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121.
Non-climate variables shape vulnerability and adaptive capacity to climate change. Here, we describe how recent environmental and socio-economic developments have transformed reindeer herding and perceptions of weather on the Seward Peninsula, Alaska. The reindeer industry has shrunk considerably since the early 1990s, when the winter range of the Western Arctic Caribou Herd expanded, and over 17 000 reindeer mixed with migrating caribou and left the region. Socio-economic and environmental repercussions make the continuation of herding tenuous, and erode the ability of herders to cope with weather variability, among other perturbations. We present a case study of one herder's annual cycle, and juxtapose physical drivers of herding activities, including weather-station and herder observations of local weather variability, with socio-economic factors. There is an increased urgency to access and monitor reindeer with caribou present, but herding plans are constrained by lower economic returns and the need to spend more time in non-herding jobs. Although weather is a greater concern now for immediate herd access, standard weather data are largely irrelevant to the mechanics of herding, whereas variables pertaining to the timing of biotic events (e.g., synchrony of spring break-up and calving) and visibility are attributed to lost herding opportunities. Short-term responses to weather conditions stem from more long-term vulnerability associated with caribou presence, reduced herd size, difficulties affording snowmobile maintenance or crew assistance, and dwindling market opportunities. We emphasize the environmental and socio-economic interactions that affect vulnerability and adaptive capacity for modern herding. 相似文献
122.
Public participation geographic information systems (PPGIS) are an increasingly important tool for collecting spatial information about the social attributes of place. The availability of Internet‐based options for implementing PPGIS presents new opportunities for increased efficiency and new modes of access. Here we used a mixed‐mode approach to evaluate paper versus Internet mapping methods for the same PPGIS survey in Wyoming. We compared participant characteristics, mapping participation, and the spatial distribution of mapped attributes between participants who responded to the paper versus Internet option. The response rate for those who completed the paper version of the survey was nearly 2.5 times the response rate of the Internet version. Paper participants also mapped significantly more places than did Internet participants (43 vs. 18). Internet participants tended to be younger, more likely to have a college degree, and had lived in the region for less time than paper participants. For all but one attribute there was no difference in the spatial distribution of places mapped between Internet and paper methods. Using a paper‐based PPGIS survey resulted in a higher response rate, reduced participant bias, and greater mapping participation. However, survey mode did not influence the spatial distribution of the PPGIS data. 相似文献
123.
Alexandra Lutz James M. Thomas Greg Pohll Mamadou Keita W. Alan McKay 《Environmental Geology》2009,58(7):1441-1450
The following paper describes the goals and some preliminary work in the Bani sustainability study, an ongoing project in
Mali, West Africa. Rural communities in Mali are increasingly relying on hand-pumps, which tap groundwater resources, as a
means of obtaining potable water. The long-term sustainable yield of groundwater resources is not known but can be evaluated
in sustainability study. In 2005, a groundwater sustainability study was established along the Bani River of Mali. The Bani
study collected groundwater levels that were used in a conceptual groundwater flow model—the Bani model—to develop an understanding
of current aquifer conditions and to make limited predictions of sustainability under various future scenarios. The Bani model
showed the climatic parameters of recharge (derived from precipitation) and evapotranspiration to influence simulated groundwater
levels and groundwater volume available, while increased pumping rates, due to population growth, showed little effect. When
considered in the context of the actual Bani sustainability study area, the change in groundwater levels resulting from climatic
parameters may have negative implications, especially during several consecutive years of decreased precipitation, such as
drought, or if downward trends anticipated for precipitation continue. 相似文献
124.
Households’ links with local Government provide important support for disaster resilience and recovery on the Bangladeshi coast. Few previous studies of disaster resilience and recovery have explored how linking social networks—and in particular local government—contribute. Using household surveys, focus groups, and key informant interviews, we examine strengths and weaknesses of local government’s contribution, using two cyclone-affected coastal villages as case studies. The findings show that local government provides important support, for example relief distribution, livelihood assistance, and reconstruction of major community services. However, patronage relationships (notably favouring political supporters) and bribery play a substantial role in how those responsibilities are discharged. The equity and efficiency of these contributions to recovery are markedly diminished by corruption. Reducing corruption in UP’s contributions to disaster recovery could significantly improve resilience; however, general reform of governance in Bangladesh would needed to bring this about. 相似文献
125.
Matthieu Kervyn Gerald G. J. Ernst Jörg Keller R. Greg Vaughan Jurgis Klaudius Evelyne Pradal Frederic Belton Hannes B. Mattsson Evelyne Mbede Patric Jacobs 《Bulletin of Volcanology》2010,72(8):913-931
On September 4, 2007, after 25 years of effusive natrocarbonatite eruptions, the eruptive activity of Oldoinyo Lengai (OL),
N Tanzania, changed abruptly to episodic explosive eruptions. This transition was preceded by a voluminous lava eruption in
March 2006, a year of quiescence, resumption of natrocarbonatite eruptions in June 2007, and a volcano-tectonic earthquake
swarm in July 2007. Despite the lack of ground-based monitoring, the evolution in OL eruption dynamics is documented based
on the available field observations, ASTER and MODIS satellite images, and almost-daily photos provided by local pilots. Satellite
data enabled identification of a phase of voluminous lava effusion in the 2 weeks prior to the onset of explosive eruptions.
