三江平原气候突变分析

采用累积距平法、J_y参数法和Mann-Kendall法联合检测1955~2000年三江平原气候变化过程中的突变现象,讨论了引发三江平原气候突变的可能原因。分析发现,三江平原年降水量在20世纪60年代发生了减少突变;而三江平原在20世纪70年代和80年代连续两次经历的增温突变,使其气温变化与东北北部平原其它地区明显不同;年日照时数和平均风速的减少突变均发生在20世纪80年代。总体来看,三江平原气候变化在20世纪80年代最明显。     

Factors controlling the interannual variations of MJO intensity

The interannual variations of intensity of the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) during boreal winter are investigated by using the observed outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) and the reanalysis data of ECMWF and NCEP. The standard deviation of 20-80-day filtered OLR anomaly is used to measure the MJO intensity. The dominant spatial structure of the interannual variability is revealed by an EOF analysis of the MJO intensity field. It is found that the leading mode is associated with eastern Pacific type ENSO, whereas the second mode is related to central Pacific type ENSO. A simple atmospheric model is used to investigate the relative roles of background moisture and wind changes in affecting the overall strength of MJO. The numerical experiments indicate that the background moisture effect is dominant while the background wind change has a minor effect.     

地震灾害应急协同技术平台应用效能评估

根据地震灾害应急协同技术平台的保障条件、功能架构、性能指标、成果产出和实震检验等方面的应用情况和特点,采用德尔菲法从影响地震灾害应急协同技术平台状态和应用效能的诸多因素中,梳理出3项准则层指标、13项子准则层指标和52项具体指标,构建应用效能评估指标体系,并运用层次分析法确定各层级指标相对于上一层指标的重要程度排序及权重。运用模糊综合评价法取优、良、差3个等级,以云南省地震灾害应急协同技术平台为例开展应用效能评估。评估结果表明,该平台应用效能处于中等偏上的水平。实例应用结果表明,可利用德尔菲法、层次分析法和模糊综合评价法相结合的方式进行地震灾害应急协同技术平台应用效能评估。     

The remote sensing observation in experiments of rock failure and the beginning of remote sensing rock mechanics

The remote sensing observational study for infrared radiation of rocks was proceeded during the loading on rocks until failure. The major instruments used in experiments were transient spectrum apparatus, intelligent spectrum apparatus, infrared radiation thermometer, infrared spectrum radiometer, and infrared thermal imaging system. The experiments for 26 kinds of rocks were made. The studies show that infrared radiation temperature of rocks increases along with increasing of stress. The amplitude of infrared radiation spectrum of rocks also increases along with increasing of stress. The observational results of infrared thermal imaging of rocks are consistent with infrared radiation temperature. Before formation of major faults for some rocks, the belt-shape thermal imaging of temperature anomaly displaies in position of future major faults. This study has led the new technology of remote sensing into rock mechanics and tend to establish a new field in rock mechanics — remote sensing rock mechanics (or remote sensing rock physics). The application of remote sensing rock mechanics in prediction of earthquake and rock burst, and in measurement of stress field in rock mass is expected. The Chinese version of this paper appeared in the Chinese edition ofActa Seismologica Sinica,14, Supp., 645–652, 1992. Jin-Shen HAO, Ji-Han LI, Xiao-Hong LIU, Yi-Qiao ZHI, Jin-Kai ZHANG, Yong-Hong Lü, Yi LIU, Yun-Shen YU, He ZHANG, Quan-Quan JI, Xiao-Fan ZHU and Ning CHEN took part in this work. This subject is supported by the Chinese Joint Seismological Science Foundation (91006). Work of Institute of Geophysics, SSB (93A0009).     

Analytical Theory for One-Dimensional Consolidation of Soil Induced by Time-Dependent Pumping and Loading

Analytical solutions are derived for one-dimensional consolidation induced by time-dependent pumping and loading, in which both the effects of different pumping types and loading conditions are considered, i.e., step pumping, cyclic pumping, constant loading, and step loading. Based on the solutions obtained, some diagrams are prepared and the relevant consolidation behavior of soil is discussed in detail. It has been shown that the consolidation behavior is greatly influenced by pumping velocity, loading pressure, pumping and loading type.     

一次台风尾流暴雨的多普勒雷达资料特征分析福

利用多普勒雷达加密资料对发生在闽南的一次台风尾流暴雨进行中尺度分析。结果表明 ,这次暴雨过程由两阶段暴雨组成 :第一阶段暴雨是由海上形成的中尺度气旋造成的 ;第二阶段暴雨是由切变线上的强辐合及切变线上形成的边界层中尺度气旋造成的。暴雨雨带的形成主要与“逆风区”、气流辐合、边界层急流、切变、地形有关。     

耗能－隔震柔性底层钢管混凝土结构的振动台实验和损伤分析

本文采用人工神经元网络理论，对城市公路网络中的单元路段和桥梁的震害预测进行了探讨。在前人研究的基础上，提出了解决这一非确定性问题的一个有效的方法，对于深入研究生命线工程系统震害的规律具有普遍的意义，从而使我们有可能避免地震造成的破坏和最大限度地减小损失，为抗震减灾提供决策依据。     

地理空间情报技术与应用

地理空间情报是最近几年出现的一个新概念，比起一般的地理空间信息有更好的实时性，更高的精确性，更强的描述性和指导性。本文介绍了地理空间情报的概念，阐述了地理空间情报的技术基础，关键技术及发展趋势，分析了地理空间情报的应用现状。     

岩浆活动旋回与地球多层对流系统

从地球历史的节律角度讨论岩浆活动旋回。岩浆活动旋回可按时间与空间分出相互对应的不同尺度，进而可与深度尺度不同的地球多层对流系统相互对应，从而给予了岩浆活动旋回的动力学意义。岩浆活动的时间周期愈长，空间尺度亦愈大，需要的维持岩浆源存在的热能、挥发分供给的数量与深度亦愈大。