Cartograms for Use in Forecasting Weather-Driven Natural Hazards

This paper evaluates the potential of using cartograms for visualizing and interpreting forecasts of weather-driven natural hazards in the context of global weather forecasting and early warning systems. The use of cartograms is intended to supplement traditional cartographic representations of the hazards in order to highlight the severity of an upcoming event. Cartogrammetric transformations are applied to forecasts of floods, heatwaves, windstorms and snowstorms taken from the European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) forecast archive. Key cartogram design principles in standard weather forecast visualization are tested. Optimal cartogram transformation is found to be dependent on geographical features (such as coastlines) and forecast features (such as snowstorm intensity). For highly spatially autocorrelated weather variables used in analysing several upcoming natural hazards such as 2m temperature anomaly, the visualization of the distortion provides a promising addition to standard forecast visualizations for highlighting upcoming weather-driven natural hazards.     

Fraile Detection of Solar $$-Modes by Fossat et al.

The internal gravity modes of the Sun are notoriously difficult to detect, and the claimed detection of gravity modes presented by Fossat et al. (Astron. Astrophys.604, A40, 2017) is thus very exciting. Given the importance of these modes for understanding solar structure and dynamics, the results must be robust. While Fossat et al. described their method and parameter choices in detail, the sensitivity of their results to several parameters was not presented. Therefore, we test the sensitivity of the results to a selection of the parameters. The most concerning result is that the detection vanishes when we adjust the start time of the 16.5-year velocity time-series by a few hours. We conclude that this reported detection of gravity modes is extremely fragile and should be treated with utmost caution.     

The spawning and early life-history of a New Zealand endemic amphidromous eleotrid,bluegill bully (Gobiomorphus hubbsi)

The larval stage of fishes is critical in determining their dispersal, survival and recruitment, but little is known of the larval behaviours and tolerances of amphidromous fishes, particularly in New Zealand. We report the results of a series of observational and experimental studies on bluegill bully (Gobiomorphus hubbsi), including spawning sites and behaviours, larval characteristics at hatch, phototactic responses of larvae, and larval survival at different salinity levels. Spawning primarily occurred in the lower reaches of the river, and larvae from different nests exhibited marked differences in, and trade-offs between, larval characteristics at hatch, potentially affecting larval success. Larvae were positively phototactic to intense light, an unexpected result based on diel drift patterns and international research. Finally, larvae exhibited markedly higher survival rates when reared at intermediate salinities compared to freshwater or seawater, suggesting estuaries may play an important role as nursery grounds for bluegill bully and other amphidromous fish.     

Thermophysical properties of Almahata Sitta meteorites (asteroid 2008 TC3) for high‐fidelity entry modeling

Asteroid 2008 TC₃ was characterized in a unique manner prior to impacting Earth's atmosphere, making its October 7, 2008, impact a suitable field test for or validating the application of high‐fidelity re‐entry modeling to asteroid entry. The accurate modeling of the behavior of 2008 TC₃ during its entry in Earth's atmosphere requires detailed information about the thermophysical properties of the asteroid's meteoritic materials at temperatures ranging from room temperature up to the point of ablation (T ~ 1400 K). Here, we present measurements of the thermophysical properties up to these temperatures (in a 1 atm. pressure of argon) for two samples of the Almahata Sitta meteorites from asteroid 2008 TC₃: a thick flat‐faced ureilite suitably shaped for emissivity measurements and a thin flat‐faced EL6 enstatite chondrite suitable for diffusivity measurements. Heat capacity was determined from the elemental composition and density from a 3‐D laser scan of the sample. We find that the thermal conductivity of the enstatite chondrite material decreases more gradually as a function of temperature than expected, while the emissivity of the ureilitic material decreases at a rate of 9.5 × 10^?5 K^?1 above 770 K. The entry scenario is the result of the actual flight path being the boundary to the load the meteorite will be affected with when entering. An accurate heat load prediction depends on the thermophysical properties. Finally, based on these data, the breakup can be calculated accurately leading to a risk assessment for ground damage.     

Dissolution mechanisms of silicate minerals yielded by intercomparison with glasses and radiation damage studies

The behaviour of two silicates (albite and olivine) toward aqueous dissolution has been investigated with emphasis to two aspects: (1) similarities and differences with silicate glasses; and (2) influence of ion bombardment which transforms the initially crystalline structure to a glass-like one. The occurrence on leached materials of hydrated layers enriched with metallic elements is checked by using high-energy ion beam analytical techniques.