After the onset, the activity varied from 100 m high ash jets to 2–15 km high violent, steady or unsteady, eruption columns
dispersing ash to 100 km distance. The explosive eruptions built up a ∼400 m wide, ∼75 m high intra-crater pyroclastic cone.
Time series data for eruption column height show distinct peaks at the end of September 2007 and February 2008, the latter
being associated with the first pyroclastic flows to be documented at OL. Chemical analyses of the erupted products, presented
in a companion paper (Keller et al. 2010), show that the 2007–2008 explosive eruptions are associated with an undersaturated carbonated silicate melt. This new phase
of explosive eruptions provides constraints on the factors causing the transition from natrocarbonatite effusive eruptions
to explosive eruptions of carbonated nephelinite magma, observed repetitively in the last 100 years at OL. 相似文献
126.
Shallow plumbing systems for small-volume basaltic volcanoes 总被引:3,自引:3,他引:0
Gordon N. Keating Greg A. Valentine Donathon J. Krier Frank V. Perry 《Bulletin of Volcanology》2008,70(5):563-582
Eruptive dynamics in basaltic volcanoes are controlled, in part, by the conduit geometry. However, uncertainties in conduit
shape and dike-to-conduit transition geometry have limited our predictive capability for hazards assessments. We characterize
the subvolcanic geometry of small-volume basaltic volcanoes (magmatic volatile-driven eruptions, 0.1 to 0.5 km3) based on a synthesis of field studies of five basaltic volcanoes exposed to varying degrees by erosion and exhibiting feeder
dikes, conduits, and vent areas ≤250 m depth. Study areas include East Grants Ridge (New Mexico, USA), Basalt Ridge, East
Basalt Ridge, Paiute Ridge, and Southeast Crater Flat (Nevada, USA). Basaltic feeder dikes 250 to 100 m deep have typical
widths of 4–12 m, with smooth host-rock contacts (rhyolite tuff). At depths less than 100 m, heterogeneities in the host rock
form preferential pathways for small dike splays and sills, resulting in a 30-m effective width at 50 m depth. The development
of a complex conduit at depths less than 70 m is reflected in bifurcating dikes and brecciation and incorporation of the country
rock. The overall zone of effect at depths less than 50 m is ≤110 m wide (220 m elongated along the feeder dike). Based on
comparisons with theoretical conduit flow models, the width of the feeder dike at depths from 250 to 500 m is expected to
range from 1 to 10 m and is expected to decrease to about 1–2 m at depths greater than 500 m. The flaring shape of the observed
feeder systems is similar to results of theoretical modeling using lithostatic pressure-balanced flow conditions. Sizes of
observed conduits differ from modeled dimensions by up to a factor of 10 in the shallow subsurface (<50 m depth), but at depths
greater than 100 m the difference is a factor of 2 to 4. This difference is primarily due to the fact that observed eroded
conduits record the superimposed effects of multiple eruptive events, while theoretical model results define dimensions necessary
for a single, steady eruption phase. The complex details of magma-host rock interactions observed at the study areas (contact
welding, brecciation, bifurcating dikes and sills, and stoping) represent the mechanisms by which the lithostatic pressure-balanced
geometry is attained. The similarity in the normalized shapes of theoretical and observed conduits demonstrates the appropriateness
of the pressure-balanced modeling approach, consistent with the conclusions of Wilson and Head (J Geophys Res 86:2971–3001,
1981) for this type of volcano. 相似文献
127.
Large rock slope failures from near‐vertical cliffs are an important geomorphic process driving the evolution of mountainous landscapes, particularly glacially steepened cliffs. The morphology and age of a 2·19 × 106 m3 rock avalanche deposit beneath El Capitan in Yosemite Valley indicates a massive prehistoric failure of a large expanse of the southeast face. Geologic mapping of the deposit and the cliff face constrains the rock avalanche source to an area near the summit of ~8·5 × 104 m2. The rock mass free fell ~650 m, reaching a maximum velocity of 100 m s?1, impacted the talus slope and spread across the valley floor, extending 670 m from the base of the cliff. Cosmogenic beryllium‐10 exposure ages from boulders in the deposit yield a mean age of 3·6 ± 0·2 ka. The ~13 kyr time lag between deglaciation and failure suggests that the rock avalanche did not occur as a direct result of glacial debuttressing. The ~3·6 ka age for the rock avalanche does coincide with estimated late Holocene rupture of the Owens Valley fault and/or White Mountain fault between 3·3 and 3·8 ka. The coincidence of ages, combined with the fact that the most recent (AD 1872) Owens Valley fault rupture triggered numerous large rock falls in Yosemite Valley, suggest that a large magnitude earthquake (≥M7.0) centered in the south‐eastern Sierra Nevada may have triggered the rock avalanche. If correct, the extreme hazard posed by rock avalanches in Yosemite Valley remains present and depends on local earthquake recurrence intervals. Published in 2010 by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
128.
