南半球平流层大气环流的若干特点

利用欧洲中期预报中心(ECMWF)5°×5°格点场南北半球6层位势高度场资料计算分析了南半球平流层100hPa平均地转西风随纬度的分布特点、平均地转西风季节变化特点、厄尔尼诺年前后西风廓线形态差异计算分析了南半球位势高度对纬向平均的偏差,分析了超长波的分布特征.以上结果均与北半球同期计算结果作了对比比较,指出了南北半球大气环流在这几方面的异同点.     

Single Nucleotide Polymorphism of FSHβ Gene Associated with Reproductive Traits in Japanese Flounder (Paralichthys olivaceus)

Follicle stimulating hormone β (FSHβ) of Japanese flounder (Paralichthys olivaceus) plays a key role in the regulation of gonadal development.This study aimed to investigate molecular genetic characteristics of the FSHβ gene and elucidate the effects of single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) of FSHβ on reproductive traits in Japanese flounder.We used polymerase chain reaction single-strand conformation polymorphism (PCR-SSCP) and sequencing of the FSHβ gene in 60 individuals.We identified only an SNP (T/C) in the coding region of exon3 of FSHβ.The SNP (T/C) did not lead to amino acid changes at the position 340 bp of FSHβ gene.Statistical analysis showed that the SNP was significantly associated with testosterone (T) level and gonadosomatic index (GSI) (P0.05).Individuals with genotype TC of the SNP had significantly higher serum T levels and GSI (P0.05) than that of genotype CC.Therefore, FSHβ gene could be a useful molecular marker in selection for prominent reproductive trait in Japanese Flounder.     

青岛市短时强降水的气候特征和天气系统分型

利用1981—2012年4—10月青岛市7个观测站逐时降水量资料和同期NCEP再分析资料,统计分析青岛市短时强降水的时空分布特征,建立青岛市短时强降水天气概念模型。结果表明：青岛市年短时强降水日数无明显变化趋势;4—10月均有短时强降水出现,7—8月是多发月份;短时强降水的日变化有2个多发时段,主峰在下午到傍晚时段,次峰在凌晨时段;即墨、平度、黄岛为青岛市短时强降水的多发区域,其中黄岛为连续性短时强降水出现最多的区域;青岛市产生短时强降水的天气系统可分为六种类型,西风槽型、横槽型、冷涡型、热带低值系统型、西北气流型、切变线型,其中西风槽型出现次数最多。     

积极推动“数字海南”建设

海南省具有得天独厚的发展优势,“数字地球”是实现整体可持续发展的重要保障,将有力推进全省信息化的进程,促进经济发展。     

Preliminary study on assessment of nutrient transport in the Taihu Basin based on SWAT modeling

With the Taihu Basin as a study area, using the spatially distributed and mechanism-based SWAT model, preliminary simulations of nutrient transport in the Taihu Basin during the period of 1995:_2002 has been carried out. The topography, soil, meteorology and land use with industrial point pollution discharge, the loss of agricultural fertilizers, urban sewerage, and livestock drainages were all considered in the boundary conditions of the simulations. The model was calibrated and validated against water quality monitoring data from 2001 to 2002. The results show that the annual total productions of nitrogen (TN) and phosphorus (TP) into Lake Taihu are 40000t and 2000t respectively. Nutrient from the Huxi Region is a major resource for Lake Taihu. The non-point source (surface source) pollution is the main form of catchment sources of nutrients into Lake Taihu, occupied TN 53% and TP 56% respectively. TN and TP nutrients from industrial point pollution discharge are 30% and 16%, and sewerage in both forms of point source and non-point source are TN 31% and TP 47%. Both the loss of agricultural fertilizers and livestock drainages from the catchment should be paid more attention as an important nutrient source. The results also show that SWAT is an effective model for the simulation of temporally and spatially nutrient changes and for the assessment of the trends in a catchment scale.     

蒙古Toson Uul油田地应力和裂缝特征及其合理开发方式浅析

从天然裂缝、地应力及水力压裂等方面简要地论述了蒙古Toson Uul油田地应力分布特征及裂缝发育特征。通过实际资料,详细分析了油田天然裂缝发育程度以及水力压裂裂缝展布规律,提出适合油藏特征的开发方式。研究成果对加深油田储层裂缝认识,指导油田制定合理开发方式以及开发后期调整具有重要意义。     

