T-TREC方法反演登陆中国台风风场结构

在传统的基于天气雷达反射率因子的相关方法跟踪回波运动(TREC)技术的基础上,本研究发展出适用于台风环流反演的T-TREC方法.同传统的TREC技术相比,T-TREC根据台风环流呈逆时针方向旋转的特征,利用雷达观测资料客观选取台风中心,选取扇形网格单元,在以台风中心为原点的极坐标系下进行逆时针方向同波追踪.同时,该方法也利用雷达径向风资料客观选取切向的搜索范围并建立风场相关矩阵,以减少主观设定搜索区域造成的误差.通过利用中国新一代天气雷达网(CINRAD WSR-98D)观测的登陆台风桑美(0608)资料对方法进行验证,结果表明T-TREC方法可以更加准确估计强台风环流,反演的径向风平均误差小于4 m/s.其中径向风信息的引入明显提高了反演风场精度,特别是改善了在眼墙区因回波结构较均匀造成的风场低估.当台风靠近陆地时,因地物回波以及台风环流与地形相瓦作用激发对流的影响,使得低层风场反演误差增加.文中也探讨了台风中心、搜索网格单元大小等因子对反演精度的影响,结果显示,反演结果对于中心定化比较敏感,中心位置偏移4 km将造成反演的径向风平均误差增加约10%.而搜索单元大小对反演结果影响和台风尺度相关,若台风尺度较小,则较小的搜索单元反演效果较好.     

两类不同月平均气温空间推算方法的对比

利用全国660个常规气象站40年(1961-2000年)整编气象资料.采用逆距离权重反比法、样条函数法和普通克立格法等常用的3种插值方法,分析了直接插值法和综合余项法对气温插值的影响,提出了去除气温形成中的确定性部分后,以随机项进行插值可提高气温插值精度。并从空间上、时间上对比眲不同插值方法的误差,最后分析了气象站的空间分布密度对插值方法的敏感性。验证结果表明:除个别月份外,综合余项法的各项平均绝对误差均在1℃以内,比直接插值法减小了0.6～1.6℃,精度提高了38%～85%;且综合余项法的精度不依赖于台站密度的大小、插值方法的不同,具有较高的精确性和稳定性,这说明影响空间插值精度的关键因子并非是气象观测站点密度的提高、空问插值方法的改进。     

砖木、砖石结构建筑闪电分流系数研究

随着经济的发展,我国对高层建筑,以及智能建筑物的防雷很重视,具体的防雷措施也做的很到位.但相对于一些古建筑物来说,特别是砖木,砖石结构建筑,在防雷方面却没有引起足够的重视,现阶段能够大量保存的砖木、砖石结构建筑大部分都是具有重要历史、艺术、科学价值的革命遗址、纪念建筑物、古文化遗址、古城址、古窑址、古墓葬、古建筑、石窟寺、古民居、石刻等文物,因此对这些建筑的防雷措施应该更加重视.本文做了关于砖木、砖石结构建筑闪电分流系数研究,仅供参考,希望对砖木、砖石建筑物雷电防护工作起到一定的作用.     

2008年初贵州低温雨雪凝冻灾害天气成因分析

利用NECP 2.5°×2.5°的日平均再分析资料和常规观测资料,对2008年1月12日-2月13日期间贵州省历史罕见的持续低温雨雪凝冻天气过程的环流特征及物理量进行了分析,并对中东部凝冻严重的前期和西部凝冻严重的后期做了对比.揭示了此次灾害天气的几个主要天气特征:(1)地面静止锋的位置关系着我省低温雨雪凝冻灾害的区域.(2)500 hPa环流前期和后期影响系统明显不同.过程期间欧亚大陆500 hPa高度场距平呈"北高南低"分布,亚洲区极涡南掉,面积偏大.(3)过程前期850 hPa冷舌明显,等温线密集;后期700 hPa 温降低,有冷舌活动,850 hPa冷舌明显减弱,低温维持.中东部和西部地区冷暖平流垂直方向上的配制不同.强盛的700 hPa暖湿气流是此次过程的主要水汽来源.     

Particle transport and distribution on the Mars Science Laboratory mission: Effects of triboelectric charging

We report on the nature of fine particle (<150 μm) transport under simulated martian conditions, in order to better understand the Mars Science Laboratory’s (MSL) sample acquisition, processing and handling subsystem (SA/SPaH). We find that triboelectric charging due to particle movement may have to be controlled in order for successful transport of fines that are created within the drill, processed through the Collection and Handling for In situ Martian Rock Analysis (CHIMRA) sample handing system, and delivered to the Sample Analysis at Mars (SAM) and Chemistry and Mineralogy (CheMin) instruments. These fines will be transferred from the surface material to the portioner, a 3 mm diameter, 8 mm deep distribution center where they will drop ∼2 cm to the instrument inlet funnels. In our experiments, movement of different material including terrestrial analogs and martian soil simulants (Mars Mojave Simulant - MMS) resulted in 1-7 nanocoulombs of charge to build up for several different experimental configurations. When this charging phenomenon occurs, several different results are observed including particle clumping, adherence of material on conductive surfaces, or electrostatic repulsion, which causes like-charged particles to move away from each other. This electrostatic repulsion can sort samples based upon differing size fractions, while adhesion causes particles of different sizes to bind into clods. Identifying these electrostatic effects can help us understand potential bias in the analytical instruments and to define the best operational protocols to collect samples on the surface of Mars.     

