白洋淀沉积物重金属潜在生态风险及生物可利用性分析

沉积物是湖泊水体重金属的主要汇集场所,也是湖泊重金属污染研究及整治的重点.本文分析了白洋淀多个淀区沉积物中16种重金属含量水平及垂向分布特征,解析了其中典型有害重金属潜在生态风险,并基于酸可挥发性硫（AVS）及同步可提取金属（SEM）、间隙水溶解态金属、可转化态金属形态分级等研究,对重金属生物可利用性进行了分析.结果表明：沉积物重金属含量均值高低依次为Fe （29630.50 mg/kg）>Ti （3213.07 mg/kg）>Mn （539.44 mg/kg）>Zn （104.01 mg/kg）>V （76.63 mg/kg）>Cr （52.60 mg/kg）>Cu （43.49 mg/kg）>Ni （35.83 mg/kg）>Pb （26.75 mg/kg）>Co （10.32 mg/kg）>As （8.96 mg/kg）>Mo （2.06 mg/kg）>Sb （1.57 mg/kg）>Tl （0.43 mg/kg）>Cd （0.31 mg/kg）>Hg （0.16 mg/kg）;其中,10种重金属在各淀区沉积物中呈现出自北往南逐渐降低的趋势,各金属在不同淀区分布差异性主要由污染输入所致.除北部烧车淀区域外,其余区域重金属潜在生态风险总体处于较低水平.重金属污染主要来源于该区域周边河道,但近10年来污染输入及在沉积物中的富集总体趋于稳定并呈逐渐降低的趋势.入淀污染不仅增加了该区域沉积物中重金属总量,也使得其中可转化态重金属比例较高,大多在30%~90%之间,提升了重金属生物可利用潜力.水生植物等内生性有机质的大量富集导致沉积物还原性较强,AVS含量较高,沉积物中AVS和ΣSEM均值分别为（10.59±6.37）和（2.23±1.53）μmol/g （dw）.Cd、Cu、Ni、Pb、Zn等金属由于高含量还原态硫的固定而生物可利用性较低.然而,As和Hg在这样的高有机质和强还原环境下更容易溶解和释放,是潜在生物可利用性相对较高的金属,在间隙水中的浓度分别达到（17.07±0.23）和（2.39±0.94）μg/L,未来研究及整治中应给予更多关注.     

FRP管约束活性粉末混凝土方柱抗震性能研究

为了探究纤维增强聚合物（fiber reinforced polymers,FRP）管约束活性粉末混凝土（reactive powder concrete,RPC）方柱在低周反复荷载作用下的抗震性能,利用有限元软件ABAQUS对FRP管约束RPC方柱进行了数值模拟,并对不同轴压比、配箍率和FRP管厚度条件下约束柱的抗震性能进行了分析。结果表明:采用有限元模型对FRP管约束RPC方柱进行模拟是可靠的,有限元模拟结果和试验结果吻合较好;轴压比为0.2~0.6时,峰值荷载随轴压比的增大而增大,轴压比为0.7时的峰值荷载较0.6时反而下降;配箍率、FRP管厚度的增加可以改善约束柱的抗震性能,延缓强度和刚度的退化;FRP管厚度为0.501mm时的约束效果最好。     

Effects of climate change and human activities on runoff and sediment inputs of the largest freshwater lake in China,Poyang Lake

The nonparametric Mann-Kendall test and the Pettitt test were employed to examine the change trends and shifts of runoff and sediment input to Poyang Lake between 1961 and 2013. Water balance and linear regression models were used to evaluate the impacts of climate variability and human activities on the runoff and sediment discharge changes. The results showed that runoff inputs to the lake had insignificant temporal trends and change points, while sediment inputs had significant decreasing trends, with an abrupt change in 1989. Quantitative assessment demonstrated that human activities led to a small decrease (5.5%) in runoff inputs to the lake, and a dramatic (121.4%) decrease in sediment inputs to the lake between the reference period (before the change point) and the human-influenced period (after the change point). This work provides a useful reference for future policy makers in water resource utilization and environmental safety of the Poyang Lake basin.     