西藏革吉县尕尔穷铜金矿床地质特征及其成因意义

位于西藏阿里地区革吉县的尕尔穷铜金矿床是班公湖-怒江成矿带西段首个达到详查程度的大型铜金矿床。矿区发育三条断裂,其中F1和F2断层呈北东-南西向展布,F3断层为南北向展布。F1断裂产状复杂、延伸大于3000m,破碎带内发育的铜金矿体严格受其控制。目前,矿床主要由斑岩型钼(铜、金)矿体、接触带矽卡岩型铜金矿体、F1断裂破碎带内似IOCG型铁铜金矿体组成。不同矿体特征差别显著,斑岩型矿体主要产于石英闪长岩、花岗斑岩中,金属矿物以网脉状辉钼矿主,次为黄铜矿、磁铁矿、黄铁矿;矿物组合有磁铁矿+黄铁矿、黄铜矿+辉钼矿。矽卡岩型矿体主要产于石英闪长岩、花岗斑岩与碳酸盐岩接触带,呈层状、似层状,金属矿物主要为细脉-网脉状黄铜矿、斑铜矿、辉铜矿、铜蓝、自然铜、自然金、自然银,矿物组合为黄铜矿-磁铁矿-自然金、黄铜矿-斑铜矿-磁铁矿-自然金-银、黄铜矿-赤铁矿-自然金、辉钼矿、黄铜矿-自然金。破碎带内似IOCG型铁铜金矿体产于F1断裂破碎带,呈似层状,金属矿物以细脉-网脉状矿石和角砾状赤铁矿、磁铁矿、黄铜矿、斑铜矿、辉铜矿、铜蓝、自然金为主;矿物组合为黄铜矿-自然金、黄铜矿-斑铜矿-自然金-银矿、赤铁矿-磁铁矿-自然金、黄铜矿-自然金。根据矿床地质特征,综合前人研究资料,本文对矿床的成因进行了进一步探讨,认为尕尔穷铜金矿床是晚白垩世班怒洋关闭后南羌塘-三江复合板片与冈底斯-念青唐古拉板片之间弧-陆碰撞阶段形成的,具有与钾玄岩-高钾钙碱性闪长类岩体、陆-陆同碰撞钾玄岩-高钾钙碱性重熔型花岗斑岩有成因密切联系的构造-岩浆岩"三位一体"的成矿特征,即主矿体赋存于斑岩、矽卡岩、构造破碎带中形成的"斑岩-矽卡岩-似IOCG"型铜金矿床。     

塔里木河流域适应气候变化和人类活动的应对措施

自2001年开始实施塔里木河流域近期综合治理工程,提出了以强化流域水资源统一管理和调度为核心,以源流区节水改造和干流河道治理为重点进行综合治理,积极稳妥地进行经济结构调整,实施退耕封育保护,有效保护好现有天然林草植被.通过向塔里木河下游生态输水,干涸近30a的台特玛湖于2001年11月16日开始有水,使塔里木河下游绿色走廊得到初步复苏等,流域生态环境得到极大的恢复.然而,自2007年以来,塔里木河向下游输水已大为减少,仅能输水到中游,特别是2009年水文干旱,塔里木河干流断流达1 100km多,使下游绿色走廊再度陷入生态危机.为此,需要重新审视塔里木河流域的综合治理,从加强源流治理开始,来巩固干流治理成果.认真总结10a来治理经验与教训,针对人类活动和气候变化对源流与干流造成的影响程度,积极采取应对措施.     

On the physical model of earthquake precursor fields and the mechanism of precursors′ time-space distribution (II) — How do the stress and strain fields evolve while a strong earthquake is in preparation and how does the evolution affect the seismicity and earthquake precursors?

In this paper, the stress concentration process and the time-space distribution of stress when earthquakes are in preparation in one or more earthquake-generating bodies in a tectonic block have been analyzed and their relation with seismicity and earthquake precursors have been studied. The results show that: 1 When the regional stress field has intensified to a certain level, fracture begins in some block or blocks. The regional stress field will vary with time and the occurrence of strong earthquakes in groups is the result of the evolution of this dynamic stress field. In this process, the existence and development of more than one high stress concentration zone may give rise to a variety of pre-seismic anomaly-to-earthquake relations. 2 The process of stress variation in an earthquake-generating block generally appears as a nonlinear one. After the long-term elastic deformation, there may be more than one time of inelastic deformation and fault-softening from the beginning of the stage of inelastic deformation to just before the main fracture. Corresponding to such a nonlinearity, the stress and strain fields in the earthquake-generating block will display a complex pattern of time-space evolution; and thus the earthquake precursor fields controlled by stress and strain must display complexities in many aspects.     

Projection and possible causes of summer precipitation in eastern China using self-organizing map

Self-organizing map (SOM) is used to simulate summer daily precipitation over the Yangtze–Huaihe river basin in Eastern China, including future projections. SOM shows good behaviors in terms of probability distribution of daily rainfall and spatial distribution of rainfall indices, as well as consistency of multi-model simulations. Under RCP4.5 Scenario, daily rainfall at most sites (63%) is projected to shift towards larger values. For the early 21st century (2016–2035), precipitation in the central basin increases, yet decreases occur over the middle reaches of the Yangtze River as well as a part of its southeast area. For the late 21st century (2081–2100), the mean precipitation and extreme indices experience an overall increase except for a few southeast stations. The total precipitation in the lower reaches of the Yangtze River and in its south area is projected to increase from 7% at 1.5 °C global warming to 11% at 2 °C, while the intensity enhancement is more significant in southern and western sites of the domain. A clustering allows to regroup all SOM nodes into four distinct regimes. Such regional synoptic regimes show remarkable stability for future climate. The overall intensification of precipitation in future climate is linked to the occurrence-frequency rise of a wet regime which brings longitudinally closer the South Asia High (eastward extended) and the Western Pacific Subtropical High (westward extended), as well as the reduction of a dry pattern which makes the two atmospheric centers of action move away from each other.