It is shown that for both amorphous and crystalline silicates, dissolution involves competing processes responsible for either hydrated-layer generation (hydration by ion exchange and/or water permeation), or its destruction (hydrolysis of siloxane bonds and detachment of silica units). At moderate temperature ( 100°C), the latter processes dominate for crystalline silicates and the resulting dissolution is congruent. However, these silicates tend to behave like glasses upon ion bombardment above a critical dose. At higher temperature (> 200°C), hydration is markedly enhanced and thick altered layers are generated even on undamaged minerals such as albite and orthoclase, where alkali cations are easily exchangeable.     

Temperature,composition, and f O2 effects on intersite distribution of Mg and Fe2+ in olivines

Single-crystal X-ray structure refinement of natural olivines equilibrated at high temperature under controlled oxygen fugacity (f _O2) conditions, coupled with a structure-energy model were used to establish the influence of T, f _O2 and bulk chemistry on intracrystalline disorder.The results are: 1) The k _D (k _D = [(Fe M1·Mg M2)/(Fe M2·Mg M1)]) factor describing site population on M1, M2 polyhedra increases from values lower than 1 at T below 400–600° C (depending on composition) to values higher than 1 at higher temperature. 2) The increase of k _D with T is quite regular. 3) At constant temperature and pressure, k _D increases with increasing fayalite content in the mixture; 4) Contrary to previous observations (Will and Nover 1979; Nover and Will 1981) varying f _O2, within the stability range of the substance, has a negligible influence on intracrystalline disorder. 5) As ancillary results, the model confirms the defect scheme of Nakamura and Schmalzried (1983) for the investigated solids. Moreover, it shows that cationic vacancies are always created on M 1 site at the expense of Mg ions, while trivalent iron is always stabilized on M2 site. This explains the marked anisotropies observed in Fe-Mg interdiffusion (Buening and Busek 1973; Misener 1974; Schock et al. 1989).     

Solar activity in the last millennium recorded in the δ18O profile of planktonic foraminifera of a shallow water Ionian Sea core

In this paper we present the ¹⁸O profile of Globigerinoides ruber measured in the GT90/3 shallow water Ionian sea core, dated with high precision. The ¹⁸O profile covers the period 1200–1900 AD, with a resolution of 3.87 years. This long record of 700 years of ¹⁸O allows us to identify the imprint of the solar cycle in a climatic record. In fact, the spectral analysis of the time series performed with different methods shows a dominant periodicity of about 11 years with an amplitude of 0.07. The signal is in opposition to the sunspot number cycle. This component is identified at a high significance level by Monte Carlo Singular Spectrum Analysis (MC-SSA).     

Big Earth data: disruptive changes in Earth observation data management and analysis?

ABSTRACT

Turning Earth observation (EO) data consistently and systematically into valuable global information layers is an ongoing challenge for the EO community. Recently, the term ‘big Earth data’ emerged to describe massive EO datasets that confronts analysts and their traditional workflows with a range of challenges. We argue that the altered circumstances must be actively intercepted by an evolution of EO to revolutionise their application in various domains. The disruptive element is that analysts and end-users increasingly rely on Web-based workflows. In this contribution we study selected systems and portals, put them in the context of challenges and opportunities and highlight selected shortcomings and possible future developments that we consider relevant for the imminent uptake of big Earth data.     

Modeling Forest Emissivity at L-Band and a Comparison With Multitemporal Measurements

This letter describes recent advances in modeling forest emissivity at L-band. The formulation is based on a previously developed discrete model and includes a new representation of forest litter. Comparisons with multitemporal radiometric data collected in the framework of the ldquoBray 2004rdquo experiment, which was carried out within Les Landes forest, are shown and discussed. Input variables are given by using detailed ground measurements. In general, the model reproduces both absolute values and temporal variations of measured brightness temperature. The contribution of the litter to overall emission was found to be important.     

Supernova 1994aj: a probe for pre-supernova evolution and mass-loss from the progenitor

Extensive photometric and spectroscopic observations of SN 1994aj until 540 d after maximum light have been obtained. The photometry around maximum suggests that the SN belongs to the Type II Linear class, with a peak absolute magnitude of M _V∼−17.8 (assuming H ₀=75 km s⁻¹ Mpc⁻¹). The spectra of SN 1994aj were unusual, with the presence of a narrow line with a P Cygni profile on top of the broad Balmer line emission. This narrow feature is attributed to the presence of a dense superwind surrounding the SN. At 100–120 d after maximum light the SN ejecta start to interact with this circumstellar material. The SN luminosity decline rates slowed down [γ _R =0.46 mag (100 d)⁻¹], becoming less steep than the average late luminosity decline of normal SN II [∼1 mag (100 d)⁻¹]. This dense ( ˙M / u _W∼10¹⁵ g cm⁻¹) wind was confined to a short distance from the progenitor ( R _out=∼5×10¹⁶ cm), and results from a very strong mass-loss episode ( ˙M =10⁻³ M⊙ yr⁻¹), which terminated shortly before explosion (∼5–10 yr).