基于支持向量机的遥感大雾判识

提出了一种基于支持向量机的卫星遥感数据大雾判识方法:首先通过对风云1D卫星大雾区域的各通道辐射值出现频次进行概率统计,利用其阈值来粗判识大雾;然后在粗判识的基础上通过支持向量机的方法进行大雾细判识;最后利用腐蚀和膨胀的图像处理技术对判识后的图像进行优化处理。在对我国2006年9-12月的65条监测到大雾的风云1D轨道的探测数据进行分析之后,发现大雾判识结果与专家标记吻合。检验结果表明,利用1、2、4、6、7、10通道组合进行粗判识的结果最好,5交叉正确率为89.9849%,TS评分为74.04%。利用上述方法对个例的分析检验表明,基于支持向量机的遥感大雾判识方法是切实可行的。     

内蒙古鄂伦春旗东部主要农耕区土壤有机碳含量及主要影响因素分析

利用鄂伦春自治旗东部主要耕地区1：25万土地质量地球化学调查数据,查明了研究区内表层和深层土壤有机碳储量和有机碳密度分布特征,分析了研究区内土壤有机碳储量、有机碳密度与土壤类型、土地利用方式之间的关系,探讨了土壤类型和土地利用方式对土壤有机碳的作用机理.结果表明研究区内土壤有机碳含量分布不均,土壤类型和土地利用方式是土壤有机碳储量和有机碳密度的主要影响因素.     

青藏高原地区地表温度及其取值对大气长波辐射冷却的影响

针对辐射传输模式在青藏高原地区的应用问题，使用Ｌｉｏｕ－Ｏｕ一维辐射传输模式及１９８２年８月￣１９８３年７月青藏高原热源观测实验期间青藏高原地面、高空与卫星观测资料，在高原辐射传输模式中区分了下垫面温度与地表空气温度的作用，并利用卫星观测资料对模式改进后的实际效果进行了验证；分析了地表温度的日变化和季节变化硬度，得到了下垫面温度的简单参数化方法。     

Nonlinearity and finite-time instability in a T21L3 quasigeostrophic model

In this paper, a nonlinear optimization method is used to explore the finite-time instability of the atmospheric circulation with a three-level quasigeostrophic model under the framework of the conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation (CNOP). As a natural generalization of linear singular vector (SV), CNOP is defined as an initial perturbation that makes the cost function the maximum at a prescribed forecast time under certain physical constraint conditions. Special attentions are paid to the different structures and energy evolutions of the optimal perturbations.     

Preliminary Studies on Predicting the Tropical Indian Ocean Sea Surface Temperature through Combined Statistical Methods and Dynamic ENSO Prediction

The sea surface temperature(SST) in the Indian Ocean affects the regional climate over the Asian continent mostly through a modulation of the monsoon system.It is still difficult to provide an a priori indication of the seasonal variability over the Indian Ocean.It is widely recognized that the warm and cold events of SST over the tropical Indian Ocean are strongly linked to those of the equatorial eastern Pacific.In this study,a statistical prediction model has been developed to predict the monthly SST over the tropical Indian Ocean.This model is a linear regression model based on the lag relationship between the SST over the tropical Indian Ocean and the Ni o3.4(5°S-5°N,170°W-120°W) SST Index.The predictor(i.e.,Ni o3.4 SST Index) has been operationally predicted by a large size ensemble El Ni o and the Southern Oscillation(ENSO) forecast system with coupled data assimilation(Leefs_CDA),which achieves a high predictive skill of up to a 24-month lead time for the equatorial eastern Pacific SST.As a result,the prediction skill of the present statistical model over the tropical Indian Ocean is better than that of persistence prediction for January 1982 through December 2009.     