Greg Anderson 《地壳构造与地壳应力》2009,(1):3-24
第一章 执行概况
板块边界观测计划(PBO)是地球透镜计划(EarthScope)的一部分,将在5年内建立875个连续的全球定位系统(CGPS)、174个钻孔应变仪(BSM)和5个激光应变仪(LSM),以研究贯穿美国西部的活动板块边界的变形。另外,将用有100台接收机的PBO组合装置接收测量的GPS数据(SGPS),并且从第2”年开始,把目前美国西部地球物理观测网络中的225个CGPS站吸收到PBO网络中。 相似文献
129.
Gordon N. Keating Jon D. Pelletier Greg A. Valentine William Statham 《Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research》2008
In volcanic risk assessment it is necessary to determine the appropriate level of sophistication for a given predictive model within the contexts of multiple sources of uncertainty and coupling between models. A component of volcanic risk assessment for the proposed radioactive waste repository at Yucca Mountain (Nevada, USA) involves prediction of dispersal of contaminated tephra during violent Strombolian eruptions and the subsequent transport of that tephra toward a hypothetical individual via surface processes. We test the suitability of a simplified model for volcanic plume transport and fallout tephra deposition (ASHPLUME) coupled to a surface sediment-transport model (FAR) that calculates the redistribution of tephra, and in light of inherent uncertainties in the system. The study focuses on two simplifying assumptions in the ASHPLUME model: 1) constant eruptive column height and 2) constant wind speed and direction during an eruption. Variations in tephra dispersal resulting from unsteady column height and wind conditions produced variations up to a factor of two in the concentration of tephra in sediment transported to the control population. However, the effects of watershed geometry and terrain, which control local remobilization of tephra, overprint sensitivities to eruption parameters. Because the combination of models used here shows limited sensitivity to the actual details of ash fall, a simple fall model suffices to estimate tephra mass delivered to the hypothetical individual. 相似文献
130.
Carl Spandler Greg Yaxley David H. Green Dean Scott 《Contributions to Mineralogy and Petrology》2010,160(4):569-589
We performed a series of piston-cylinder experiments on a synthetic pelite starting material over a pressure and temperature
range of 3.0–5.0 GPa and 1,100–1,600°C, respectively, to examine the melting behaviour and phase relations of sedimentary
rocks at upper mantle conditions. The anhydrous pelite solidus is between 1,150 and 1,200°C at 3.0 GPa and close to 1,250°C
at 5.0 GPa, whereas the liquidus is likely to be at 1,600°C or higher at all investigated pressures, giving a large melting
interval of over 400°C. The subsolidus paragenesis consists of quartz/coesite, feldspar, garnet, kyanite, rutile, ±clinopyroxene
±apatite. Feldspar, rutile and apatite are rapidly melted out above the solidus, whereas garnet and kyanite are stable to
high melt fractions (>70%). Clinopyroxene stability increases with increasing pressure, and quartz/coesite is the sole liquidus
phase at all pressures. Feldspars are relatively Na-rich [K/(K + Na) = 0.4–0.5] at 3.0 GPa, but are nearly pure K-feldspar
at 5.0 GPa. Clinopyroxenes are jadeite and Ca-eskolaite rich, with jadeite contents increasing with pressure. All supersolidus
experiments produced alkaline dacitic melts with relatively constant SiO2 and Al2O3 contents. At 3.0 GPa, initial melting is controlled almost exclusively by feldspar and quartz, giving melts with K2O/Na2O ~1. At 4.0 and 5.0 GPa, low-fraction melting is controlled by jadeite-rich clinopyroxene and K-rich feldspar, which leads
to compatible behaviour of Na and melts with K2O/Na2O ≫ 1. Our results indicate that sedimentary protoliths entrained in upwelling heterogeneous mantle domains may undergo melting
at greater depths than mafic lithologies to produce ultrapotassic dacitic melts. Such melts are expected to react with and
metasomatise the surrounding peridotite, which may subsequently undergo melting at shallower levels to produce compositionally
distinct magma types. This scenario may account for many of the distinctive geochemical characteristics of EM-type ocean island
magma suites. Moreover, unmelted or partially melted sedimentary rocks in the mantle may contribute to some seismic discontinuities
that have been observed beneath intraplate and island-arc volcanic regions. 相似文献