution. To determine the currents at the entrance to the Bay and thus obtain insight into the dynamics of the region, the flushing rate of the Bay and other aspects of the circulation, a number of current meters were deployed in the lower half of the water column at the entrance during the austral summer of 1986/1987. The results of these measurements, augmented and supported by temperature-salinity sections and meteorologic measurements in the vicinity, are discussed and compared with historical observations of the currents and water properties in the Bay.