广西果化岩溶区土壤电导率的空间异质性

应用地统计学与GIS技术,将土壤电导率室内布点和实地监测相结合,研究广西果化岩溶区土壤电导率的空间变异特征。结果表明：各深度土壤电导率的空间分布不均,主要呈弧状、条带状和斑状分布,空间分布总体上呈现出一定的集聚趋势;各深度土壤电导率的最小空间变程为750 m,可作为果化示范区土壤电导率样点布设的最佳取样间隔;示范区土壤电导率主要受植被覆盖度、地质背景和石漠化程度的影响。本研究对于指导典型岩溶区的农业生产、保障区域土壤资源的可持续利用具有重要的理论意义和参考价值。     

STUDY ON THE INTERACTION BETWEEN NDVI PROFILE AND THE GROWING STATUS OF CROPS

Daily and ten-day Normalized Difference Vegetation Index(NDVI) of crops were retrieved from meteorological statellite NOAA AVHRR images ,The temporal variations of the NDVI were analyzed during the whole growing season,and thus the principle of the interaction between NDIV profile and the growing status of crops was discussed,As a case in point,the relationship between integral NDVI and winter wheat yield of Henan Province in 1999 had been analyzed.By putting integral NDVI values of 60 sample counties into the winter wheat yield-integral NDVI coordination,scattering map was plotted. It demonstrated that integral NDVI had a close relation with winter wheat yield.These relation could be described with linear,cubic polynomial ,and exponential regression,and the cubic polynomial regression was the best way,In general ,NDVI reflects growing status of green vegetation ,so crop monitoring and crop yield estimation could be realized by using remote sensing technique on the basis of time serial NDVI data together with agriculture calendars.     

武陵山区渝东南城镇滑坡灾害风险评价研究——以石柱县下路镇为例

武陵山渝东南地区地质条件复杂、降雨丰沛,加之城镇化开发,该地区的山区城镇面临着滑坡风险,迫切需要开展城镇尺度的地质灾害风险评价,从而更好地进行风险管控。本文以重庆市石柱县下路镇为研究区域,结合区内地质灾害特点,利用无限斜坡模型进行了不同重现期（10、20、50 和100 年）滑坡灾害的危险性计算;重点关注潜在的建筑物损失和室内人员的生命财产损失,采用经验模型,完成了区内不同情景下建筑物和人口易损性分布图;运用灾害风险量化评估模型,定量分析了区内滑坡灾害的经济风险和人口风险。结果显示,从重现期10 年至100 年演变中,建筑物风险将增加3 倍,而人口风险将增加约11 倍,空间分布从集镇建设区附近的山体进一步扩大至天泉村、白鹤村等地。本文探索的滑坡风险评估方法可为地方决策部门开展详细尺度的国土空间规划（短期、中期和长期）研究提供参考。     

A network communication and recording system for digital seismic observation

Introduction Digital seismic observation systems originated from 1970′s. It has developed greatly in the past 30 years up to now. Its performances were improved, dynamic range and resolution increased a lot, the power consumption decreased a lot, and so on (YOU et al, 2003a, b). In a word, the dream of broad frequency-band, big dynamic range, digitalization of seismic observation has come true already. But, the previous digital seismic observation systems only support communica-tion based o…     

渭河下游咸阳-草滩段河谷沉积对构造活动的响应

渭河下游咸阳-草滩段河道位于西安凹陷向临潼隆起的过渡区,发育河漫滩和T₁～T₃阶地,渭河断裂隐伏于河道北岸。文章对渭河北岸河谷地貌和地层剖面进行了观测和年代学样品的测试,并对跨渭河断裂的系列钻探中的2个深150m的钻孔岩芯进行了年代学样品测试和地层对比。河谷区地层年代测定表明,渭河北岸在距今约10万年前为风成黄土堆积环境,大致在2.5万年以来开始了最新一期的河道沉积。钻孔岩芯揭露的多个黄土-河流冲积的沉积旋回显示第四纪时期渭河河道经历了多次的南北向摆动。受临潼隆起的影响,咸阳-草滩段晚第四纪河谷沉积自西向东厚度明显减薄。通过对渭河断裂两侧钻孔柱状图的对比,认为渭河断裂0.04～0.05m/ka垂向差异运动速率低于河流0.15～0.24m/ka沉积速率,是渭河断裂隐伏于河谷中的原因。