Influence of seismic strain rates on the co- and post-seismic response of civil engineering buildings

The elastic properties of buildings change during earthquakes. In particular, fundamental frequencies are observed to shift rapidly during the co-seismic phase and to recover slowly once the strong motion has finished. Although the frequency shift is usually correlated with loading amplitude, the co-seismic frequency variations observed in real structures are not only determined by the absolute amplitude of the strain value. In order to interpret the uncertainties of the prediction of engineering demand parameters for a given intensity measure, we analyze the influence of loading rates (i.e., strain rates) on resonance frequency variations in buildings with different structural states during the loading and unloading phases caused by seismic events. Our observations suggest the existence of a strain rate threshold that activates the nonlinear response of the structure, characterizing the activation of cracking and indicating a strong nexus between the elastic structural response, structural state, and the loading process.     

基于地缘影响力模型的大国地缘政治博弈——以钓鱼岛问题背景下的中美博弈为例

大国地缘政治博弈事关国家安全,影响世界格局。通过对地理要素的综合考量构建了地缘影响力模型,并基于博弈论建立了钓鱼岛问题大国地缘政治博弈树,对中美博弈过程进行了分析。最后针对钓鱼岛问题4种博弈走势提出了战略应对参考建议。研究结果表明：①在中国大陆主导时,各国保持合作将共赢,一旦动武,若美俄地缘战略决策指数不高,形势对中国大陆不利。②当美国地缘战略决策指数较小,俄罗斯较大时,是解决钓鱼岛问题的战略良机。③中国台湾是中国解决钓鱼岛问题的重要影响因素,要灵活把握与处理。④ 在4种战略博弈形势下,均存在中美战略博弈的纳什均衡,但美国、日本和中国台湾有一定概率铤而走险,要保持警惕并做好战略应对。⑤ 博弈分析结果较为客观的反映了钓鱼岛问题的多种战略走向,并与当前相关大国关于钓鱼岛问题的战略基本吻合,印证了地缘影响力模型对地理要素量化的可行性以及大国地缘政治博弈分析方法的合理性。     

东北地区经济结构失衡水平评价及其对经济增长的影响研究 ——基于空间计量模型分析

构建包括产业结构、投资消费结构、金融结构、区域经济结构和国际收支结构在内的经济结构失衡测度指标体系,运用因子分析法和ArcGIS 空间分析法对2003~2015年东北地区经济结构失衡水平、空间格局及集聚模式进行探究,并构建空间计量模型考察其对经济增长的影响。结果表明：① 东北地区经济结构普遍处于失衡状态,但失衡水平在不断降低。② 经济结构失衡水平高值区被低值区包围,在空间上形成典型中心-外围分布模式。③ SDM模型估计结果表明,经济结构失衡对经济增长的影响具有阶段性,2003~2008年,对经济增长产生抑制作用,并表现出负空间溢出效应,而2009~2015年对经济增长产生促进作用,出现“失衡并增长”。     

Variation of physical properties across the green valley for local galaxies

We selected a sample of nearby galaxies from the Sloan Digital Sky Survey Data Release 7(SDSS DR7) to investigate the variation of physical properties from the blue cloud to green valley to red sequence.The sample is limited to a narrow range in the color-stellar mass diagram. After splitting green valley galaxies into two parts—a bluer green valley(green 1) and a redder one(green 2) and three stellar mass bins,we investigate the variation of physical properties across the green valley region. Our main results are as follows:(i) The percentages of pure bulge and bulge-dominated/elliptical galaxies increase gradually from blue cloud to red sequence while the percentages of pure disk and disk-dominated/spiral galaxies decrease gradually in all stellar mass bins and different environments.(ii) With the analysis of morphological and structural parameters(e.g., concentration(C) and the stellar mass surface density within the central 1 kpc(Σ1)), red galaxies show more luminous and compact cores than both green valley and blue galaxies, while blue galaxies show the opposite behavior in all stellar mass bins.(iii) A strong negative(positive) relationship between bulge-to-total light ratio(B/T) and specific star formation rate(sSFR)(D_(4000)) is found from blue to red galaxies. Our results indicate that the growth in bulge plays an important role when the galaxies change from the blue cloud, to the green valley and to the red sequence.     