A chemical and thermodynamic model of oil generation in hydrocarbon source rocks

Thermodynamic calculations and Gibbs free energy minimization computer experiments strongly support the hypothesis that kerogen maturation and oil generation are inevitable consequences of oxidation/reduction disproportionation reactions caused by prograde metamorphism of hydrocarbon source rocks with increasing depth of burial.These experiments indicate that oxygen and hydrogen are conserved in the process.Accordingly, if water is stable and present in the source rock at temperatures ?25 but ?100 °C along a typical US Gulf Coast geotherm, immature (reduced) kerogen with a given atomic hydrogen to carbon ratio (H/C) melts incongruently with increasing temperature and depth of burial to produce a metastable equilibrium phase assemblage consisting of naphthenic/biomarker-rich crude oil, a type-II/III kerogen with an atomic hydrogen/carbon ratio (H/C) of ∼1, and water. Hence, this incongruent melting process promotes diagenetic reaction of detritus in the source rock to form authigenic mineral assemblages.However, in the water-absent region of the system CHO (which is extensive), any water initially present or subsequently entering the source rock is consumed by reaction with the most mature kerogen with the lowest H/C it encounters to form CO₂ gas and a new kerogen with higher H/C and O/C, both of which are in metastable equilibrium with one another.This hydrolytic disproportionation process progressively increases both the concentration of the solute in the aqueous phase, and the oil generation potential of the source rock; i.e., the new kerogen can then produce more crude oil.Petroleum is generated with increasing temperature and depth of burial of hydrocarbon source rocks in which water is not stable in the system CHO by a series of irreversible disproportionation reactions in which kerogens with higher (H/C)s melt incongruently to produce metastable equilibrium assemblages consisting of crude oil, CO₂ gas, and a more mature (oxidized) kerogen with a lower H/C which in turn melts incongruently with further burial to produce more crude oil, CO₂ gas, and a kerogen with a lower H/C and so forth.The petroleum generated in the process progresses from heavy naphthenic crude oils at low temperatures to mature petroleum at ∼150 °C. For example, the results of Computer Experiment 27 (see below) indicate that the overall incongruent melting reaction in the water-absent region of the system C-H-O at 150 °C and a depth of ∼4.3 km of an immature type-II/III kerogen with a bulk composition represented by C₂₉₂H₂₈₈O_12(c) to produce a mature (oxidized) kerogen represented by C₁₂₈H₆₈O_7(c), together with a typical crude oil with an average metastable equilibrium composition corresponding to C_8.8H_16.9 (C_8.8H_16.9(l)) and CO₂ gas (CO_2(g)) can be described by writing

(A)     

Vertical concentration profile of nonuniform sediment

A new formula for the concentration profile of nonuniform sediment is derived using the diffusion differential equation with equilibrium bed concentration.The interaction coefficient for nonuniform sediment particles as a function of both relative diameter and geometric standard deviation of nonuniform sediment is taken into account in the settling velocity.The diffusion coefficient is obtained from the logarithmic velocity profile.This new formula possesses several advantages as follows:(1)avoids theoretical defect of the Rouse formula,which states that the sediment concentration is infinite at the bottom and zero at the water surface.(2)suitable for an arbitrary fraction of nonuniform sediment,and(3)easy to apply with a simple form.The formula yields less difference among concentration profiles for various particles than that for uniform sediment and reveals the lawfor fractional concentration distribution of nonuniform sediment.The calculated concentration agrees well with the measured data from the Yangtze River.     

四川理县蒲溪乡边坡变形监测及降雨影响分析

四川省阿坝州理县蒲溪乡河坝村后山边坡属于老滑坡区,2014年6月以来,出现地表拉裂、鼓胀、下挫及挡墙剪切错断等现象,并不断加剧恶化,严重威胁当地民众安全。为预防滑坡灾害,当地政府在边坡前修建防护坝。为评估该防护工程效果,获取6个新建GNSS观测点实时变形观测数据,运用灰色关联法,明确降水变率是造成该区形变的主要因素,进而采用边坡变形量行业常用GM(1, 1)模型,预测可能的边坡形变量,并与GNSS观测点实测值对比,结果表明,在防护坝建成1年7个月后,边坡变形速率逐渐减缓,防护工程治理效果显现。     

中国近代北方极端干湿事件的演变规律

Using monthly precipitation and monthly mean temperature, a surface humid index was proposed. According to the index, the distributed characteristics of extreme dryness has been fully analyzed. The results indicated that there is an obvious increasing trend of extreme dryness in the central part of northern China and northeastern China in the last 10 years, which shows a high frequency period of extreme dryness; while a low frequency period in the regions during the last 100 years. Compared with variation trend of the temperature in these regions, the region of high frequent extreme dryness is consistent with the warming trend in the same region.