连云港海域废黄河水下三角洲北翼的沉积特征与空间分布

基于连云港海域浅地层剖面资料解释和16个站位柱状岩心的剖面观察、粒度分析、微体化石鉴定、有孔虫和腹足类纹沼螺的AMS 14C年龄,分析废黄河水下三角洲北翼的沉积结构、厚度和沉积物组成,划分沉积单元及其分布范围;识别海侵沉积区的沉积相,认识其沉积环境特征。结果表明,水下三角洲沉积体可分为三角洲前缘和前三角洲两个沉积单元,两者沿连云港海岸线呈并置关系。三角洲前缘位于埒子口至新淮河口外,为一NNE向进积、NW向倾斜的扇形楔状体,可识别出灌河叶瓣及其以东的叶瓣两个沉积中心。该沉积单元以砂质沉积为主,两个叶瓣之间的分流间湾分布有泥和砂质泥。前三角洲位于三角洲前缘西北侧,大致从埒子口外侧沿海岸带向海州湾展布。该单元为泥质沉积,厚度较薄,其北部的两个柱状岩心所揭示的沉积厚度分别为1.8 m和1.5 m。水下三角洲以北,海侵沙席分布广泛,厚度通常在20 cm左右。其分布在本区具有普遍性,只是在连云港海域被黄河泥沙所覆盖,由此也构成了废黄河水下三角洲的底界面。该界面具有侵蚀残留地貌特征。海侵沙席之下为晚更新世MIS 3阶段中早期的海陆过渡相沉积。沉积物多由黄色粉砂或砂质粉砂组成,含有较丰富的有孔虫、介形虫等,可见淡水纹沼螺。     

探讨超疏水技术在水下航行器上的应用

超疏水技术通过在材料表面涂覆憎水的低浸润性涂层,导致水滴在其表面无法滑动铺展而保持球形滚动状,提升材料抗腐蚀、防污自清洁能力。 由于特殊的浸润特性,超疏水材料在水下航行器上的研究得到越来越多的关注。 超疏水技术有效地解决困扰水下航行器发展的瓶颈问题,降低航行阻力,噪音和提升防污抗腐蚀能力。 着重介绍超疏水技术在水下航行器减阻、防污抗腐蚀和降噪领域的应用现状。     

Hekla 1947, 1845, 1510 and 1158 tephra in Finland: challenges of tracing tephra from moderate eruptions

Several cryptotephra layers that originate from Icelandic volcanic eruptions with a volcanic explosivity index (VEI) of ≤ 4 and tephra volumes of < 1 km³ have previously been identified in Northern Europe, albeit within a restricted geographical area. One of these is the Hekla 1947 tephra that formed a visible fall-out in southern Finland. We searched for the Hekla 1947 tephra from peat archives within the previously inferred fall-out zone but found no evidence of its presence. Instead, we report the first identification of Hekla 1845 and Hekla 1510 cryptotephra layers outside of Iceland, the Faroe Islands, Ireland and the UK. Additionally, Hekla 1158 tephra was found in Finland for the first time. Our results confirm that Icelandic eruptions of moderate size can form cryptotephra deposits that are extensive enough to be used in inter-regional correlations of environmental archives and carry a great potential for refining regional tephrochronological frameworks. Our results also reveal that Icelandic tephra has been dispersed into Finnish airspace at least seven times during the past millennium and in addition to a direct eastward route the ash clouds can travel either via a northerly or a southerly transport pathway.